Liga I·Etapa 18·
Liga I·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
58%
23%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,830,932,75sigur0,86–2,790,07–1,780,93–4,58mai sigur0,61–3,050,00–2,010,45–5,06
Șuturi pe poartă
74%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,253,729,97sigur4,39–8,111,98–5,466,36–13,57mai sigur3,90–8,601,51–5,935,41–14,53
Total șuturi
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,8911,0528,95sigur13,97–21,827,49–14,6221,46–36,43mai sigur12,88–22,916,53–15,5719,41–38,49
Șuturi din careu
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,876,7818,65sigur8,93–14,814,10–9,4613,03–24,28mai sigur8,10–15,643,36–10,2011,46–25,84
Șuturi blocate
70%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,832,907,73sigur2,95–6,711,25–4,564,20–11,27mai sigur2,40–7,250,76–5,053,16–12,30
Cornere
77%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,803,9010,70sigur4,59–9,011,90–5,906,49–14,91mai sigur4,01–9,591,37–6,435,38–16,02
Posesie %
75%
22%
gazdeoaspețipredicție56,1043,78sigur49,31–62,8936,99–50,56mai sigur47,64–64,5635,32–52,23
Pase
83%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție461345806sigur394–528279–412673–940mai sigur376–546261–429637–976
Precizie pase %
66%
29%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,4765,67sigur65,44–73,5061,35–70,00mai sigur64,15–74,7960,04–71,31
Faulturi
49%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8412,4025,24sigur10,00–15,689,46–15,3519,46–31,03mai sigur9,25–16,448,71–16,1017,96–32,53
Ofsaiduri
40%
23%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,731,663,39sigur0,57–2,890,57–2,751,13–5,64mai sigur0,27–3,190,28–3,040,54–6,23
Cartonașe galbene
28%
21%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,472,043,50sigur0,42–2,520,91–3,171,33–5,68mai sigur0,15–2,780,62–3,460,77–6,24
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,130,18sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,320,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,450,00–0,81
Parade portar
20%
13%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,564,186,73sigur1,12–3,992,62–5,733,74–9,72mai sigur0,73–4,382,20–6,162,93–10,54
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,83 0,86–2,79 0,61–3,05 | 0,93 0,07–1,78 0,00–2,01 | 2,75 0,93–4,58 0,45–5,06 | 58% 23% 19% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,25 4,39–8,11 3,90–8,60 | 3,72 1,98–5,46 1,51–5,93 | 9,97 6,36–13,57 5,41–14,53 | 74% 17% |
| Total șuturi | 17,89 13,97–21,82 12,88–22,91 | 11,05 7,49–14,62 6,53–15,57 | 28,95 21,46–36,43 19,41–38,49 | 88% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,87 8,93–14,81 8,10–15,64 | 6,78 4,10–9,46 3,36–10,20 | 18,65 13,03–24,28 11,46–25,84 | 86% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,83 2,95–6,71 2,40–7,25 | 2,90 1,25–4,56 0,76–5,05 | 7,73 4,20–11,27 3,16–12,30 | 70% 19% |
| Cornere | 6,80 4,59–9,01 4,01–9,59 | 3,90 1,90–5,90 1,37–6,43 | 10,70 6,49–14,91 5,38–16,02 | 77% 15% |
| Posesie % | 56,10 49,31–62,89 47,64–64,56 | 43,78 36,99–50,56 35,32–52,23 | — | 75% 22% |
| Pase | 461 394–528 376–546 | 345 279–412 261–429 | 806 673–940 637–976 | 83% 17% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,47 65,44–73,50 64,15–74,79 | 65,67 61,35–70,00 60,04–71,31 | — | 66% 29% |
| Faulturi | 12,84 10,00–15,68 9,25–16,44 | 12,40 9,46–15,35 8,71–16,10 | 25,24 19,46–31,03 17,96–32,53 | 49% 43% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,73 0,57–2,89 0,27–3,19 | 1,66 0,57–2,75 0,28–3,04 | 3,39 1,13–5,64 0,54–6,23 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,47 0,42–2,52 0,15–2,78 | 2,04 0,91–3,17 0,62–3,46 | 3,50 1,33–5,68 0,77–6,24 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,56 1,12–3,99 0,73–4,38 | 4,18 2,62–5,73 2,20–6,16 | 6,73 3,74–9,72 2,93–10,54 | 20% 13% 67% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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