Bundesliga·Etapa 20·
Bundesliga·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
29%
24%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,281,712,99sigur0,32–2,250,86–2,571,17–4,82mai sigur0,06–2,500,63–2,790,69–5,30
Șuturi pe poartă
31%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,705,7410,44sigur2,83–6,564,00–7,496,84–14,05mai sigur2,34–7,053,54–7,955,88–15,00
Total șuturi
42%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,4315,0429,47sigur10,51–18,3511,48–18,6021,98–36,96mai sigur9,41–19,4510,52–19,5619,93–39,01
Șuturi din careu
38%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,999,8018,79sigur6,05–11,937,12–12,4813,17–24,41mai sigur5,22–12,766,38–13,2211,60–25,98
Șuturi blocate
39%
14%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,944,258,18sigur2,05–5,822,59–5,904,65–11,72mai sigur1,51–6,362,10–6,393,61–12,75
Cornere
36%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,965,6410,60sigur2,75–7,183,64–7,646,39–14,82mai sigur2,18–7,753,11–8,175,28–15,92
Posesie %
17%
80%
gazdeoaspețipredicție42,1457,49sigur35,35–48,9350,71–64,28mai sigur33,68–50,6049,04–65,95
Pase
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție374517891sigur307–441451–584757–1025mai sigur289–459433–601722–1060
Precizie pase %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,4475,61sigur62,41–70,4771,29–79,94mai sigur61,12–71,7669,98–81,25
Faulturi
66%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,1010,6023,69sigur10,26–15,947,65–13,5417,91–29,48mai sigur9,51–16,696,90–14,2916,41–30,98
Ofsaiduri
46%
20%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,191,884,07sigur1,02–3,350,79–2,981,82–6,32mai sigur0,72–3,650,50–3,271,23–6,91
Cartonașe galbene
47%
20%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,281,894,17sigur1,23–3,330,76–3,021,99–6,35mai sigur0,97–3,600,47–3,311,44–6,91
Cartonașe roșii
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,140,110,25sigur0,00–0,300,00–0,300,00–0,60mai sigur0,00–0,450,00–0,430,00–0,88
Parade portar
48%
16%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,503,146,64sigur2,06–4,941,59–4,703,65–9,64mai sigur1,68–5,321,16–5,122,84–10,45
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,28 0,32–2,25 0,06–2,50 | 1,71 0,86–2,57 0,63–2,79 | 2,99 1,17–4,82 0,69–5,30 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,70 2,83–6,56 2,34–7,05 | 5,74 4,00–7,49 3,54–7,95 | 10,44 6,84–14,05 5,88–15,00 | 31% 57% |
| Total șuturi | 14,43 10,51–18,35 9,41–19,45 | 15,04 11,48–18,60 10,52–19,56 | 29,47 21,98–36,96 19,93–39,01 | 42% 51% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,99 6,05–11,93 5,22–12,76 | 9,80 7,12–12,48 6,38–13,22 | 18,79 13,17–24,41 11,60–25,98 | 38% 53% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,94 2,05–5,82 1,51–6,36 | 4,25 2,59–5,90 2,10–6,39 | 8,18 4,65–11,72 3,61–12,75 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Cornere | 4,96 2,75–7,18 2,18–7,75 | 5,64 3,64–7,64 3,11–8,17 | 10,60 6,39–14,82 5,28–15,92 | 36% 52% |
| Posesie % | 42,14 35,35–48,93 33,68–50,60 | 57,49 50,71–64,28 49,04–65,95 | — | 17% 80% |
| Pase | 374 307–441 289–459 | 517 451–584 433–601 | 891 757–1025 722–1060 | 88% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,44 62,41–70,47 61,12–71,76 | 75,61 71,29–79,94 69,98–81,25 | — | 87% |
| Faulturi | 13,10 10,26–15,94 9,51–16,69 | 10,60 7,65–13,54 6,90–14,29 | 23,69 17,91–29,48 16,41–30,98 | 66% 27% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,19 1,02–3,35 0,72–3,65 | 1,88 0,79–2,98 0,50–3,27 | 4,07 1,82–6,32 1,23–6,91 | 46% 20% 34% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,28 1,23–3,33 0,97–3,60 | 1,89 0,76–3,02 0,47–3,31 | 4,17 1,99–6,35 1,44–6,91 | 47% 20% 33% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,14 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,45 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,25 0,00–0,60 0,00–0,88 | 79% |
| Parade portar | 3,50 2,06–4,94 1,68–5,32 | 3,14 1,59–4,70 1,16–5,12 | 6,64 3,65–9,64 2,84–10,45 | 48% 16% 37% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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