Liga I·Etapa 25·
Liga I·Etapa 25·Statistici estimate
Goluri
31%
24%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,351,693,04sigur0,38–2,320,84–2,551,22–4,86mai sigur0,13–2,570,61–2,780,74–5,34
Șuturi pe poartă
28%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,225,559,77sigur2,35–6,083,81–7,306,16–13,37mai sigur1,86–6,573,34–7,765,21–14,33
Total șuturi
24%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,4315,6428,08sigur8,51–16,3612,08–19,2120,59–35,56mai sigur7,42–17,4511,12–20,1718,54–37,62
Șuturi din careu
29%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,889,6817,56sigur4,93–10,827,00–12,3611,93–23,18mai sigur4,10–11,656,26–13,1010,37–24,75
Șuturi blocate
31%
14%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,274,137,40sigur1,39–5,162,47–5,783,87–10,94mai sigur0,85–5,701,98–6,272,83–11,97
Cornere
43%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,964,989,94sigur2,74–7,172,98–6,985,73–14,15mai sigur2,17–7,752,45–7,514,62–15,26
Posesie %
28%
68%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,3054,33sigur38,51–52,0947,55–61,12mai sigur36,84–53,7645,88–62,79
Pase
31%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție433492926sigur366–501426–559792–1059mai sigur348–519408–576756–1095
Precizie pase %
16%
81%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,1577,46sigur66,13–74,1873,14–81,79mai sigur64,83–75,4871,83–83,10
Faulturi
51%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,8811,2023,08sigur9,04–14,728,25–14,1417,30–28,86mai sigur8,29–15,477,50–14,8915,79–30,37
Ofsaiduri
52%
21%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,041,393,43sigur0,88–3,200,30–2,491,18–5,68mai sigur0,58–3,500,01–2,780,59–6,27
Cartonașe galbene
40%
21%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,032,034,06sigur0,98–3,080,90–3,161,88–6,24mai sigur0,71–3,340,61–3,451,32–6,79
Cartonașe roșii
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,130,140,27sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,330,00–0,61mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,460,00–0,90
Parade portar
52%
15%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,612,946,56sigur2,18–5,051,39–4,503,56–9,55mai sigur1,79–5,440,96–4,922,75–10,36
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,35 0,38–2,32 0,13–2,57 | 1,69 0,84–2,55 0,61–2,78 | 3,04 1,22–4,86 0,74–5,34 | 31% 24% 46% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,22 2,35–6,08 1,86–6,57 | 5,55 3,81–7,30 3,34–7,76 | 9,77 6,16–13,37 5,21–14,33 | 28% 60% |
| Total șuturi | 12,43 8,51–16,36 7,42–17,45 | 15,64 12,08–19,21 11,12–20,17 | 28,08 20,59–35,56 18,54–37,62 | 24% 70% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,88 4,93–10,82 4,10–11,65 | 9,68 7,00–12,36 6,26–13,10 | 17,56 11,93–23,18 10,37–24,75 | 29% 62% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,27 1,39–5,16 0,85–5,70 | 4,13 2,47–5,78 1,98–6,27 | 7,40 3,87–10,94 2,83–11,97 | 31% 14% 55% |
| Cornere | 4,96 2,74–7,17 2,17–7,75 | 4,98 2,98–6,98 2,45–7,51 | 9,94 5,73–14,15 4,62–15,26 | 43% 44% |
| Posesie % | 45,30 38,51–52,09 36,84–53,76 | 54,33 47,55–61,12 45,88–62,79 | — | 28% 68% |
| Pase | 433 366–501 348–519 | 492 426–559 408–576 | 926 792–1059 756–1095 | 31% 69% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,15 66,13–74,18 64,83–75,48 | 77,46 73,14–81,79 71,83–83,10 | — | 16% 81% |
| Faulturi | 11,88 9,04–14,72 8,29–15,47 | 11,20 8,25–14,14 7,50–14,89 | 23,08 17,30–28,86 15,79–30,37 | 51% 40% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,04 0,88–3,20 0,58–3,50 | 1,39 0,30–2,49 0,01–2,78 | 3,43 1,18–5,68 0,59–6,27 | 52% 21% 26% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,03 0,98–3,08 0,71–3,34 | 2,03 0,90–3,16 0,61–3,45 | 4,06 1,88–6,24 1,32–6,79 | 40% 21% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,13 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,14 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,46 | 0,27 0,00–0,61 0,00–0,90 | 78% |
| Parade portar | 3,61 2,18–5,05 1,79–5,44 | 2,94 1,39–4,50 0,96–4,92 | 6,56 3,56–9,55 2,75–10,36 | 52% 15% 32% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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