Championship·Etapa 40·
Championship·Etapa 40·Statistici estimate
Goluri
49%
25%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,601,072,67sigur0,63–2,560,22–1,930,85–4,49mai sigur0,38–2,820,00–2,160,37–4,97
Șuturi pe poartă
59%
13%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,753,598,35sigur2,89–6,621,85–5,334,74–11,95mai sigur2,40–7,111,38–5,803,79–12,91
Total șuturi
73%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,5510,9225,48sigur10,63–18,487,36–14,4917,99–32,96mai sigur9,54–19,576,40–15,4515,94–35,01
Șuturi din careu
75%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,267,0117,27sigur7,31–13,204,33–9,6911,65–22,89mai sigur6,48–14,033,60–10,4310,08–24,46
Șuturi blocate
52%
15%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,592,976,56sigur1,71–5,481,31–4,623,02–10,10mai sigur1,17–6,020,82–5,111,99–11,13
Cornere
61%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,554,209,75sigur3,34–7,762,20–6,215,54–13,97mai sigur2,76–8,341,67–6,744,43–15,07
Posesie %
58%
37%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,5247,93sigur45,73–59,3141,15–54,72mai sigur44,06–60,9839,47–56,39
Pase
71%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție485419904sigur417–552353–486770–1037mai sigur399–570335–503734–1073
Precizie pase %
44%
51%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,3170,00sigur65,28–73,3465,67–74,32mai sigur63,99–74,6464,36–75,63
Faulturi
48%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,4910,2220,71sigur7,65–13,337,28–13,1714,93–26,49mai sigur6,90–14,086,53–13,9113,42–28,00
Ofsaiduri
61%
17%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,801,714,51sigur1,64–3,960,62–2,812,26–6,77mai sigur1,34–4,260,33–3,091,67–7,35
Cartonașe galbene
29%
21%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,522,053,58sigur0,48–2,570,92–3,181,40–5,76mai sigur0,21–2,840,63–3,470,84–6,31
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,110,16sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,300,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,430,00–0,79
Parade portar
29%
16%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,603,456,05sigur1,17–4,041,89–5,003,06–9,04mai sigur0,78–4,431,47–5,432,25–9,85
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,60 0,63–2,56 0,38–2,82 | 1,07 0,22–1,93 0,00–2,16 | 2,67 0,85–4,49 0,37–4,97 | 49% 25% 26% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,75 2,89–6,62 2,40–7,11 | 3,59 1,85–5,33 1,38–5,80 | 8,35 4,74–11,95 3,79–12,91 | 59% 13% 28% |
| Total șuturi | 14,55 10,63–18,48 9,54–19,57 | 10,92 7,36–14,49 6,40–15,45 | 25,48 17,99–32,96 15,94–35,01 | 73% 21% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,26 7,31–13,20 6,48–14,03 | 7,01 4,33–9,69 3,60–10,43 | 17,27 11,65–22,89 10,08–24,46 | 75% 18% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,59 1,71–5,48 1,17–6,02 | 2,97 1,31–4,62 0,82–5,11 | 6,56 3,02–10,10 1,99–11,13 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Cornere | 5,55 3,34–7,76 2,76–8,34 | 4,20 2,20–6,21 1,67–6,74 | 9,75 5,54–13,97 4,43–15,07 | 61% 28% |
| Posesie % | 52,52 45,73–59,31 44,06–60,98 | 47,93 41,15–54,72 39,47–56,39 | — | 58% 37% |
| Pase | 485 417–552 399–570 | 419 353–486 335–503 | 904 770–1037 734–1073 | 71% 29% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,31 65,28–73,34 63,99–74,64 | 70,00 65,67–74,32 64,36–75,63 | — | 44% 51% |
| Faulturi | 10,49 7,65–13,33 6,90–14,08 | 10,22 7,28–13,17 6,53–13,91 | 20,71 14,93–26,49 13,42–28,00 | 48% 43% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,80 1,64–3,96 1,34–4,26 | 1,71 0,62–2,81 0,33–3,09 | 4,51 2,26–6,77 1,67–7,35 | 61% 17% 22% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,52 0,48–2,57 0,21–2,84 | 2,05 0,92–3,18 0,63–3,47 | 3,58 1,40–5,76 0,84–6,31 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,60 1,17–4,04 0,78–4,43 | 3,45 1,89–5,00 1,47–5,43 | 6,05 3,06–9,04 2,25–9,85 | 29% 16% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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