Championship·Etapa 20·
Championship·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
47%
24%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,631,242,87sigur0,66–2,600,38–2,091,04–4,69mai sigur0,41–2,850,15–2,320,56–5,17
Șuturi pe poartă
61%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,253,879,12sigur3,39–7,112,13–5,625,52–12,73mai sigur2,90–7,601,67–6,084,56–13,68
Total șuturi
78%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,3011,7728,07sigur12,38–20,238,21–15,3420,59–35,56mai sigur11,28–21,327,25–16,2918,54–37,61
Șuturi din careu
71%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,898,0318,92sigur7,95–13,835,35–10,7113,30–24,54mai sigur7,12–14,664,61–11,4511,73–26,11
Șuturi blocate
60%
13%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,553,307,85sigur2,67–6,431,64–4,954,31–11,38mai sigur2,12–6,981,15–5,443,28–12,42
Cornere
62%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,084,6110,69sigur3,87–8,292,61–6,616,47–14,90mai sigur3,29–8,872,07–7,145,37–16,01
Posesie %
47%
48%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,8250,17sigur43,03–56,6143,38–56,95mai sigur41,36–58,2841,71–58,62
Pase
46%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție388399787sigur321–455333–466653–921mai sigur303–473315–483618–956
Precizie pase %
31%
64%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,4870,81sigur63,45–71,5166,48–75,13mai sigur62,16–72,8065,17–76,44
Faulturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0112,3523,37sigur8,18–13,859,41–15,3017,58–29,15mai sigur7,42–14,618,66–16,0516,08–30,65
Ofsaiduri
36%
21%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,902,073,96sigur0,74–3,060,97–3,161,71–6,22mai sigur0,44–3,360,69–3,451,12–6,81
Cartonașe galbene
32%
20%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,862,274,14sigur0,81–2,911,15–3,401,96–6,32mai sigur0,55–3,180,85–3,691,40–6,87
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,120,21sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,310,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,440,00–0,84
Parade portar
30%
16%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,633,386,01sigur1,19–4,061,83–4,943,02–9,00mai sigur0,80–4,451,40–5,362,21–9,82
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,63 0,66–2,60 0,41–2,85 | 1,24 0,38–2,09 0,15–2,32 | 2,87 1,04–4,69 0,56–5,17 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,25 3,39–7,11 2,90–7,60 | 3,87 2,13–5,62 1,67–6,08 | 9,12 5,52–12,73 4,56–13,68 | 61% 27% |
| Total șuturi | 16,30 12,38–20,23 11,28–21,32 | 11,77 8,21–15,34 7,25–16,29 | 28,07 20,59–35,56 18,54–37,61 | 78% 17% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,89 7,95–13,83 7,12–14,66 | 8,03 5,35–10,71 4,61–11,45 | 18,92 13,30–24,54 11,73–26,11 | 71% 22% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,55 2,67–6,43 2,12–6,98 | 3,30 1,64–4,95 1,15–5,44 | 7,85 4,31–11,38 3,28–12,42 | 60% 13% 26% |
| Cornere | 6,08 3,87–8,29 3,29–8,87 | 4,61 2,61–6,61 2,07–7,14 | 10,69 6,47–14,90 5,37–16,01 | 62% 27% |
| Posesie % | 49,82 43,03–56,61 41,36–58,28 | 50,17 43,38–56,95 41,71–58,62 | — | 47% 48% |
| Pase | 388 321–455 303–473 | 399 333–466 315–483 | 787 653–921 618–956 | 46% 54% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,48 63,45–71,51 62,16–72,80 | 70,81 66,48–75,13 65,17–76,44 | — | 31% 64% |
| Faulturi | 11,01 8,18–13,85 7,42–14,61 | 12,35 9,41–15,30 8,66–16,05 | 23,37 17,58–29,15 16,08–30,65 | 35% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,90 0,74–3,06 0,44–3,36 | 2,07 0,97–3,16 0,69–3,45 | 3,96 1,71–6,22 1,12–6,81 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,86 0,81–2,91 0,55–3,18 | 2,27 1,15–3,40 0,85–3,69 | 4,14 1,96–6,32 1,40–6,87 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,63 1,19–4,06 0,80–4,45 | 3,38 1,83–4,94 1,40–5,36 | 6,01 3,02–9,00 2,21–9,82 | 30% 16% 54% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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