Liga I·Etapa 18·
Liga I·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
41%
26%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,401,242,64sigur0,43–2,370,39–2,100,82–4,47mai sigur0,18–2,620,16–2,330,34–4,95
Șuturi pe poartă
45%
13%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,614,499,11sigur2,75–6,482,75–6,245,50–12,71mai sigur2,26–6,972,29–6,704,55–13,67
Total șuturi
58%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,5112,9227,43sigur10,59–18,449,35–16,4819,94–34,91mai sigur9,50–19,538,39–17,4417,89–36,97
Șuturi din careu
55%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,917,9016,81sigur5,97–11,855,22–10,5811,19–22,43mai sigur5,14–12,684,48–11,329,62–24,00
Șuturi blocate
47%
15%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,563,276,83sigur1,68–5,441,62–4,933,30–10,37mai sigur1,13–5,981,13–5,422,26–11,40
Cornere
48%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,094,709,78sigur2,87–7,302,70–6,705,57–14,00mai sigur2,30–7,872,16–7,234,46–15,10
Posesie %
66%
29%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,9145,78sigur47,12–60,7039,00–52,57mai sigur45,45–62,3737,32–54,24
Pase
78%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție470375846sigur403–538309–442712–979mai sigur385–556291–459676–1015
Precizie pase %
55%
40%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,6668,23sigur65,63–73,6963,91–72,56mai sigur64,34–74,9862,60–73,87
Faulturi
23%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,9915,2827,27sigur9,15–14,8212,34–18,2321,49–33,05mai sigur8,39–15,5811,59–18,9719,98–34,55
Ofsaiduri
52%
22%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,981,363,34sigur0,82–3,140,26–2,451,09–5,59mai sigur0,52–3,440,00–2,740,50–6,18
Cartonașe galbene
35%
19%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,122,444,56sigur1,07–3,171,31–3,562,38–6,74mai sigur0,81–3,441,02–3,861,82–7,29
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,120,20sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,310,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,440,00–0,83
Parade portar
38%
16%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,943,166,10sigur1,50–4,381,61–4,723,11–9,10mai sigur1,12–4,761,18–5,142,30–9,91
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,40 0,43–2,37 0,18–2,62 | 1,24 0,39–2,10 0,16–2,33 | 2,64 0,82–4,47 0,34–4,95 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,61 2,75–6,48 2,26–6,97 | 4,49 2,75–6,24 2,29–6,70 | 9,11 5,50–12,71 4,55–13,67 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Total șuturi | 14,51 10,59–18,44 9,50–19,53 | 12,92 9,35–16,48 8,39–17,44 | 27,43 19,94–34,91 17,89–36,97 | 58% 34% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,91 5,97–11,85 5,14–12,68 | 7,90 5,22–10,58 4,48–11,32 | 16,81 11,19–22,43 9,62–24,00 | 55% 36% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,56 1,68–5,44 1,13–5,98 | 3,27 1,62–4,93 1,13–5,42 | 6,83 3,30–10,37 2,26–11,40 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Cornere | 5,09 2,87–7,30 2,30–7,87 | 4,70 2,70–6,70 2,16–7,23 | 9,78 5,57–14,00 4,46–15,10 | 48% 39% |
| Posesie % | 53,91 47,12–60,70 45,45–62,37 | 45,78 39,00–52,57 37,32–54,24 | — | 66% 29% |
| Pase | 470 403–538 385–556 | 375 309–442 291–459 | 846 712–979 676–1015 | 78% 21% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,66 65,63–73,69 64,34–74,98 | 68,23 63,91–72,56 62,60–73,87 | — | 55% 40% |
| Faulturi | 11,99 9,15–14,82 8,39–15,58 | 15,28 12,34–18,23 11,59–18,97 | 27,27 21,49–33,05 19,98–34,55 | 23% 70% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,98 0,82–3,14 0,52–3,44 | 1,36 0,26–2,45 0,00–2,74 | 3,34 1,09–5,59 0,50–6,18 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,12 1,07–3,17 0,81–3,44 | 2,44 1,31–3,56 1,02–3,86 | 4,56 2,38–6,74 1,82–7,29 | 35% 19% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,20 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,94 1,50–4,38 1,12–4,76 | 3,16 1,61–4,72 1,18–5,14 | 6,10 3,11–9,10 2,30–9,91 | 38% 16% 45% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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