Bundesliga·Etapa 19·
Bundesliga·Etapa 19·Statistici estimate
Goluri
70%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,390,903,29sigur1,42–3,360,05–1,761,47–5,11mai sigur1,17–3,610,00–1,980,99–5,59
Șuturi pe poartă
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,763,169,93sigur4,90–8,631,42–4,906,32–13,53mai sigur4,41–9,120,95–5,375,37–14,49
Total șuturi
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție19,489,3628,84sigur15,56–23,415,80–12,9321,36–36,33mai sigur14,47–24,504,84–13,8819,31–38,38
Șuturi din careu
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,675,6219,29sigur10,73–16,612,94–8,3013,67–24,91mai sigur9,90–17,442,20–9,0412,10–26,48
Șuturi blocate
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,432,718,14sigur3,55–7,311,06–4,364,60–11,67mai sigur3,00–7,850,56–4,853,57–12,71
Cornere
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,433,3310,75sigur5,21–9,641,33–5,336,54–14,97mai sigur4,64–10,210,80–5,865,43–16,08
Posesie %
89%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,8038,92sigur54,01–67,5932,14–45,71mai sigur52,34–69,2630,47–47,38
Pase
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție537328865sigur470–604262–394731–999mai sigur452–622244–412696–1034
Precizie pase %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,6966,33sigur71,66–79,7262,00–70,65mai sigur70,37–81,0160,69–71,96
Faulturi
39%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2212,0123,23sigur8,38–14,069,07–14,9617,45–29,01mai sigur7,62–14,818,32–15,7115,95–30,52
Ofsaiduri
36%
22%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,681,823,50sigur0,52–2,840,72–2,911,24–5,75mai sigur0,22–3,140,44–3,200,65–6,34
Cartonașe galbene
23%
21%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,312,103,41sigur0,26–2,360,97–3,231,23–5,59mai sigur0,00–2,620,68–3,520,68–6,15
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,110,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,300,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,430,00–0,80
Parade portar
14%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,144,336,47sigur0,71–3,582,77–5,893,48–9,47mai sigur0,32–3,972,35–6,312,67–10,28
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,39 1,42–3,36 1,17–3,61 | 0,90 0,05–1,76 0,00–1,98 | 3,29 1,47–5,11 0,99–5,59 | 70% 17% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,76 4,90–8,63 4,41–9,12 | 3,16 1,42–4,90 0,95–5,37 | 9,93 6,32–13,53 5,37–14,49 | 84% |
| Total șuturi | 19,48 15,56–23,41 14,47–24,50 | 9,36 5,80–12,93 4,84–13,88 | 28,84 21,36–36,33 19,31–38,38 | 97% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,67 10,73–16,61 9,90–17,44 | 5,62 2,94–8,30 2,20–9,04 | 19,29 13,67–24,91 12,10–26,48 | 96% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,43 3,55–7,31 3,00–7,85 | 2,71 1,06–4,36 0,56–4,85 | 8,14 4,60–11,67 3,57–12,71 | 78% |
| Cornere | 7,43 5,21–9,64 4,64–10,21 | 3,33 1,33–5,33 0,80–5,86 | 10,75 6,54–14,97 5,43–16,08 | 87% |
| Posesie % | 60,80 54,01–67,59 52,34–69,26 | 38,92 32,14–45,71 30,47–47,38 | — | 89% |
| Pase | 537 470–604 452–622 | 328 262–394 244–412 | 865 731–999 696–1034 | 96% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,69 71,66–79,72 70,37–81,01 | 66,33 62,00–70,65 60,69–71,96 | — | 87% |
| Faulturi | 11,22 8,38–14,06 7,62–14,81 | 12,01 9,07–14,96 8,32–15,71 | 23,23 17,45–29,01 15,95–30,52 | 39% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,68 0,52–2,84 0,22–3,14 | 1,82 0,72–2,91 0,44–3,20 | 3,50 1,24–5,75 0,65–6,34 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,31 0,26–2,36 0,00–2,62 | 2,10 0,97–3,23 0,68–3,52 | 3,41 1,23–5,59 0,68–6,15 | 23% 21% 56% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,14 0,71–3,58 0,32–3,97 | 4,33 2,77–5,89 2,35–6,31 | 6,47 3,48–9,47 2,67–10,28 | 14% 75% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
Estimări statistice doar pentru informare și divertisment, nu sfaturi de pariere.18+