Liga I·Etapa 26·
Liga I·Etapa 26·Statistici estimate
Goluri
30%
24%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,321,683,00sigur0,35–2,290,82–2,531,17–4,82mai sigur0,10–2,540,60–2,760,69–5,30
Șuturi pe poartă
32%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,415,389,79sigur2,55–6,273,64–7,126,19–13,40mai sigur2,06–6,763,17–7,595,23–14,35
Total șuturi
47%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,0913,9728,05sigur10,16–18,0110,40–17,5320,56–35,54mai sigur9,07–19,109,44–18,4918,51–37,59
Șuturi din careu
39%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,729,4218,14sigur5,78–11,666,74–12,1012,52–23,76mai sigur4,95–12,496,00–12,8410,95–25,33
Șuturi blocate
38%
14%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,794,147,93sigur1,91–5,672,49–5,794,39–11,46mai sigur1,36–6,211,99–6,283,36–12,50
Cornere
46%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,154,9310,08sigur2,94–7,372,93–6,935,87–14,29mai sigur2,37–7,942,40–7,464,76–15,40
Posesie %
36%
60%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,5952,88sigur40,80–54,3846,09–59,66mai sigur39,13–56,0544,42–61,33
Pase
38%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție433468901sigur365–500402–535767–1035mai sigur347–518384–552732–1070
Precizie pase %
21%
75%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,1875,97sigur66,15–74,2171,65–80,30mai sigur64,85–75,5070,34–81,61
Faulturi
48%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2510,9522,20sigur8,41–14,098,01–13,9016,42–27,98mai sigur7,66–14,847,26–14,6514,91–29,49
Ofsaiduri
44%
24%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,661,383,04sigur0,50–2,820,29–2,480,79–5,29mai sigur0,20–3,120,00–2,760,20–5,88
Cartonașe galbene
36%
21%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,902,083,98sigur0,85–2,950,95–3,211,81–6,16mai sigur0,58–3,220,66–3,501,25–6,72
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,100,20sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,290,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,420,00–0,83
Parade portar
47%
16%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,343,006,33sigur1,90–4,771,44–4,553,34–9,32mai sigur1,51–5,161,02–4,982,53–10,14
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,32 0,35–2,29 0,10–2,54 | 1,68 0,82–2,53 0,60–2,76 | 3,00 1,17–4,82 0,69–5,30 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,41 2,55–6,27 2,06–6,76 | 5,38 3,64–7,12 3,17–7,59 | 9,79 6,19–13,40 5,23–14,35 | 32% 56% |
| Total șuturi | 14,09 10,16–18,01 9,07–19,10 | 13,97 10,40–17,53 9,44–18,49 | 28,05 20,56–35,54 18,51–37,59 | 47% 45% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,72 5,78–11,66 4,95–12,49 | 9,42 6,74–12,10 6,00–12,84 | 18,14 12,52–23,76 10,95–25,33 | 39% 52% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,79 1,91–5,67 1,36–6,21 | 4,14 2,49–5,79 1,99–6,28 | 7,93 4,39–11,46 3,36–12,50 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Cornere | 5,15 2,94–7,37 2,37–7,94 | 4,93 2,93–6,93 2,40–7,46 | 10,08 5,87–14,29 4,76–15,40 | 46% 41% |
| Posesie % | 47,59 40,80–54,38 39,13–56,05 | 52,88 46,09–59,66 44,42–61,33 | — | 36% 60% |
| Pase | 433 365–500 347–518 | 468 402–535 384–552 | 901 767–1035 732–1070 | 38% 62% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,18 66,15–74,21 64,85–75,50 | 75,97 71,65–80,30 70,34–81,61 | — | 21% 75% |
| Faulturi | 11,25 8,41–14,09 7,66–14,84 | 10,95 8,01–13,90 7,26–14,65 | 22,20 16,42–27,98 14,91–29,49 | 48% 43% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,66 0,50–2,82 0,20–3,12 | 1,38 0,29–2,48 0,00–2,76 | 3,04 0,79–5,29 0,20–5,88 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,90 0,85–2,95 0,58–3,22 | 2,08 0,95–3,21 0,66–3,50 | 3,98 1,81–6,16 1,25–6,72 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 3,34 1,90–4,77 1,51–5,16 | 3,00 1,44–4,55 1,02–4,98 | 6,33 3,34–9,32 2,53–10,14 | 47% 16% 37% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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