Liga I·Etapa 28·
Liga I·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
51%
23%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,781,182,96sigur0,81–2,750,32–2,031,13–4,78mai sigur0,56–3,000,09–2,260,65–5,26
Șuturi pe poartă
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,993,799,77sigur4,12–7,852,04–5,536,17–13,38mai sigur3,63–8,341,58–5,995,21–14,33
Total șuturi
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,0610,6727,73sigur13,13–20,987,11–14,2420,24–35,22mai sigur12,04–22,076,15–15,1918,19–37,27
Șuturi din careu
79%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,366,5816,94sigur7,41–13,303,90–9,2611,32–22,56mai sigur6,58–14,133,16–10,009,75–24,13
Șuturi blocate
67%
13%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,162,526,68sigur2,28–6,040,87–4,183,15–10,22mai sigur1,73–6,580,38–4,672,11–11,25
Cornere
68%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,853,879,72sigur3,64–8,061,87–5,875,51–13,94mai sigur3,06–8,641,34–6,414,40–15,05
Posesie %
86%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,9540,44sigur53,16–66,7433,66–47,23mai sigur51,49–68,4131,99–48,90
Pase
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție529361890sigur462–596295–428757–1024mai sigur444–614277–445721–1060
Precizie pase %
77%
19%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,5069,25sigur71,47–79,5364,93–73,57mai sigur70,18–80,8263,62–74,88
Faulturi
32%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3213,1824,51sigur8,49–14,1610,24–16,1318,72–30,29mai sigur7,73–14,929,49–16,8817,22–31,79
Ofsaiduri
35%
22%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,651,833,47sigur0,49–2,810,73–2,921,22–5,73mai sigur0,18–3,110,44–3,210,63–6,32
Cartonașe galbene
31%
20%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,752,243,99sigur0,70–2,801,11–3,371,81–6,16mai sigur0,43–3,060,82–3,661,25–6,72
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,150,24sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,340,00–0,59mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,470,00–0,87
Parade portar
23%
14%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,633,996,62sigur1,20–4,072,43–5,543,63–9,61mai sigur0,81–4,462,00–5,972,81–10,42
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,78 0,81–2,75 0,56–3,00 | 1,18 0,32–2,03 0,09–2,26 | 2,96 1,13–4,78 0,65–5,26 | 51% 23% 25% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,99 4,12–7,85 3,63–8,34 | 3,79 2,04–5,53 1,58–5,99 | 9,77 6,17–13,38 5,21–14,33 | 71% 19% |
| Total șuturi | 17,06 13,13–20,98 12,04–22,07 | 10,67 7,11–14,24 6,15–15,19 | 27,73 20,24–35,22 18,19–37,27 | 87% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,36 7,41–13,30 6,58–14,13 | 6,58 3,90–9,26 3,16–10,00 | 16,94 11,32–22,56 9,75–24,13 | 79% 15% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,16 2,28–6,04 1,73–6,58 | 2,52 0,87–4,18 0,38–4,67 | 6,68 3,15–10,22 2,11–11,25 | 67% 13% 20% |
| Cornere | 5,85 3,64–8,06 3,06–8,64 | 3,87 1,87–5,87 1,34–6,41 | 9,72 5,51–13,94 4,40–15,05 | 68% 21% |
| Posesie % | 59,95 53,16–66,74 51,49–68,41 | 40,44 33,66–47,23 31,99–48,90 | — | 86% |
| Pase | 529 462–596 444–614 | 361 295–428 277–445 | 890 757–1024 721–1060 | 92% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,50 71,47–79,53 70,18–80,82 | 69,25 64,93–73,57 63,62–74,88 | — | 77% 19% |
| Faulturi | 11,32 8,49–14,16 7,73–14,92 | 13,18 10,24–16,13 9,49–16,88 | 24,51 18,72–30,29 17,22–31,79 | 32% 61% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,65 0,49–2,81 0,18–3,11 | 1,83 0,73–2,92 0,44–3,21 | 3,47 1,22–5,73 0,63–6,32 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,75 0,70–2,80 0,43–3,06 | 2,24 1,11–3,37 0,82–3,66 | 3,99 1,81–6,16 1,25–6,72 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,15 0,00–0,34 0,00–0,47 | 0,24 0,00–0,59 0,00–0,87 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 2,63 1,20–4,07 0,81–4,46 | 3,99 2,43–5,54 2,00–5,97 | 6,62 3,63–9,61 2,81–10,42 | 23% 14% 63% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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