Bundesliga·Etapa 22·
Bundesliga·Etapa 22·Statistici estimate
Goluri
49%
23%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,761,273,02sigur0,79–2,720,42–2,121,20–4,85mai sigur0,54–2,970,19–2,350,72–5,33
Șuturi pe poartă
72%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,923,619,52sigur4,06–7,781,86–5,355,92–13,13mai sigur3,57–8,271,40–5,814,96–14,08
Total șuturi
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,3911,1828,57sigur13,47–21,327,62–14,7421,08–36,06mai sigur12,38–22,416,66–15,7019,03–38,11
Șuturi din careu
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,986,4217,40sigur8,04–13,923,74–9,1011,78–23,03mai sigur7,21–14,753,01–9,8410,21–24,59
Șuturi blocate
64%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,643,167,80sigur2,75–6,521,51–4,824,26–11,34mai sigur2,21–7,061,02–5,313,23–12,37
Cornere
76%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,613,7910,40sigur4,39–8,821,79–5,796,19–14,61mai sigur3,82–9,391,26–6,335,08–15,72
Posesie %
69%
27%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,4945,09sigur47,70–61,2838,31–51,88mai sigur46,03–62,9536,64–53,55
Pase
75%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție449369817sigur381–516302–435684–951mai sigur363–534285–453648–987
Precizie pase %
54%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,2768,09sigur65,24–73,3063,76–72,41mai sigur63,95–74,5962,45–73,72
Faulturi
46%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9510,9821,93sigur8,12–13,798,03–13,9216,15–27,71mai sigur7,36–14,557,29–14,6714,65–29,22
Ofsaiduri
36%
23%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,611,753,37sigur0,45–2,770,66–2,851,11–5,62mai sigur0,15–3,070,37–3,140,52–6,21
Cartonașe galbene
35%
22%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,641,843,48sigur0,59–2,690,71–2,971,30–5,66mai sigur0,33–2,960,42–3,260,75–6,22
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,110,21sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,300,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,430,00–0,84
Parade portar
20%
14%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,363,896,25sigur0,93–3,802,33–5,453,26–9,25mai sigur0,54–4,191,91–5,872,45–10,06
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,76 0,79–2,72 0,54–2,97 | 1,27 0,42–2,12 0,19–2,35 | 3,02 1,20–4,85 0,72–5,33 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,92 4,06–7,78 3,57–8,27 | 3,61 1,86–5,35 1,40–5,81 | 9,52 5,92–13,13 4,96–14,08 | 72% 18% |
| Total șuturi | 17,39 13,47–21,32 12,38–22,41 | 11,18 7,62–14,74 6,66–15,70 | 28,57 21,08–36,06 19,03–38,11 | 86% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,98 8,04–13,92 7,21–14,75 | 6,42 3,74–9,10 3,01–9,84 | 17,40 11,78–23,03 10,21–24,59 | 84% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,64 2,75–6,52 2,21–7,06 | 3,16 1,51–4,82 1,02–5,31 | 7,80 4,26–11,34 3,23–12,37 | 64% 24% |
| Cornere | 6,61 4,39–8,82 3,82–9,39 | 3,79 1,79–5,79 1,26–6,33 | 10,40 6,19–14,61 5,08–15,72 | 76% 15% |
| Posesie % | 54,49 47,70–61,28 46,03–62,95 | 45,09 38,31–51,88 36,64–53,55 | — | 69% 27% |
| Pase | 449 381–516 363–534 | 369 302–435 285–453 | 817 684–951 648–987 | 75% 25% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,27 65,24–73,30 63,95–74,59 | 68,09 63,76–72,41 62,45–73,72 | — | 54% 41% |
| Faulturi | 10,95 8,12–13,79 7,36–14,55 | 10,98 8,03–13,92 7,29–14,67 | 21,93 16,15–27,71 14,65–29,22 | 46% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,61 0,45–2,77 0,15–3,07 | 1,75 0,66–2,85 0,37–3,14 | 3,37 1,11–5,62 0,52–6,21 | 36% 23% 42% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,64 0,59–2,69 0,33–2,96 | 1,84 0,71–2,97 0,42–3,26 | 3,48 1,30–5,66 0,75–6,22 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,36 0,93–3,80 0,54–4,19 | 3,89 2,33–5,45 1,91–5,87 | 6,25 3,26–9,25 2,45–10,06 | 20% 14% 66% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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