Championship·Etapa 24·
Championship·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
48%
25%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,611,162,77sigur0,65–2,580,31–2,020,95–4,60mai sigur0,39–2,830,08–2,240,47–5,08
Șuturi pe poartă
62%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,363,959,32sigur3,50–7,232,21–5,695,71–12,92mai sigur3,01–7,721,74–6,164,76–13,88
Total șuturi
75%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,6411,5527,19sigur11,72–19,567,99–15,1119,70–34,68mai sigur10,62–20,667,03–16,0717,65–36,73
Șuturi din careu
70%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,367,5817,94sigur7,41–13,304,90–10,2712,32–23,56mai sigur6,58–14,134,17–11,0010,75–25,13
Șuturi blocate
49%
15%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,973,507,47sigur2,09–5,861,85–5,153,94–11,01mai sigur1,55–6,401,36–5,652,90–12,04
Cornere
65%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,054,3210,37sigur3,84–8,272,32–6,326,15–14,58mai sigur3,26–8,841,78–6,855,05–15,69
Posesie %
39%
57%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,5752,47sigur41,78–55,3645,69–59,26mai sigur40,11–57,0344,02–60,93
Pase
36%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție395438833sigur328–462371–504699–967mai sigur310–480354–522664–1002
Precizie pase %
23%
73%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,9772,30sigur62,94–70,9967,97–76,62mai sigur61,64–72,2966,66–77,93
Faulturi
53%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0912,2625,35sigur10,25–15,929,31–15,2019,56–31,13mai sigur9,49–16,688,57–15,9518,06–32,63
Ofsaiduri
47%
18%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,792,425,21sigur1,63–3,951,33–3,512,96–7,46mai sigur1,33–4,251,04–3,802,37–8,05
Cartonașe galbene
38%
20%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,082,194,28sigur1,03–3,131,06–3,322,10–6,45mai sigur0,77–3,400,77–3,611,54–7,01
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,130,21sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,310,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,450,00–0,84
Parade portar
30%
16%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,623,426,03sigur1,18–4,051,86–4,973,04–9,03mai sigur0,79–4,441,44–5,402,23–9,84
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,61 0,65–2,58 0,39–2,83 | 1,16 0,31–2,02 0,08–2,24 | 2,77 0,95–4,60 0,47–5,08 | 48% 25% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,36 3,50–7,23 3,01–7,72 | 3,95 2,21–5,69 1,74–6,16 | 9,32 5,71–12,92 4,76–13,88 | 62% 26% |
| Total șuturi | 15,64 11,72–19,56 10,62–20,66 | 11,55 7,99–15,11 7,03–16,07 | 27,19 19,70–34,68 17,65–36,73 | 75% 19% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,36 7,41–13,30 6,58–14,13 | 7,58 4,90–10,27 4,17–11,00 | 17,94 12,32–23,56 10,75–25,13 | 70% 22% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,97 2,09–5,86 1,55–6,40 | 3,50 1,85–5,15 1,36–5,65 | 7,47 3,94–11,01 2,90–12,04 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Cornere | 6,05 3,84–8,27 3,26–8,84 | 4,32 2,32–6,32 1,78–6,85 | 10,37 6,15–14,58 5,05–15,69 | 65% 24% |
| Posesie % | 48,57 41,78–55,36 40,11–57,03 | 52,47 45,69–59,26 44,02–60,93 | — | 39% 57% |
| Pase | 395 328–462 310–480 | 438 371–504 354–522 | 833 699–967 664–1002 | 36% 64% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,97 62,94–70,99 61,64–72,29 | 72,30 67,97–76,62 66,66–77,93 | — | 23% 73% |
| Faulturi | 13,09 10,25–15,92 9,49–16,68 | 12,26 9,31–15,20 8,57–15,95 | 25,35 19,56–31,13 18,06–32,63 | 53% 40% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,79 1,63–3,95 1,33–4,25 | 2,42 1,33–3,51 1,04–3,80 | 5,21 2,96–7,46 2,37–8,05 | 47% 18% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,08 1,03–3,13 0,77–3,40 | 2,19 1,06–3,32 0,77–3,61 | 4,28 2,10–6,45 1,54–7,01 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,13 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,45 | 0,21 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,62 1,18–4,05 0,79–4,44 | 3,42 1,86–4,97 1,44–5,40 | 6,03 3,04–9,03 2,23–9,84 | 30% 16% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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