Liga I·Etapa 14·
Liga I·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
53%
23%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,811,172,98sigur0,85–2,780,31–2,021,16–4,80mai sigur0,60–3,030,08–2,250,68–5,28
Șuturi pe poartă
62%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,684,209,88sigur3,82–7,542,46–5,946,28–13,49mai sigur3,33–8,031,99–6,415,32–14,45
Total șuturi
75%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,0311,9627,99sigur12,11–19,968,40–15,5220,51–35,48mai sigur11,02–21,057,44–16,4818,46–37,53
Șuturi din careu
72%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,327,4217,73sigur7,37–13,264,73–10,1012,11–23,36mai sigur6,54–14,094,00–10,8310,54–24,92
Șuturi blocate
58%
14%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,052,987,04sigur2,17–5,941,33–4,643,50–10,57mai sigur1,63–6,480,84–5,132,47–11,61
Cornere
65%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,094,3710,46sigur3,88–8,302,37–6,376,24–14,67mai sigur3,30–8,881,83–6,905,13–15,78
Posesie %
80%
16%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,9342,43sigur51,14–64,7235,64–49,21mai sigur49,47–66,3933,97–50,88
Pase
85%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție477351828sigur410–544285–418694–962mai sigur391–562267–435659–997
Precizie pase %
68%
28%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,4269,39sigur69,39–77,4565,07–73,72mai sigur68,10–78,7463,76–75,03
Faulturi
32%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,2014,0926,29sigur9,37–15,0411,14–17,0320,51–32,07mai sigur8,61–15,8010,40–17,7819,01–33,58
Ofsaiduri
37%
22%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,781,913,69sigur0,62–2,940,82–3,011,44–5,95mai sigur0,32–3,240,53–3,300,85–6,54
Cartonașe galbene
31%
19%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,892,384,27sigur0,84–2,941,25–3,512,09–6,45mai sigur0,57–3,200,96–3,801,54–7,01
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,140,24sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,320,00–0,59mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,460,00–0,87
Parade portar
30%
15%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,963,796,75sigur1,53–4,402,23–5,343,76–9,74mai sigur1,14–4,791,81–5,772,95–10,56
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,81 0,85–2,78 0,60–3,03 | 1,17 0,31–2,02 0,08–2,25 | 2,98 1,16–4,80 0,68–5,28 | 53% 23% 24% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,68 3,82–7,54 3,33–8,03 | 4,20 2,46–5,94 1,99–6,41 | 9,88 6,28–13,49 5,32–14,45 | 62% 26% |
| Total șuturi | 16,03 12,11–19,96 11,02–21,05 | 11,96 8,40–15,52 7,44–16,48 | 27,99 20,51–35,48 18,46–37,53 | 75% 19% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,32 7,37–13,26 6,54–14,09 | 7,42 4,73–10,10 4,00–10,83 | 17,73 12,11–23,36 10,54–24,92 | 72% 21% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,05 2,17–5,94 1,63–6,48 | 2,98 1,33–4,64 0,84–5,13 | 7,04 3,50–10,57 2,47–11,61 | 58% 14% 27% |
| Cornere | 6,09 3,88–8,30 3,30–8,88 | 4,37 2,37–6,37 1,83–6,90 | 10,46 6,24–14,67 5,13–15,78 | 65% 24% |
| Posesie % | 57,93 51,14–64,72 49,47–66,39 | 42,43 35,64–49,21 33,97–50,88 | — | 80% 16% |
| Pase | 477 410–544 391–562 | 351 285–418 267–435 | 828 694–962 659–997 | 85% 15% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,42 69,39–77,45 68,10–78,74 | 69,39 65,07–73,72 63,76–75,03 | — | 68% 28% |
| Faulturi | 12,20 9,37–15,04 8,61–15,80 | 14,09 11,14–17,03 10,40–17,78 | 26,29 20,51–32,07 19,01–33,58 | 32% 61% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,78 0,62–2,94 0,32–3,24 | 1,91 0,82–3,01 0,53–3,30 | 3,69 1,44–5,95 0,85–6,54 | 37% 22% 42% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,89 0,84–2,94 0,57–3,20 | 2,38 1,25–3,51 0,96–3,80 | 4,27 2,09–6,45 1,54–7,01 | 31% 19% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,14 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,46 | 0,24 0,00–0,59 0,00–0,87 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 2,96 1,53–4,40 1,14–4,79 | 3,79 2,23–5,34 1,81–5,77 | 6,75 3,76–9,74 2,95–10,56 | 30% 15% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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