Bundesliga·Etapa 18·
Bundesliga·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
36%
25%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,441,502,94sigur0,47–2,410,64–2,351,11–4,76mai sigur0,22–2,660,41–2,580,63–5,24
Șuturi pe poartă
43%
13%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,514,519,02sigur2,65–6,372,76–6,255,41–12,62mai sigur2,16–6,862,30–6,714,45–13,58
Total șuturi
61%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,8312,8327,67sigur10,91–18,769,27–16,4020,18–35,15mai sigur9,82–19,858,31–17,3518,13–37,20
Șuturi din careu
53%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,968,1117,07sigur6,02–11,905,43–10,7911,45–22,70mai sigur5,19–12,734,69–11,539,88–24,26
Șuturi blocate
51%
15%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,963,417,37sigur2,08–5,851,76–5,063,84–10,91mai sigur1,54–6,391,27–5,562,80–11,94
Cornere
53%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,444,6710,11sigur3,23–7,652,67–6,675,89–14,32mai sigur2,65–8,232,13–7,204,79–15,43
Posesie %
45%
50%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,3650,51sigur42,57–56,1543,72–57,29mai sigur40,90–57,8242,05–58,96
Pase
48%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție412416828sigur344–479350–483694–962mai sigur326–497332–500659–997
Precizie pase %
29%
66%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,6969,42sigur61,66–69,7265,10–73,74mai sigur60,36–71,0163,79–75,05
Faulturi
40%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,6112,3323,94sigur8,77–14,459,38–15,2718,15–29,72mai sigur8,02–15,208,63–16,0216,65–31,22
Ofsaiduri
34%
23%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,481,693,17sigur0,32–2,640,60–2,780,92–5,43mai sigur0,02–2,940,31–3,070,33–6,02
Cartonașe galbene
32%
22%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,601,933,53sigur0,55–2,650,80–3,061,36–5,71mai sigur0,29–2,920,51–3,350,80–6,27
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,100,20sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,290,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,420,00–0,83
Parade portar
36%
16%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,923,286,20sigur1,48–4,351,73–4,843,21–9,19mai sigur1,09–4,741,30–5,262,40–10,01
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,44 0,47–2,41 0,22–2,66 | 1,50 0,64–2,35 0,41–2,58 | 2,94 1,11–4,76 0,63–5,24 | 36% 25% 39% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,51 2,65–6,37 2,16–6,86 | 4,51 2,76–6,25 2,30–6,71 | 9,02 5,41–12,62 4,45–13,58 | 43% 13% 43% |
| Total șuturi | 14,83 10,91–18,76 9,82–19,85 | 12,83 9,27–16,40 8,31–17,35 | 27,67 20,18–35,15 18,13–37,20 | 61% 32% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,96 6,02–11,90 5,19–12,73 | 8,11 5,43–10,79 4,69–11,53 | 17,07 11,45–22,70 9,88–24,26 | 53% 37% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,96 2,08–5,85 1,54–6,39 | 3,41 1,76–5,06 1,27–5,56 | 7,37 3,84–10,91 2,80–11,94 | 51% 15% 35% |
| Cornere | 5,44 3,23–7,65 2,65–8,23 | 4,67 2,67–6,67 2,13–7,20 | 10,11 5,89–14,32 4,79–15,43 | 53% 34% |
| Posesie % | 49,36 42,57–56,15 40,90–57,82 | 50,51 43,72–57,29 42,05–58,96 | — | 45% 50% |
| Pase | 412 344–479 326–497 | 416 350–483 332–500 | 828 694–962 659–997 | 48% 51% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,69 61,66–69,72 60,36–71,01 | 69,42 65,10–73,74 63,79–75,05 | — | 29% 66% |
| Faulturi | 11,61 8,77–14,45 8,02–15,20 | 12,33 9,38–15,27 8,63–16,02 | 23,94 18,15–29,72 16,65–31,22 | 40% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,48 0,32–2,64 0,02–2,94 | 1,69 0,60–2,78 0,31–3,07 | 3,17 0,92–5,43 0,33–6,02 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,60 0,55–2,65 0,29–2,92 | 1,93 0,80–3,06 0,51–3,35 | 3,53 1,36–5,71 0,80–6,27 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,20 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,92 1,48–4,35 1,09–4,74 | 3,28 1,73–4,84 1,30–5,26 | 6,20 3,21–9,19 2,40–10,01 | 36% 16% 48% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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