Liga I·Etapa 12·
Liga I·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
70%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,400,913,30sigur1,43–3,360,05–1,761,48–5,13mai sigur1,18–3,620,00–1,991,00–5,61
Șuturi pe poartă
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,093,0710,16sigur5,23–8,961,33–4,816,56–13,77mai sigur4,74–9,440,86–5,285,60–14,72
Total șuturi
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,948,7027,65sigur15,02–22,875,14–12,2620,16–35,13mai sigur13,93–23,964,18–13,2218,11–37,18
Șuturi din careu
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,325,1218,44sigur10,38–16,262,44–7,8012,82–24,07mai sigur9,55–17,091,70–8,5411,25–25,63
Șuturi blocate
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,032,027,05sigur3,15–6,910,36–3,673,51–10,58mai sigur2,61–7,460,00–4,162,48–11,62
Cornere
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,823,1810,00sigur4,60–9,031,18–5,185,79–14,21mai sigur4,03–9,610,65–5,724,68–15,32
Posesie %
78%
18%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,3043,02sigur50,51–64,0936,23–49,80mai sigur48,84–65,7634,56–51,47
Pase
85%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție537412949sigur470–604346–479816–1083mai sigur452–622328–496780–1119
Precizie pase %
75%
21%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,4769,78sigur71,44–79,5065,45–74,10mai sigur70,15–80,7964,15–75,41
Faulturi
52%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3010,5721,87sigur8,46–14,137,62–13,5116,08–27,65mai sigur7,70–14,896,88–14,2614,58–29,15
Ofsaiduri
31%
22%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,561,983,54sigur0,40–2,720,89–3,081,29–5,80mai sigur0,10–3,020,60–3,370,70–6,39
Cartonașe galbene
21%
20%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,292,233,52sigur0,24–2,331,10–3,361,34–5,70mai sigur0,00–2,600,81–3,650,78–6,25
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,090,14sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,280,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,410,00–0,77
Parade portar
14%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,144,286,43sigur0,71–3,582,72–5,843,43–9,42mai sigur0,32–3,972,30–6,262,62–10,23
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,40 1,43–3,36 1,18–3,62 | 0,91 0,05–1,76 0,00–1,99 | 3,30 1,48–5,13 1,00–5,61 | 70% 17% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,09 5,23–8,96 4,74–9,44 | 3,07 1,33–4,81 0,86–5,28 | 10,16 6,56–13,77 5,60–14,72 | 87% |
| Total șuturi | 18,94 15,02–22,87 13,93–23,96 | 8,70 5,14–12,26 4,18–13,22 | 27,65 20,16–35,13 18,11–37,18 | 97% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,32 10,38–16,26 9,55–17,09 | 5,12 2,44–7,80 1,70–8,54 | 18,44 12,82–24,07 11,25–25,63 | 97% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,03 3,15–6,91 2,61–7,46 | 2,02 0,36–3,67 0,00–4,16 | 7,05 3,51–10,58 2,48–11,62 | 83% |
| Cornere | 6,82 4,60–9,03 4,03–9,61 | 3,18 1,18–5,18 0,65–5,72 | 10,00 5,79–14,21 4,68–15,32 | 84% |
| Posesie % | 57,30 50,51–64,09 48,84–65,76 | 43,02 36,23–49,80 34,56–51,47 | — | 78% 18% |
| Pase | 537 470–604 452–622 | 412 346–479 328–496 | 949 816–1083 780–1119 | 85% 15% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,47 71,44–79,50 70,15–80,79 | 69,78 65,45–74,10 64,15–75,41 | — | 75% 21% |
| Faulturi | 11,30 8,46–14,13 7,70–14,89 | 10,57 7,62–13,51 6,88–14,26 | 21,87 16,08–27,65 14,58–29,15 | 52% 40% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,56 0,40–2,72 0,10–3,02 | 1,98 0,89–3,08 0,60–3,37 | 3,54 1,29–5,80 0,70–6,39 | 31% 22% 48% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,29 0,24–2,33 0,00–2,60 | 2,23 1,10–3,36 0,81–3,65 | 3,52 1,34–5,70 0,78–6,25 | 21% 20% 59% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,14 0,71–3,58 0,32–3,97 | 4,28 2,72–5,84 2,30–6,26 | 6,43 3,43–9,42 2,62–10,23 | 14% 74% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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