Championship·Etapa 11·
Championship·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
50%
25%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,631,102,73sigur0,66–2,600,25–1,960,91–4,56mai sigur0,41–2,850,02–2,190,43–5,04
Șuturi pe poartă
66%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,203,488,68sigur3,34–7,061,74–5,235,08–12,29mai sigur2,85–7,551,28–5,694,12–13,24
Total șuturi
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,6510,8827,53sigur12,73–20,577,32–14,4420,04–35,02mai sigur11,63–21,676,36–15,4017,99–37,07
Șuturi din careu
75%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,787,3518,12sigur7,83–13,724,66–10,0312,50–23,74mai sigur7,00–14,553,93–10,7610,93–25,31
Șuturi blocate
68%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,803,017,81sigur2,92–6,691,36–4,664,28–11,35mai sigur2,38–7,230,87–5,163,24–12,38
Cornere
67%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,244,2910,53sigur4,02–8,452,29–6,296,31–14,74mai sigur3,45–9,021,76–6,835,21–15,85
Posesie %
57%
39%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,8448,01sigur45,05–58,6341,23–54,80mai sigur43,38–60,3039,56–56,47
Pase
61%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție425391816sigur358–492324–457682–949mai sigur339–510307–475646–985
Precizie pase %
41%
54%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,9770,25sigur64,94–73,0065,93–74,58mai sigur63,65–74,3064,62–75,89
Faulturi
45%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5311,6523,18sigur8,69–14,368,71–14,6017,40–28,96mai sigur7,93–15,127,96–15,3415,89–30,47
Ofsaiduri
25%
20%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,472,233,70sigur0,31–2,631,13–3,321,44–5,95mai sigur0,01–2,930,85–3,610,85–6,54
Cartonașe galbene
34%
20%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,902,224,12sigur0,85–2,941,09–3,351,94–6,29mai sigur0,58–3,210,80–3,641,38–6,85
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,100,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,78
Parade portar
24%
15%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,343,515,85sigur0,90–3,771,95–5,062,85–8,84mai sigur0,51–4,161,53–5,492,04–9,65
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,63 0,66–2,60 0,41–2,85 | 1,10 0,25–1,96 0,02–2,19 | 2,73 0,91–4,56 0,43–5,04 | 50% 25% 26% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,20 3,34–7,06 2,85–7,55 | 3,48 1,74–5,23 1,28–5,69 | 8,68 5,08–12,29 4,12–13,24 | 66% 22% |
| Total șuturi | 16,65 12,73–20,57 11,63–21,67 | 10,88 7,32–14,44 6,36–15,40 | 27,53 20,04–35,02 17,99–37,07 | 84% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,78 7,83–13,72 7,00–14,55 | 7,35 4,66–10,03 3,93–10,76 | 18,12 12,50–23,74 10,93–25,31 | 75% 18% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,80 2,92–6,69 2,38–7,23 | 3,01 1,36–4,66 0,87–5,16 | 7,81 4,28–11,35 3,24–12,38 | 68% 20% |
| Cornere | 6,24 4,02–8,45 3,45–9,02 | 4,29 2,29–6,29 1,76–6,83 | 10,53 6,31–14,74 5,21–15,85 | 67% 22% |
| Posesie % | 51,84 45,05–58,63 43,38–60,30 | 48,01 41,23–54,80 39,56–56,47 | — | 57% 39% |
| Pase | 425 358–492 339–510 | 391 324–457 307–475 | 816 682–949 646–985 | 61% 39% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,97 64,94–73,00 63,65–74,30 | 70,25 65,93–74,58 64,62–75,89 | — | 41% 54% |
| Faulturi | 11,53 8,69–14,36 7,93–15,12 | 11,65 8,71–14,60 7,96–15,34 | 23,18 17,40–28,96 15,89–30,47 | 45% 47% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,47 0,31–2,63 0,01–2,93 | 2,23 1,13–3,32 0,85–3,61 | 3,70 1,44–5,95 0,85–6,54 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,90 0,85–2,94 0,58–3,21 | 2,22 1,09–3,35 0,80–3,64 | 4,12 1,94–6,29 1,38–6,85 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,34 0,90–3,77 0,51–4,16 | 3,51 1,95–5,06 1,53–5,49 | 5,85 2,85–8,84 2,04–9,65 | 24% 15% 61% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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