Bundesliga·Etapa 22·
Bundesliga·Etapa 22·Statistici estimate
Goluri
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,010,823,83sigur2,05–3,980,00–1,672,01–5,65mai sigur1,79–4,230,00–1,901,53–6,13
Șuturi pe poartă
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,203,0210,22sigur5,34–9,061,27–4,766,61–13,82mai sigur4,85–9,550,81–5,235,66–14,78
Total șuturi
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție20,398,6729,06sigur16,47–24,315,11–12,2321,57–36,55mai sigur15,37–25,414,15–13,1919,52–38,60
Șuturi din careu
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,475,0118,48sigur10,53–16,412,33–7,6912,86–24,10mai sigur9,70–17,241,59–8,4311,29–25,67
Șuturi blocate
77%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,762,347,10sigur2,88–6,650,68–3,993,57–10,64mai sigur2,34–7,190,19–4,482,53–11,67
Cornere
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,463,1410,60sigur5,25–9,681,14–5,146,39–14,81mai sigur4,68–10,250,60–5,675,28–15,92
Posesie %
92%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,1137,52sigur55,32–68,9030,73–44,30mai sigur53,65–70,5729,06–45,98
Pase
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție566335901sigur499–633268–401767–1035mai sigur481–652251–419732–1070
Precizie pase %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție77,9268,67sigur73,89–81,9564,35–73,00mai sigur72,59–83,2463,04–74,31
Faulturi
46%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,7910,7821,57sigur7,95–13,637,84–13,7315,79–27,36mai sigur7,20–14,387,09–14,4814,29–28,86
Ofsaiduri
58%
18%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,641,704,34sigur1,48–3,800,61–2,802,09–6,60mai sigur1,18–4,100,32–3,081,50–7,19
Cartonașe galbene
29%
23%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,311,753,05sigur0,26–2,360,62–2,880,88–5,23mai sigur0,00–2,620,33–3,170,32–5,79
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,110,17sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,300,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,430,00–0,80
Parade portar
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,084,386,46sigur0,64–3,512,82–5,933,46–9,45mai sigur0,25–3,902,40–6,362,65–10,26
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 3,01 2,05–3,98 1,79–4,23 | 0,82 0,00–1,67 0,00–1,90 | 3,83 2,01–5,65 1,53–6,13 | 81% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,20 5,34–9,06 4,85–9,55 | 3,02 1,27–4,76 0,81–5,23 | 10,22 6,61–13,82 5,66–14,78 | 88% |
| Total șuturi | 20,39 16,47–24,31 15,37–25,41 | 8,67 5,11–12,23 4,15–13,19 | 29,06 21,57–36,55 19,52–38,60 | 98% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,47 10,53–16,41 9,70–17,24 | 5,01 2,33–7,69 1,59–8,43 | 18,48 12,86–24,10 11,29–25,67 | 97% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,76 2,88–6,65 2,34–7,19 | 2,34 0,68–3,99 0,19–4,48 | 7,10 3,57–10,64 2,53–11,67 | 77% 13% |
| Cornere | 7,46 5,25–9,68 4,68–10,25 | 3,14 1,14–5,14 0,60–5,67 | 10,60 6,39–14,81 5,28–15,92 | 88% |
| Posesie % | 62,11 55,32–68,90 53,65–70,57 | 37,52 30,73–44,30 29,06–45,98 | — | 92% |
| Pase | 566 499–633 481–652 | 335 268–401 251–419 | 901 767–1035 732–1070 | 97% |
| Precizie pase % | 77,92 73,89–81,95 72,59–83,24 | 68,67 64,35–73,00 63,04–74,31 | — | 87% |
| Faulturi | 10,79 7,95–13,63 7,20–14,38 | 10,78 7,84–13,73 7,09–14,48 | 21,57 15,79–27,36 14,29–28,86 | 46% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,64 1,48–3,80 1,18–4,10 | 1,70 0,61–2,80 0,32–3,08 | 4,34 2,09–6,60 1,50–7,19 | 58% 18% 24% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,31 0,26–2,36 0,00–2,62 | 1,75 0,62–2,88 0,33–3,17 | 3,05 0,88–5,23 0,32–5,79 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,08 0,64–3,51 0,25–3,90 | 4,38 2,82–5,93 2,40–6,36 | 6,46 3,46–9,45 2,65–10,26 | 76% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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