Liga I·Etapa 15·
Liga I·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
50%
24%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,671,122,79sigur0,70–2,640,27–1,980,97–4,61mai sigur0,45–2,890,04–2,200,49–5,09
Șuturi pe poartă
60%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,784,4610,24sigur3,91–7,642,72–6,206,63–13,84mai sigur3,43–8,132,25–6,675,67–14,80
Total șuturi
73%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,1512,3528,50sigur12,22–20,078,79–15,9121,01–35,99mai sigur11,13–21,177,83–16,8718,96–38,04
Șuturi din careu
72%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,267,3617,62sigur7,32–13,214,67–10,0412,00–23,24mai sigur6,49–14,043,94–10,7710,43–24,81
Șuturi blocate
56%
14%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,333,367,69sigur2,44–6,211,71–5,024,15–11,23mai sigur1,90–6,751,22–5,513,12–12,26
Cornere
63%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,994,4010,39sigur3,78–8,202,40–6,406,18–14,61mai sigur3,20–8,781,87–6,945,07–15,72
Posesie %
60%
36%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,6247,50sigur45,83–59,4140,71–54,28mai sigur44,16–61,0839,04–55,95
Pase
66%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție418367785sigur351–485300–433651–918mai sigur332–503283–451615–954
Precizie pase %
50%
45%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,5369,10sigur65,50–73,5664,78–73,43mai sigur64,20–74,8563,47–74,74
Faulturi
27%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,1814,8227,00sigur9,34–15,0211,88–17,7721,22–32,78mai sigur8,59–15,7711,13–18,5119,71–34,29
Ofsaiduri
51%
22%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,971,403,37sigur0,81–3,130,31–2,501,12–5,62mai sigur0,50–3,430,02–2,780,53–6,21
Cartonașe galbene
31%
18%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,102,634,73sigur1,05–3,151,50–3,762,55–6,91mai sigur0,78–3,411,21–4,052,00–7,47
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,140,24sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,320,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,460,00–0,87
Parade portar
28%
14%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,054,087,14sigur1,62–4,492,53–5,644,14–10,13mai sigur1,23–4,882,10–6,063,33–10,94
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,67 0,70–2,64 0,45–2,89 | 1,12 0,27–1,98 0,04–2,20 | 2,79 0,97–4,61 0,49–5,09 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,78 3,91–7,64 3,43–8,13 | 4,46 2,72–6,20 2,25–6,67 | 10,24 6,63–13,84 5,67–14,80 | 60% 28% |
| Total șuturi | 16,15 12,22–20,07 11,13–21,17 | 12,35 8,79–15,91 7,83–16,87 | 28,50 21,01–35,99 18,96–38,04 | 73% 21% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,26 7,32–13,21 6,49–14,04 | 7,36 4,67–10,04 3,94–10,77 | 17,62 12,00–23,24 10,43–24,81 | 72% 21% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,33 2,44–6,21 1,90–6,75 | 3,36 1,71–5,02 1,22–5,51 | 7,69 4,15–11,23 3,12–12,26 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Cornere | 5,99 3,78–8,20 3,20–8,78 | 4,40 2,40–6,40 1,87–6,94 | 10,39 6,18–14,61 5,07–15,72 | 63% 26% |
| Posesie % | 52,62 45,83–59,41 44,16–61,08 | 47,50 40,71–54,28 39,04–55,95 | — | 60% 36% |
| Pase | 418 351–485 332–503 | 367 300–433 283–451 | 785 651–918 615–954 | 66% 33% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,53 65,50–73,56 64,20–74,85 | 69,10 64,78–73,43 63,47–74,74 | — | 50% 45% |
| Faulturi | 12,18 9,34–15,02 8,59–15,77 | 14,82 11,88–17,77 11,13–18,51 | 27,00 21,22–32,78 19,71–34,29 | 27% 66% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,97 0,81–3,13 0,50–3,43 | 1,40 0,31–2,50 0,02–2,78 | 3,37 1,12–5,62 0,53–6,21 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,10 1,05–3,15 0,78–3,41 | 2,63 1,50–3,76 1,21–4,05 | 4,73 2,55–6,91 2,00–7,47 | 31% 18% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,14 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,46 | 0,24 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,87 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 3,05 1,62–4,49 1,23–4,88 | 4,08 2,53–5,64 2,10–6,06 | 7,14 4,14–10,13 3,33–10,94 | 28% 14% 58% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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