Bundesliga·Etapa 21·
Bundesliga·Etapa 21·Statistici estimate
Goluri
50%
23%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,871,353,21sigur0,90–2,830,49–2,201,39–5,04mai sigur0,65–3,090,26–2,430,91–5,52
Șuturi pe poartă
56%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,904,8710,77sigur4,04–7,763,13–6,617,17–14,38mai sigur3,55–8,252,66–7,086,21–15,33
Total șuturi
75%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,0712,8729,93sigur13,14–20,999,30–16,4322,45–37,42mai sigur12,05–22,088,34–17,3920,40–39,47
Șuturi din careu
65%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,738,5419,27sigur7,78–13,675,86–11,2213,64–24,89mai sigur6,95–14,505,12–11,9612,08–26,46
Șuturi blocate
55%
13%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,753,868,61sigur2,86–6,632,21–5,525,07–12,14mai sigur2,32–7,171,72–6,014,04–13,18
Cornere
66%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,304,4110,70sigur4,08–8,512,41–6,416,49–14,92mai sigur3,51–9,081,87–6,945,38–16,02
Posesie %
55%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,5248,51sigur44,73–58,3141,72–55,29mai sigur43,06–59,9840,05–56,96
Pase
65%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție521473995sigur454–589407–540861–1128mai sigur436–607389–557825–1164
Precizie pase %
34%
61%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,6475,38sigur68,61–76,6771,05–79,70mai sigur67,32–77,9669,74–81,01
Faulturi
25%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,2213,0323,25sigur7,38–13,0610,08–15,9717,46–29,03mai sigur6,63–13,819,33–16,7215,96–30,53
Ofsaiduri
35%
22%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,631,833,46sigur0,47–2,790,73–2,921,21–5,71mai sigur0,17–3,100,45–3,210,62–6,30
Cartonașe galbene
33%
22%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,621,943,56sigur0,58–2,670,81–3,071,39–5,74mai sigur0,31–2,940,52–3,360,83–6,30
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,090,15sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
37%
16%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,213,566,78sigur1,78–4,652,01–5,123,79–9,77mai sigur1,39–5,041,58–5,552,97–10,58
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,87 0,90–2,83 0,65–3,09 | 1,35 0,49–2,20 0,26–2,43 | 3,21 1,39–5,04 0,91–5,52 | 50% 23% 28% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,90 4,04–7,76 3,55–8,25 | 4,87 3,13–6,61 2,66–7,08 | 10,77 7,17–14,38 6,21–15,33 | 56% 32% |
| Total șuturi | 17,07 13,14–20,99 12,05–22,08 | 12,87 9,30–16,43 8,34–17,39 | 29,93 22,45–37,42 20,40–39,47 | 75% 19% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,73 7,78–13,67 6,95–14,50 | 8,54 5,86–11,22 5,12–11,96 | 19,27 13,64–24,89 12,08–26,46 | 65% 27% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,75 2,86–6,63 2,32–7,17 | 3,86 2,21–5,52 1,72–6,01 | 8,61 5,07–12,14 4,04–13,18 | 55% 13% 32% |
| Cornere | 6,30 4,08–8,51 3,51–9,08 | 4,41 2,41–6,41 1,87–6,94 | 10,70 6,49–14,92 5,38–16,02 | 66% 23% |
| Posesie % | 51,52 44,73–58,31 43,06–59,98 | 48,51 41,72–55,29 40,05–56,96 | — | 55% 41% |
| Pase | 521 454–589 436–607 | 473 407–540 389–557 | 995 861–1128 825–1164 | 65% 34% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,64 68,61–76,67 67,32–77,96 | 75,38 71,05–79,70 69,74–81,01 | — | 34% 61% |
| Faulturi | 10,22 7,38–13,06 6,63–13,81 | 13,03 10,08–15,97 9,33–16,72 | 23,25 17,46–29,03 15,96–30,53 | 25% 68% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,63 0,47–2,79 0,17–3,10 | 1,83 0,73–2,92 0,45–3,21 | 3,46 1,21–5,71 0,62–6,30 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,62 0,58–2,67 0,31–2,94 | 1,94 0,81–3,07 0,52–3,36 | 3,56 1,39–5,74 0,83–6,30 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,21 1,78–4,65 1,39–5,04 | 3,56 2,01–5,12 1,58–5,55 | 6,78 3,79–9,77 2,97–10,58 | 37% 16% 48% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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