Liga I·Etapa 11·
Liga I·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
53%
24%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,741,062,80sigur0,78–2,710,20–1,910,98–4,62mai sigur0,52–2,960,00–2,140,50–5,10
Șuturi pe poartă
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,013,809,80sigur4,14–7,872,05–5,546,20–13,41mai sigur3,65–8,361,59–6,005,24–14,36
Total șuturi
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,2811,6228,91sigur13,36–21,218,06–15,1821,42–36,39mai sigur12,27–22,307,10–16,1419,37–38,45
Șuturi din careu
79%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,636,7817,40sigur7,69–13,574,09–9,4611,78–23,03mai sigur6,86–14,403,36–10,1910,21–24,59
Șuturi blocate
60%
14%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,363,167,53sigur2,48–6,251,51–4,813,99–11,06mai sigur1,94–6,791,02–5,312,95–12,10
Cornere
74%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,503,9510,45sigur4,29–8,711,95–5,956,24–14,67mai sigur3,71–9,291,42–6,495,13–15,77
Posesie %
79%
18%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,1642,72sigur50,37–63,9535,94–49,51mai sigur48,70–65,6234,26–51,18
Pase
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție511361872sigur444–578295–427738–1006mai sigur425–596277–445703–1041
Precizie pase %
53%
42%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,5870,51sigur67,55–75,6166,19–74,84mai sigur66,26–76,9064,88–76,15
Faulturi
51%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5610,9022,46sigur8,72–14,397,96–13,8516,68–28,24mai sigur7,96–15,157,21–14,6015,17–29,75
Ofsaiduri
48%
24%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,731,262,99sigur0,56–2,890,17–2,360,74–5,24mai sigur0,26–3,190,00–2,650,15–5,83
Cartonașe galbene
31%
21%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,612,043,65sigur0,56–2,660,91–3,171,47–5,83mai sigur0,30–2,930,62–3,460,92–6,39
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,110,19sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,300,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,430,00–0,82
Parade portar
23%
14%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,724,136,86sigur1,29–4,162,58–5,693,86–9,85mai sigur0,90–4,552,15–6,113,05–10,66
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,74 0,78–2,71 0,52–2,96 | 1,06 0,20–1,91 0,00–2,14 | 2,80 0,98–4,62 0,50–5,10 | 53% 24% 23% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,01 4,14–7,87 3,65–8,36 | 3,80 2,05–5,54 1,59–6,00 | 9,80 6,20–13,41 5,24–14,36 | 71% 19% |
| Total șuturi | 17,28 13,36–21,21 12,27–22,30 | 11,62 8,06–15,18 7,10–16,14 | 28,91 21,42–36,39 19,37–38,45 | 83% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,63 7,69–13,57 6,86–14,40 | 6,78 4,09–9,46 3,36–10,19 | 17,40 11,78–23,03 10,21–24,59 | 79% 15% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,36 2,48–6,25 1,94–6,79 | 3,16 1,51–4,81 1,02–5,31 | 7,53 3,99–11,06 2,95–12,10 | 60% 14% 27% |
| Cornere | 6,50 4,29–8,71 3,71–9,29 | 3,95 1,95–5,95 1,42–6,49 | 10,45 6,24–14,67 5,13–15,77 | 74% 17% |
| Posesie % | 57,16 50,37–63,95 48,70–65,62 | 42,72 35,94–49,51 34,26–51,18 | — | 79% 18% |
| Pase | 511 444–578 425–596 | 361 295–427 277–445 | 872 738–1006 703–1041 | 89% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,58 67,55–75,61 66,26–76,90 | 70,51 66,19–74,84 64,88–76,15 | — | 53% 42% |
| Faulturi | 11,56 8,72–14,39 7,96–15,15 | 10,90 7,96–13,85 7,21–14,60 | 22,46 16,68–28,24 15,17–29,75 | 51% 40% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,73 0,56–2,89 0,26–3,19 | 1,26 0,17–2,36 0,00–2,65 | 2,99 0,74–5,24 0,15–5,83 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,61 0,56–2,66 0,30–2,93 | 2,04 0,91–3,17 0,62–3,46 | 3,65 1,47–5,83 0,92–6,39 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,19 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,72 1,29–4,16 0,90–4,55 | 4,13 2,58–5,69 2,15–6,11 | 6,86 3,86–9,85 3,05–10,66 | 23% 14% 63% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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