Liga I·Etapa 12·
Liga I·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
45%
25%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,531,212,74sigur0,56–2,500,36–2,070,92–4,56mai sigur0,31–2,750,13–2,290,44–5,04
Șuturi pe poartă
59%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,434,199,62sigur3,57–7,292,45–5,936,01–13,22mai sigur3,08–7,781,98–6,405,06–14,18
Total șuturi
78%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,8011,3427,13sigur11,87–19,727,78–14,9019,65–34,62mai sigur10,78–20,816,82–15,8617,60–36,67
Șuturi din careu
71%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,897,0716,96sigur6,95–12,834,39–9,7511,34–22,58mai sigur6,12–13,663,65–10,499,77–24,15
Șuturi blocate
60%
14%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,982,806,77sigur2,09–5,861,14–4,453,24–10,31mai sigur1,55–6,400,65–4,942,20–11,34
Cornere
60%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,604,309,89sigur3,38–7,812,30–6,305,68–14,11mai sigur2,81–8,381,77–6,834,57–15,21
Posesie %
48%
48%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,1250,08sigur43,33–56,9143,30–56,87mai sigur41,66–58,5841,63–58,54
Pase
46%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție429440869sigur362–497373–506735–1003mai sigur344–515356–524700–1038
Precizie pase %
36%
59%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,4776,67sigur70,44–78,5072,34–80,99mai sigur69,15–79,7971,03–82,30
Faulturi
42%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,6613,1325,79sigur9,82–15,5010,19–16,0820,01–31,57mai sigur9,07–16,259,44–16,8318,50–33,08
Ofsaiduri
36%
22%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,661,813,46sigur0,50–2,820,71–2,901,21–5,72mai sigur0,19–3,120,43–3,190,62–6,30
Cartonașe galbene
33%
19%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,092,484,57sigur1,04–3,141,35–3,612,39–6,75mai sigur0,77–3,411,06–3,901,83–7,30
Cartonașe roșii
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,150,27sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,330,00–0,61mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,470,00–0,90
Parade portar
28%
15%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,693,656,34sigur1,26–4,132,09–5,203,35–9,33mai sigur0,87–4,521,67–5,632,54–10,15
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,53 0,56–2,50 0,31–2,75 | 1,21 0,36–2,07 0,13–2,29 | 2,74 0,92–4,56 0,44–5,04 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,43 3,57–7,29 3,08–7,78 | 4,19 2,45–5,93 1,98–6,40 | 9,62 6,01–13,22 5,06–14,18 | 59% 29% |
| Total șuturi | 15,80 11,87–19,72 10,78–20,81 | 11,34 7,78–14,90 6,82–15,86 | 27,13 19,65–34,62 17,60–36,67 | 78% 17% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,89 6,95–12,83 6,12–13,66 | 7,07 4,39–9,75 3,65–10,49 | 16,96 11,34–22,58 9,77–24,15 | 71% 21% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,98 2,09–5,86 1,55–6,40 | 2,80 1,14–4,45 0,65–4,94 | 6,77 3,24–10,31 2,20–11,34 | 60% 14% 26% |
| Cornere | 5,60 3,38–7,81 2,81–8,38 | 4,30 2,30–6,30 1,77–6,83 | 9,89 5,68–14,11 4,57–15,21 | 60% 28% |
| Posesie % | 50,12 43,33–56,91 41,66–58,58 | 50,08 43,30–56,87 41,63–58,54 | — | 48% 48% |
| Pase | 429 362–497 344–515 | 440 373–506 356–524 | 869 735–1003 700–1038 | 46% 53% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,47 70,44–78,50 69,15–79,79 | 76,67 72,34–80,99 71,03–82,30 | — | 36% 59% |
| Faulturi | 12,66 9,82–15,50 9,07–16,25 | 13,13 10,19–16,08 9,44–16,83 | 25,79 20,01–31,57 18,50–33,08 | 42% 50% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,66 0,50–2,82 0,19–3,12 | 1,81 0,71–2,90 0,43–3,19 | 3,46 1,21–5,72 0,62–6,30 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,09 1,04–3,14 0,77–3,41 | 2,48 1,35–3,61 1,06–3,90 | 4,57 2,39–6,75 1,83–7,30 | 33% 19% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,15 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,47 | 0,27 0,00–0,61 0,00–0,90 | 78% |
| Parade portar | 2,69 1,26–4,13 0,87–4,52 | 3,65 2,09–5,20 1,67–5,63 | 6,34 3,35–9,33 2,54–10,15 | 28% 15% 57% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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