Bundesliga·Etapa 21·
Bundesliga·Etapa 21·Statistici estimate
Goluri
42%
24%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,631,443,07sigur0,66–2,600,58–2,291,25–4,89mai sigur0,41–2,850,36–2,520,77–5,37
Șuturi pe poartă
45%
14%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,514,388,89sigur2,65–6,372,64–6,125,28–12,49mai sigur2,16–6,862,17–6,594,33–13,45
Total șuturi
57%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,7812,3926,17sigur9,86–17,718,82–15,9518,68–33,65mai sigur8,77–18,807,86–16,9116,63–35,71
Șuturi din careu
54%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,627,6916,31sigur5,68–11,575,01–10,3710,69–21,94mai sigur4,85–12,404,27–11,119,12–23,50
Șuturi blocate
38%
16%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,263,516,77sigur1,38–5,141,86–5,173,24–10,31mai sigur0,83–5,681,37–5,662,20–11,34
Cornere
48%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,535,1710,70sigur3,32–7,753,17–7,176,49–14,92mai sigur2,74–8,322,64–7,715,38–16,02
Posesie %
48%
47%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,7050,52sigur43,91–57,4943,74–57,31mai sigur42,24–59,1642,07–58,98
Pase
57%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție462441903sigur395–530374–507769–1037mai sigur377–548357–525734–1072
Precizie pase %
34%
61%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,9872,72sigur65,95–74,0168,39–77,04mai sigur64,66–75,3067,08–78,35
Faulturi
59%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,6810,0721,75sigur8,84–14,517,13–13,0215,97–27,53mai sigur8,08–15,276,38–13,7614,46–29,03
Ofsaiduri
52%
21%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,071,463,53sigur0,91–3,230,36–2,551,27–5,78mai sigur0,61–3,530,08–2,840,69–6,37
Cartonașe galbene
34%
23%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,541,763,30sigur0,49–2,590,63–2,881,12–5,47mai sigur0,23–2,860,33–3,180,56–6,03
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,100,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,420,00–0,81
Parade portar
39%
17%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,923,106,02sigur1,49–4,361,54–4,663,03–9,01mai sigur1,10–4,751,12–5,082,22–9,83
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,63 0,66–2,60 0,41–2,85 | 1,44 0,58–2,29 0,36–2,52 | 3,07 1,25–4,89 0,77–5,37 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,51 2,65–6,37 2,16–6,86 | 4,38 2,64–6,12 2,17–6,59 | 8,89 5,28–12,49 4,33–13,45 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total șuturi | 13,78 9,86–17,71 8,77–18,80 | 12,39 8,82–15,95 7,86–16,91 | 26,17 18,68–33,65 16,63–35,71 | 57% 36% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,62 5,68–11,57 4,85–12,40 | 7,69 5,01–10,37 4,27–11,11 | 16,31 10,69–21,94 9,12–23,50 | 54% 36% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,26 1,38–5,14 0,83–5,68 | 3,51 1,86–5,17 1,37–5,66 | 6,77 3,24–10,31 2,20–11,34 | 38% 16% 46% |
| Cornere | 5,53 3,32–7,75 2,74–8,32 | 5,17 3,17–7,17 2,64–7,71 | 10,70 6,49–14,92 5,38–16,02 | 48% 40% |
| Posesie % | 50,70 43,91–57,49 42,24–59,16 | 50,52 43,74–57,31 42,07–58,98 | — | 48% 47% |
| Pase | 462 395–530 377–548 | 441 374–507 357–525 | 903 769–1037 734–1072 | 57% 43% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,98 65,95–74,01 64,66–75,30 | 72,72 68,39–77,04 67,08–78,35 | — | 34% 61% |
| Faulturi | 11,68 8,84–14,51 8,08–15,27 | 10,07 7,13–13,02 6,38–13,76 | 21,75 15,97–27,53 14,46–29,03 | 59% 33% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,07 0,91–3,23 0,61–3,53 | 1,46 0,36–2,55 0,08–2,84 | 3,53 1,27–5,78 0,69–6,37 | 52% 21% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,54 0,49–2,59 0,23–2,86 | 1,76 0,63–2,88 0,33–3,18 | 3,30 1,12–5,47 0,56–6,03 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,18 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,81 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,92 1,49–4,36 1,10–4,75 | 3,10 1,54–4,66 1,12–5,08 | 6,02 3,03–9,01 2,22–9,83 | 39% 17% 45% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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