Liga I·Etapa 23·
Liga I·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
44%
27%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,351,032,38sigur0,38–2,320,18–1,880,56–4,20mai sigur0,13–2,570,00–2,110,08–4,68
Șuturi pe poartă
59%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,893,698,58sigur3,03–6,761,95–5,434,98–12,19mai sigur2,54–7,251,48–5,904,02–13,14
Total șuturi
80%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,2211,2827,50sigur12,29–20,147,72–14,8520,01–34,99mai sigur11,20–21,236,76–15,8117,96–37,04
Șuturi din careu
75%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,956,7016,65sigur7,01–12,904,02–9,3811,03–22,28mai sigur6,18–13,733,28–10,129,46–23,84
Șuturi blocate
57%
14%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,283,287,56sigur2,40–6,161,63–4,944,03–11,10mai sigur1,85–6,701,14–5,432,99–12,13
Cornere
72%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,243,8510,09sigur4,02–8,451,85–5,855,88–14,30mai sigur3,45–9,021,32–6,394,77–15,41
Posesie %
49%
46%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,8749,32sigur43,08–56,6642,53–56,10mai sigur41,41–58,3340,86–57,77
Pase
51%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție397395792sigur330–465328–461659–926mai sigur312–483311–479623–962
Precizie pase %
29%
66%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,9366,65sigur58,90–66,9662,33–70,98mai sigur57,61–68,2561,02–72,29
Faulturi
55%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,5911,5024,09sigur9,75–15,438,56–14,4518,31–29,87mai sigur9,00–16,187,81–15,1916,81–31,38
Ofsaiduri
45%
24%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,611,302,92sigur0,45–2,770,21–2,400,66–5,17mai sigur0,15–3,070,00–2,690,07–5,76
Cartonașe galbene
37%
21%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,831,943,77sigur0,78–2,880,81–3,071,59–5,95mai sigur0,51–3,140,52–3,361,03–6,50
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,130,21sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,310,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,450,00–0,84
Parade portar
26%
15%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,573,666,23sigur1,14–4,012,11–5,223,24–9,23mai sigur0,75–4,401,68–5,642,43–10,04
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,35 0,38–2,32 0,13–2,57 | 1,03 0,18–1,88 0,00–2,11 | 2,38 0,56–4,20 0,08–4,68 | 44% 27% 29% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,89 3,03–6,76 2,54–7,25 | 3,69 1,95–5,43 1,48–5,90 | 8,58 4,98–12,19 4,02–13,14 | 59% 28% |
| Total șuturi | 16,22 12,29–20,14 11,20–21,23 | 11,28 7,72–14,85 6,76–15,81 | 27,50 20,01–34,99 17,96–37,04 | 80% 15% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,95 7,01–12,90 6,18–13,73 | 6,70 4,02–9,38 3,28–10,12 | 16,65 11,03–22,28 9,46–23,84 | 75% 18% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,28 2,40–6,16 1,85–6,70 | 3,28 1,63–4,94 1,14–5,43 | 7,56 4,03–11,10 2,99–12,13 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Cornere | 6,24 4,02–8,45 3,45–9,02 | 3,85 1,85–5,85 1,32–6,39 | 10,09 5,88–14,30 4,77–15,41 | 72% 18% |
| Posesie % | 49,87 43,08–56,66 41,41–58,33 | 49,32 42,53–56,10 40,86–57,77 | — | 49% 46% |
| Pase | 397 330–465 312–483 | 395 328–461 311–479 | 792 659–926 623–962 | 51% 49% |
| Precizie pase % | 62,93 58,90–66,96 57,61–68,25 | 66,65 62,33–70,98 61,02–72,29 | — | 29% 66% |
| Faulturi | 12,59 9,75–15,43 9,00–16,18 | 11,50 8,56–14,45 7,81–15,19 | 24,09 18,31–29,87 16,81–31,38 | 55% 37% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,61 0,45–2,77 0,15–3,07 | 1,30 0,21–2,40 0,00–2,69 | 2,92 0,66–5,17 0,07–5,76 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,83 0,78–2,88 0,51–3,14 | 1,94 0,81–3,07 0,52–3,36 | 3,77 1,59–5,95 1,03–6,50 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,13 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,45 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,57 1,14–4,01 0,75–4,40 | 3,66 2,11–5,22 1,68–5,64 | 6,23 3,24–9,23 2,43–10,04 | 26% 15% 59% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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