Bundesliga·Etapa 21·
Bundesliga·Etapa 21·Statistici estimate
Goluri
26%
24%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,151,682,83sigur0,19–2,120,82–2,531,01–4,65mai sigur0,00–2,370,59–2,760,53–5,13
Șuturi pe poartă
34%
14%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,844,498,33sigur1,98–5,702,75–6,234,72–11,93mai sigur1,49–6,192,28–6,703,77–12,89
Total șuturi
47%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8212,6525,47sigur8,89–16,749,09–16,2217,99–32,96mai sigur7,80–17,848,13–17,1815,93–35,01
Șuturi din careu
32%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,328,7216,04sigur4,37–10,266,04–11,4010,42–21,66mai sigur3,54–11,095,31–12,148,85–23,23
Șuturi blocate
41%
16%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,053,086,13sigur1,17–4,931,43–4,742,60–9,67mai sigur0,63–5,480,94–5,231,56–10,71
Cornere
33%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,455,349,79sigur2,24–6,673,34–7,345,58–14,01mai sigur1,66–7,242,81–7,874,47–15,11
Posesie %
31%
64%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,3353,54sigur39,54–53,1246,75–60,32mai sigur37,87–54,7945,08–61,99
Pase
37%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție405443849sigur338–473377–510715–982mai sigur320–491359–527679–1018
Precizie pase %
19%
78%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,0271,46sigur60,99–69,0567,14–75,78mai sigur59,69–70,3465,83–77,09
Faulturi
33%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,4312,0122,44sigur7,59–13,279,06–14,9516,65–28,22mai sigur6,84–14,028,31–15,7015,15–29,72
Ofsaiduri
16%
15%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,432,994,42sigur0,27–2,591,90–4,092,17–6,68mai sigur0,00–2,891,61–4,381,58–7,27
Cartonașe galbene
38%
21%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,861,943,80sigur0,81–2,910,81–3,071,62–5,98mai sigur0,54–3,170,52–3,361,06–6,53
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,120,23sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,300,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,440,00–0,86
Parade portar
45%
17%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,942,705,63sigur1,50–4,371,14–4,252,64–8,62mai sigur1,11–4,760,72–4,681,83–9,44
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,15 0,19–2,12 0,00–2,37 | 1,68 0,82–2,53 0,59–2,76 | 2,83 1,01–4,65 0,53–5,13 | 26% 24% 50% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,84 1,98–5,70 1,49–6,19 | 4,49 2,75–6,23 2,28–6,70 | 8,33 4,72–11,93 3,77–12,89 | 34% 14% 52% |
| Total șuturi | 12,82 8,89–16,74 7,80–17,84 | 12,65 9,09–16,22 8,13–17,18 | 25,47 17,99–32,96 15,93–35,01 | 47% 45% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,32 4,37–10,26 3,54–11,09 | 8,72 6,04–11,40 5,31–12,14 | 16,04 10,42–21,66 8,85–23,23 | 32% 59% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,05 1,17–4,93 0,63–5,48 | 3,08 1,43–4,74 0,94–5,23 | 6,13 2,60–9,67 1,56–10,71 | 41% 16% 42% |
| Cornere | 4,45 2,24–6,67 1,66–7,24 | 5,34 3,34–7,34 2,81–7,87 | 9,79 5,58–14,01 4,47–15,11 | 33% 55% |
| Posesie % | 46,33 39,54–53,12 37,87–54,79 | 53,54 46,75–60,32 45,08–61,99 | — | 31% 64% |
| Pase | 405 338–473 320–491 | 443 377–510 359–527 | 849 715–982 679–1018 | 37% 62% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,02 60,99–69,05 59,69–70,34 | 71,46 67,14–75,78 65,83–77,09 | — | 19% 78% |
| Faulturi | 10,43 7,59–13,27 6,84–14,02 | 12,01 9,06–14,95 8,31–15,70 | 22,44 16,65–28,22 15,15–29,72 | 33% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,43 0,27–2,59 0,00–2,89 | 2,99 1,90–4,09 1,61–4,38 | 4,42 2,17–6,68 1,58–7,27 | 16% 15% 69% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,86 0,81–2,91 0,54–3,17 | 1,94 0,81–3,07 0,52–3,36 | 3,80 1,62–5,98 1,06–6,53 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,44 | 0,23 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,86 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 2,94 1,50–4,37 1,11–4,76 | 2,70 1,14–4,25 0,72–4,68 | 5,63 2,64–8,62 1,83–9,44 | 45% 17% 37% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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