Championship·Etapa 24·
Championship·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
75%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,590,853,44sigur1,62–3,560,00–1,701,62–5,26mai sigur1,37–3,810,00–1,931,14–5,74
Șuturi pe poartă
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,543,329,86sigur4,67–8,401,58–5,076,25–13,46mai sigur4,18–8,891,11–5,535,30–14,42
Total șuturi
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,879,7426,61sigur12,94–20,796,18–13,3019,12–34,09mai sigur11,85–21,885,22–14,2617,07–36,15
Șuturi din careu
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,436,0118,44sigur9,49–15,383,33–8,6912,82–24,07mai sigur8,66–16,212,59–9,4311,25–25,63
Șuturi blocate
68%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,832,997,83sigur2,95–6,721,34–4,654,29–11,36mai sigur2,41–7,260,85–5,143,26–12,40
Cornere
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,383,4810,86sigur5,17–9,601,48–5,486,65–15,08mai sigur4,60–10,170,95–6,015,54–16,18
Posesie %
92%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,8837,58sigur56,09–69,6730,79–44,36mai sigur54,42–71,3429,12–46,03
Pase
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție588340928sigur521–655273–406794–1061mai sigur503–674256–424758–1097
Precizie pase %
82%
15%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,8168,35sigur71,78–79,8464,02–72,67mai sigur70,49–81,1362,71–73,98
Faulturi
30%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,8211,7621,57sigur6,98–12,668,81–14,7015,79–27,36mai sigur6,22–13,418,06–15,4514,29–28,86
Ofsaiduri
72%
13%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,571,755,33sigur2,41–4,730,66–2,853,07–7,58mai sigur2,11–5,030,37–3,132,48–8,17
Cartonașe galbene
21%
23%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,021,812,82sigur0,00–2,070,68–2,940,65–5,00mai sigur0,00–2,330,39–3,230,09–5,56
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,090,13sigur0,00–0,200,00–0,270,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,350,00–0,410,00–0,76
Parade portar
19%
13%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,333,976,30sigur0,89–3,772,41–5,523,30–9,29mai sigur0,51–4,151,99–5,952,49–10,10
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,59 1,62–3,56 1,37–3,81 | 0,85 0,00–1,70 0,00–1,93 | 3,44 1,62–5,26 1,14–5,74 | 75% 15% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,54 4,67–8,40 4,18–8,89 | 3,32 1,58–5,07 1,11–5,53 | 9,86 6,25–13,46 5,30–14,42 | 81% |
| Total șuturi | 16,87 12,94–20,79 11,85–21,88 | 9,74 6,18–13,30 5,22–14,26 | 26,61 19,12–34,09 17,07–36,15 | 90% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,43 9,49–15,38 8,66–16,21 | 6,01 3,33–8,69 2,59–9,43 | 18,44 12,82–24,07 11,25–25,63 | 92% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,83 2,95–6,72 2,41–7,26 | 2,99 1,34–4,65 0,85–5,14 | 7,83 4,29–11,36 3,26–12,40 | 68% 20% |
| Cornere | 7,38 5,17–9,60 4,60–10,17 | 3,48 1,48–5,48 0,95–6,01 | 10,86 6,65–15,08 5,54–16,18 | 85% |
| Posesie % | 62,88 56,09–69,67 54,42–71,34 | 37,58 30,79–44,36 29,12–46,03 | — | 92% |
| Pase | 588 521–655 503–674 | 340 273–406 256–424 | 928 794–1061 758–1097 | 98% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,81 71,78–79,84 70,49–81,13 | 68,35 64,02–72,67 62,71–73,98 | — | 82% 15% |
| Faulturi | 9,82 6,98–12,66 6,22–13,41 | 11,76 8,81–14,70 8,06–15,45 | 21,57 15,79–27,36 14,29–28,86 | 30% 62% |
| Ofsaiduri | 3,57 2,41–4,73 2,11–5,03 | 1,75 0,66–2,85 0,37–3,13 | 5,33 3,07–7,58 2,48–8,17 | 72% 13% 15% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,02 0,00–2,07 0,00–2,33 | 1,81 0,68–2,94 0,39–3,23 | 2,82 0,65–5,00 0,09–5,56 | 21% 23% 56% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,20 0,00–0,35 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,13 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,76 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,33 0,89–3,77 0,51–4,15 | 3,97 2,41–5,52 1,99–5,95 | 6,30 3,30–9,29 2,49–10,10 | 19% 13% 67% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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