Bundesliga·Etapa 19·
Bundesliga·Etapa 19·Statistici estimate
Goluri
49%
25%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,561,042,60sigur0,59–2,530,19–1,900,78–4,43mai sigur0,34–2,780,00–2,130,30–4,91
Șuturi pe poartă
62%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,643,287,92sigur2,77–6,501,54–5,024,31–11,52mai sigur2,28–6,991,07–5,493,36–12,48
Total șuturi
70%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0510,0823,13sigur9,13–16,986,51–13,6415,64–30,62mai sigur8,04–18,075,56–14,6013,59–32,67
Șuturi din careu
72%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,276,5015,77sigur6,33–12,213,82–9,1810,15–21,40mai sigur5,50–13,043,08–9,928,58–22,96
Șuturi blocate
60%
14%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,922,756,67sigur2,04–5,801,10–4,413,14–10,21mai sigur1,49–6,340,61–4,902,10–11,24
Cornere
62%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,624,139,75sigur3,41–7,842,13–6,135,54–13,97mai sigur2,84–8,411,60–6,674,43–15,08
Posesie %
57%
38%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,4848,41sigur45,69–59,2741,62–55,19mai sigur44,02–60,9439,95–56,86
Pase
63%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție460420880sigur393–527354–487746–1014mai sigur375–545336–504711–1049
Precizie pase %
31%
64%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,0171,27sigur63,98–72,0466,94–75,59mai sigur62,69–73,3365,63–76,90
Faulturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7611,2723,03sigur8,92–14,598,32–14,2117,24–28,81mai sigur8,16–15,357,58–14,9615,74–30,31
Ofsaiduri
36%
24%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,511,603,10sigur0,35–2,670,50–2,690,85–5,36mai sigur0,05–2,970,22–2,980,26–5,95
Cartonașe galbene
37%
21%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,851,983,84sigur0,80–2,900,85–3,111,66–6,01mai sigur0,54–3,170,56–3,401,10–6,57
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
28%
17%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,333,165,49sigur0,89–3,771,60–4,712,50–8,48mai sigur0,51–4,151,18–5,141,68–9,29
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,56 0,59–2,53 0,34–2,78 | 1,04 0,19–1,90 0,00–2,13 | 2,60 0,78–4,43 0,30–4,91 | 49% 25% 25% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,64 2,77–6,50 2,28–6,99 | 3,28 1,54–5,02 1,07–5,49 | 7,92 4,31–11,52 3,36–12,48 | 62% 25% |
| Total șuturi | 13,05 9,13–16,98 8,04–18,07 | 10,08 6,51–13,64 5,56–14,60 | 23,13 15,64–30,62 13,59–32,67 | 70% 23% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,27 6,33–12,21 5,50–13,04 | 6,50 3,82–9,18 3,08–9,92 | 15,77 10,15–21,40 8,58–22,96 | 72% 20% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,92 2,04–5,80 1,49–6,34 | 2,75 1,10–4,41 0,61–4,90 | 6,67 3,14–10,21 2,10–11,24 | 60% 14% 26% |
| Cornere | 5,62 3,41–7,84 2,84–8,41 | 4,13 2,13–6,13 1,60–6,67 | 9,75 5,54–13,97 4,43–15,08 | 62% 26% |
| Posesie % | 52,48 45,69–59,27 44,02–60,94 | 48,41 41,62–55,19 39,95–56,86 | — | 57% 38% |
| Pase | 460 393–527 375–545 | 420 354–487 336–504 | 880 746–1014 711–1049 | 63% 37% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,01 63,98–72,04 62,69–73,33 | 71,27 66,94–75,59 65,63–76,90 | — | 31% 64% |
| Faulturi | 11,76 8,92–14,59 8,16–15,35 | 11,27 8,32–14,21 7,58–14,96 | 23,03 17,24–28,81 15,74–30,31 | 50% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,51 0,35–2,67 0,05–2,97 | 1,60 0,50–2,69 0,22–2,98 | 3,10 0,85–5,36 0,26–5,95 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,85 0,80–2,90 0,54–3,17 | 1,98 0,85–3,11 0,56–3,40 | 3,84 1,66–6,01 1,10–6,57 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,33 0,89–3,77 0,51–4,15 | 3,16 1,60–4,71 1,18–5,14 | 5,49 2,50–8,48 1,68–9,29 | 28% 17% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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