Championship·Etapa 16·
Championship·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
36%
26%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,351,382,74sigur0,38–2,320,53–2,240,91–4,56mai sigur0,13–2,570,30–2,470,43–5,04
Șuturi pe poartă
42%
14%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,284,408,69sigur2,42–6,152,66–6,155,08–12,29mai sigur1,93–6,642,19–6,614,13–13,25
Total șuturi
44%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,8214,1627,98sigur9,90–17,7510,60–17,7220,50–35,47mai sigur8,81–18,849,64–18,6818,45–37,52
Șuturi din careu
49%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,188,8318,01sigur6,24–12,126,15–11,5112,39–23,63mai sigur5,41–12,955,41–12,2510,82–25,20
Șuturi blocate
39%
15%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,753,987,72sigur1,86–5,632,32–5,634,19–11,26mai sigur1,32–6,171,83–6,123,15–12,29
Cornere
46%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,014,809,82sigur2,80–7,232,80–6,815,61–14,03mai sigur2,23–7,802,27–7,344,50–15,14
Posesie %
33%
63%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,8053,43sigur40,01–53,5946,65–60,22mai sigur38,34–55,2644,98–61,89
Pase
36%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție414455869sigur347–481389–522735–1003mai sigur329–499371–539700–1038
Precizie pase %
18%
79%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,4073,04sigur62,37–70,4368,71–77,36mai sigur61,08–71,7267,40–78,67
Faulturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0612,4623,51sigur8,22–13,899,51–15,4017,73–29,30mai sigur7,46–14,658,76–16,1516,23–30,80
Ofsaiduri
47%
21%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,081,723,79sigur0,92–3,240,62–2,811,54–6,05mai sigur0,62–3,540,33–3,100,95–6,63
Cartonașe galbene
39%
20%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,062,074,13sigur1,01–3,110,95–3,201,95–6,31mai sigur0,74–3,370,65–3,501,40–6,87
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,120,20sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,300,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,440,00–0,83
Parade portar
45%
17%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,952,735,68sigur1,52–4,391,17–4,282,69–8,67mai sigur1,13–4,780,75–4,711,88–9,49
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,35 0,38–2,32 0,13–2,57 | 1,38 0,53–2,24 0,30–2,47 | 2,74 0,91–4,56 0,43–5,04 | 36% 26% 38% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,28 2,42–6,15 1,93–6,64 | 4,40 2,66–6,15 2,19–6,61 | 8,69 5,08–12,29 4,13–13,25 | 42% 14% 45% |
| Total șuturi | 13,82 9,90–17,75 8,81–18,84 | 14,16 10,60–17,72 9,64–18,68 | 27,98 20,50–35,47 18,45–37,52 | 44% 49% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,18 6,24–12,12 5,41–12,95 | 8,83 6,15–11,51 5,41–12,25 | 18,01 12,39–23,63 10,82–25,20 | 49% 42% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,75 1,86–5,63 1,32–6,17 | 3,98 2,32–5,63 1,83–6,12 | 7,72 4,19–11,26 3,15–12,29 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Cornere | 5,01 2,80–7,23 2,23–7,80 | 4,80 2,80–6,81 2,27–7,34 | 9,82 5,61–14,03 4,50–15,14 | 46% 41% |
| Posesie % | 46,80 40,01–53,59 38,34–55,26 | 53,43 46,65–60,22 44,98–61,89 | — | 33% 63% |
| Pase | 414 347–481 329–499 | 455 389–522 371–539 | 869 735–1003 700–1038 | 36% 63% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,40 62,37–70,43 61,08–71,72 | 73,04 68,71–77,36 67,40–78,67 | — | 18% 79% |
| Faulturi | 11,06 8,22–13,89 7,46–14,65 | 12,46 9,51–15,40 8,76–16,15 | 23,51 17,73–29,30 16,23–30,80 | 35% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,08 0,92–3,24 0,62–3,54 | 1,72 0,62–2,81 0,33–3,10 | 3,79 1,54–6,05 0,95–6,63 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,06 1,01–3,11 0,74–3,37 | 2,07 0,95–3,20 0,65–3,50 | 4,13 1,95–6,31 1,40–6,87 | 39% 20% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,44 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,95 1,52–4,39 1,13–4,78 | 2,73 1,17–4,28 0,75–4,71 | 5,68 2,69–8,67 1,88–9,49 | 45% 17% 38% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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