Liga I·Etapa 22·
Liga I·Etapa 22·Statistici estimate
Goluri
70%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,300,863,15sigur1,33–3,260,00–1,711,33–4,98mai sigur1,08–3,510,00–1,940,85–5,46
Șuturi pe poartă
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,543,189,72sigur4,68–8,401,44–4,926,12–13,33mai sigur4,19–8,890,97–5,395,16–14,28
Total șuturi
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,719,7528,45sigur14,78–22,636,18–13,3120,96–35,94mai sigur13,69–23,725,22–14,2718,91–37,99
Șuturi din careu
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,195,6518,83sigur10,24–16,132,97–8,3313,21–24,46mai sigur9,41–16,962,23–9,0711,64–26,02
Șuturi blocate
72%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,992,827,81sigur3,11–6,871,17–4,484,28–11,35mai sigur2,56–7,410,68–4,973,24–12,38
Cornere
78%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,493,5310,02sigur4,27–8,701,53–5,535,81–14,23mai sigur3,70–9,271,00–6,074,70–15,34
Posesie %
74%
22%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,4543,52sigur48,66–62,2436,73–50,30mai sigur46,99–63,9135,06–51,97
Pase
80%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție504403907sigur437–571336–469773–1041mai sigur419–590319–487738–1076
Precizie pase %
61%
34%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,9371,33sigur69,90–77,9667,01–75,65mai sigur68,61–79,2565,70–76,96
Faulturi
39%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,2010,9521,15sigur7,37–13,048,01–13,9015,37–26,94mai sigur6,61–13,807,26–14,6413,87–28,44
Ofsaiduri
31%
22%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,481,863,34sigur0,32–2,640,77–2,951,09–5,60mai sigur0,02–2,950,48–3,240,50–6,19
Cartonașe galbene
27%
21%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,482,083,56sigur0,43–2,530,95–3,211,39–5,74mai sigur0,17–2,800,66–3,500,83–6,30
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,14sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,400,00–0,77
Parade portar
17%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,203,996,19sigur0,76–3,632,44–5,553,20–9,18mai sigur0,37–4,022,01–5,972,39–9,99
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,30 1,33–3,26 1,08–3,51 | 0,86 0,00–1,71 0,00–1,94 | 3,15 1,33–4,98 0,85–5,46 | 70% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,54 4,68–8,40 4,19–8,89 | 3,18 1,44–4,92 0,97–5,39 | 9,72 6,12–13,33 5,16–14,28 | 82% |
| Total șuturi | 18,71 14,78–22,63 13,69–23,72 | 9,75 6,18–13,31 5,22–14,27 | 28,45 20,96–35,94 18,91–37,99 | 95% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,19 10,24–16,13 9,41–16,96 | 5,65 2,97–8,33 2,23–9,07 | 18,83 13,21–24,46 11,64–26,02 | 95% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,99 3,11–6,87 2,56–7,41 | 2,82 1,17–4,48 0,68–4,97 | 7,81 4,28–11,35 3,24–12,38 | 72% 17% |
| Cornere | 6,49 4,27–8,70 3,70–9,27 | 3,53 1,53–5,53 1,00–6,07 | 10,02 5,81–14,23 4,70–15,34 | 78% 13% |
| Posesie % | 55,45 48,66–62,24 46,99–63,91 | 43,52 36,73–50,30 35,06–51,97 | — | 74% 22% |
| Pase | 504 437–571 419–590 | 403 336–469 319–487 | 907 773–1041 738–1076 | 80% 20% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,93 69,90–77,96 68,61–79,25 | 71,33 67,01–75,65 65,70–76,96 | — | 61% 34% |
| Faulturi | 10,20 7,37–13,04 6,61–13,80 | 10,95 8,01–13,90 7,26–14,64 | 21,15 15,37–26,94 13,87–28,44 | 39% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,48 0,32–2,64 0,02–2,95 | 1,86 0,77–2,95 0,48–3,24 | 3,34 1,09–5,60 0,50–6,19 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,48 0,43–2,53 0,17–2,80 | 2,08 0,95–3,21 0,66–3,50 | 3,56 1,39–5,74 0,83–6,30 | 27% 21% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,20 0,76–3,63 0,37–4,02 | 3,99 2,44–5,55 2,01–5,97 | 6,19 3,20–9,18 2,39–9,99 | 17% 70% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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