Bundesliga·Etapa 19·
Bundesliga·Etapa 19·Statistici estimate
Goluri
25%
22%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,261,903,16sigur0,30–2,231,04–2,751,34–4,99mai sigur0,04–2,480,82–2,980,86–5,47
Șuturi pe poartă
26%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,015,509,52sigur2,15–5,883,76–7,255,91–13,12mai sigur1,66–6,363,29–7,714,95–14,08
Total șuturi
30%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,4014,6927,09sigur8,48–16,3311,13–18,2519,60–34,58mai sigur7,39–17,4210,17–19,2117,55–36,63
Șuturi din careu
23%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,199,7116,90sigur4,25–10,147,03–12,3911,28–22,52mai sigur3,42–10,976,29–13,129,71–24,09
Șuturi blocate
28%
14%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,214,327,52sigur1,32–5,092,66–5,973,99–11,06mai sigur0,78–5,632,17–6,462,95–12,09
Cornere
32%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,835,8010,63sigur2,62–7,043,80–7,806,42–14,84mai sigur2,04–7,623,27–8,335,31–15,95
Posesie %
16%
81%
gazdeoaspețipredicție42,8358,78sigur36,04–49,6252,00–65,57mai sigur34,37–51,2950,33–67,24
Pase
13%
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție383516899sigur316–450449–582765–1032mai sigur298–468432–600729–1068
Precizie pase %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,2176,01sigur62,18–70,2471,68–80,33mai sigur60,89–71,5370,37–81,64
Faulturi
47%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,4911,3522,84sigur8,65–14,338,41–14,3017,06–28,62mai sigur7,89–15,087,66–15,0515,56–30,13
Ofsaiduri
42%
25%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,571,352,92sigur0,41–2,730,26–2,450,67–5,18mai sigur0,11–3,030,00–2,740,08–5,76
Cartonașe galbene
35%
22%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,671,853,52sigur0,62–2,710,72–2,981,34–5,70mai sigur0,35–2,980,43–3,270,78–6,25
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,080,17sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,270,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,400,00–0,80
Parade portar
59%
15%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,662,596,25sigur2,22–5,091,04–4,153,26–9,24mai sigur1,83–5,480,61–4,572,45–10,06
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,26 0,30–2,23 0,04–2,48 | 1,90 1,04–2,75 0,82–2,98 | 3,16 1,34–4,99 0,86–5,47 | 25% 22% 52% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,01 2,15–5,88 1,66–6,36 | 5,50 3,76–7,25 3,29–7,71 | 9,52 5,91–13,12 4,95–14,08 | 26% 62% |
| Total șuturi | 12,40 8,48–16,33 7,39–17,42 | 14,69 11,13–18,25 10,17–19,21 | 27,09 19,60–34,58 17,55–36,63 | 30% 63% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,19 4,25–10,14 3,42–10,97 | 9,71 7,03–12,39 6,29–13,12 | 16,90 11,28–22,52 9,71–24,09 | 23% 69% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,21 1,32–5,09 0,78–5,63 | 4,32 2,66–5,97 2,17–6,46 | 7,52 3,99–11,06 2,95–12,09 | 28% 14% 59% |
| Cornere | 4,83 2,62–7,04 2,04–7,62 | 5,80 3,80–7,80 3,27–8,33 | 10,63 6,42–14,84 5,31–15,95 | 32% 56% |
| Posesie % | 42,83 36,04–49,62 34,37–51,29 | 58,78 52,00–65,57 50,33–67,24 | — | 16% 81% |
| Pase | 383 316–450 298–468 | 516 449–582 432–600 | 899 765–1032 729–1068 | 13% 87% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,21 62,18–70,24 60,89–71,53 | 76,01 71,68–80,33 70,37–81,64 | — | 88% |
| Faulturi | 11,49 8,65–14,33 7,89–15,08 | 11,35 8,41–14,30 7,66–15,05 | 22,84 17,06–28,62 15,56–30,13 | 47% 45% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,57 0,41–2,73 0,11–3,03 | 1,35 0,26–2,45 0,00–2,74 | 2,92 0,67–5,18 0,08–5,76 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,67 0,62–2,71 0,35–2,98 | 1,85 0,72–2,98 0,43–3,27 | 3,52 1,34–5,70 0,78–6,25 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,66 2,22–5,09 1,83–5,48 | 2,59 1,04–4,15 0,61–4,57 | 6,25 3,26–9,24 2,45–10,06 | 59% 15% 26% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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