Championship·Etapa 16·
Championship·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
39%
26%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,401,332,74sigur0,44–2,370,48–2,190,92–4,56mai sigur0,19–2,620,25–2,420,44–5,04
Șuturi pe poartă
48%
13%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,634,248,87sigur2,77–6,492,50–5,985,26–12,47mai sigur2,28–6,982,03–6,454,31–13,43
Total șuturi
56%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,7512,4826,22sigur9,82–17,678,92–16,0418,74–33,71mai sigur8,73–18,767,96–17,0016,69–35,76
Șuturi din careu
42%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,668,9617,61sigur5,72–11,606,27–11,6411,99–23,24mai sigur4,89–12,435,54–12,3710,42–24,80
Șuturi blocate
54%
16%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,372,595,97sigur1,49–5,260,94–4,252,43–9,50mai sigur0,95–5,800,45–4,741,40–10,54
Cornere
47%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,545,2910,83sigur3,32–7,753,29–7,296,62–15,05mai sigur2,75–8,332,76–7,835,51–16,15
Posesie %
55%
40%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,3548,14sigur44,56–58,1441,36–54,93mai sigur42,89–59,8139,69–56,60
Pase
66%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție429380809sigur361–496314–447675–943mai sigur343–514296–464640–978
Precizie pase %
34%
61%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,7469,46sigur62,72–70,7765,14–73,79mai sigur61,42–72,0763,83–75,10
Faulturi
47%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,8611,7423,60sigur9,02–14,708,80–14,6817,82–29,38mai sigur8,27–15,468,05–15,4316,31–30,89
Ofsaiduri
16%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,073,976,04sigur0,91–3,232,88–5,063,79–8,30mai sigur0,61–3,542,59–5,353,20–8,89
Cartonașe galbene
36%
23%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,581,713,28sigur0,53–2,630,58–2,831,11–5,46mai sigur0,26–2,890,28–3,130,55–6,02
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,100,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,420,00–0,78
Parade portar
36%
16%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,883,236,12sigur1,45–4,321,68–4,793,12–9,11mai sigur1,06–4,711,25–5,212,31–9,92
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,40 0,44–2,37 0,19–2,62 | 1,33 0,48–2,19 0,25–2,42 | 2,74 0,92–4,56 0,44–5,04 | 39% 26% 36% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,63 2,77–6,49 2,28–6,98 | 4,24 2,50–5,98 2,03–6,45 | 8,87 5,26–12,47 4,31–13,43 | 48% 13% 38% |
| Total șuturi | 13,75 9,82–17,67 8,73–18,76 | 12,48 8,92–16,04 7,96–17,00 | 26,22 18,74–33,71 16,69–35,76 | 56% 36% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,66 5,72–11,60 4,89–12,43 | 8,96 6,27–11,64 5,54–12,37 | 17,61 11,99–23,24 10,42–24,80 | 42% 48% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,37 1,49–5,26 0,95–5,80 | 2,59 0,94–4,25 0,45–4,74 | 5,97 2,43–9,50 1,40–10,54 | 54% 16% 30% |
| Cornere | 5,54 3,32–7,75 2,75–8,33 | 5,29 3,29–7,29 2,76–7,83 | 10,83 6,62–15,05 5,51–16,15 | 47% 41% |
| Posesie % | 51,35 44,56–58,14 42,89–59,81 | 48,14 41,36–54,93 39,69–56,60 | — | 55% 40% |
| Pase | 429 361–496 343–514 | 380 314–447 296–464 | 809 675–943 640–978 | 66% 34% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,74 62,72–70,77 61,42–72,07 | 69,46 65,14–73,79 63,83–75,10 | — | 34% 61% |
| Faulturi | 11,86 9,02–14,70 8,27–15,46 | 11,74 8,80–14,68 8,05–15,43 | 23,60 17,82–29,38 16,31–30,89 | 47% 45% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,07 0,91–3,23 0,61–3,54 | 3,97 2,88–5,06 2,59–5,35 | 6,04 3,79–8,30 3,20–8,89 | 16% 71% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,58 0,53–2,63 0,26–2,89 | 1,71 0,58–2,83 0,28–3,13 | 3,28 1,11–5,46 0,55–6,02 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,36 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,88 1,45–4,32 1,06–4,71 | 3,23 1,68–4,79 1,25–5,21 | 6,12 3,12–9,11 2,31–9,92 | 36% 16% 47% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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