Liga I·Etapa 30·
Liga I·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
39%
24%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,581,533,10sigur0,61–2,540,67–2,381,28–4,92mai sigur0,36–2,800,44–2,610,80–5,40
Șuturi pe poartă
43%
13%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,724,729,45sigur2,86–6,592,98–6,465,84–13,05mai sigur2,37–7,082,51–6,934,88–14,01
Total șuturi
49%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,5014,2028,70sigur10,58–18,4210,63–17,7621,21–36,18mai sigur9,48–19,529,67–18,7219,16–38,23
Șuturi din careu
50%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,808,2617,05sigur5,85–11,745,58–10,9411,43–22,68mai sigur5,02–12,574,84–11,689,86–24,24
Șuturi blocate
38%
15%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,483,797,27sigur1,60–5,372,13–5,443,74–10,81mai sigur1,06–5,911,64–5,932,70–11,84
Cornere
48%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,164,799,95sigur2,95–7,382,79–6,795,74–14,16mai sigur2,38–7,952,25–7,324,63–15,27
Posesie %
19%
78%
gazdeoaspețipredicție42,8256,60sigur36,03–49,6149,82–63,39mai sigur34,36–51,2848,15–65,06
Pase
15%
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție381504885sigur314–448437–570751–1019mai sigur296–466420–588716–1054
Precizie pase %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,4174,74sigur61,38–69,4470,42–79,07mai sigur60,09–70,7369,11–80,38
Faulturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,6912,2224,91sigur9,86–15,539,28–15,1719,13–30,70mai sigur9,10–16,298,53–15,9217,63–32,20
Ofsaiduri
40%
24%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,591,483,07sigur0,43–2,750,39–2,580,82–5,33mai sigur0,13–3,050,10–2,870,23–5,91
Cartonașe galbene
42%
22%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,871,743,61sigur0,82–2,920,62–2,871,43–5,79mai sigur0,55–3,180,32–3,160,88–6,35
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,100,20sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,290,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,420,00–0,83
Parade portar
42%
16%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,203,186,39sigur1,77–4,641,63–4,743,40–9,38mai sigur1,38–5,031,20–5,162,58–10,19
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,58 0,61–2,54 0,36–2,80 | 1,53 0,67–2,38 0,44–2,61 | 3,10 1,28–4,92 0,80–5,40 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,72 2,86–6,59 2,37–7,08 | 4,72 2,98–6,46 2,51–6,93 | 9,45 5,84–13,05 4,88–14,01 | 43% 13% 43% |
| Total șuturi | 14,50 10,58–18,42 9,48–19,52 | 14,20 10,63–17,76 9,67–18,72 | 28,70 21,21–36,18 19,16–38,23 | 49% 44% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,80 5,85–11,74 5,02–12,57 | 8,26 5,58–10,94 4,84–11,68 | 17,05 11,43–22,68 9,86–24,24 | 50% 40% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,48 1,60–5,37 1,06–5,91 | 3,79 2,13–5,44 1,64–5,93 | 7,27 3,74–10,81 2,70–11,84 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Cornere | 5,16 2,95–7,38 2,38–7,95 | 4,79 2,79–6,79 2,25–7,32 | 9,95 5,74–14,16 4,63–15,27 | 48% 39% |
| Posesie % | 42,82 36,03–49,61 34,36–51,28 | 56,60 49,82–63,39 48,15–65,06 | — | 19% 78% |
| Pase | 381 314–448 296–466 | 504 437–570 420–588 | 885 751–1019 716–1054 | 15% 85% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,41 61,38–69,44 60,09–70,73 | 74,74 70,42–79,07 69,11–80,38 | — | 87% |
| Faulturi | 12,69 9,86–15,53 9,10–16,29 | 12,22 9,28–15,17 8,53–15,92 | 24,91 19,13–30,70 17,63–32,20 | 50% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,59 0,43–2,75 0,13–3,05 | 1,48 0,39–2,58 0,10–2,87 | 3,07 0,82–5,33 0,23–5,91 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,87 0,82–2,92 0,55–3,18 | 1,74 0,62–2,87 0,32–3,16 | 3,61 1,43–5,79 0,88–6,35 | 42% 22% 37% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,20 1,77–4,64 1,38–5,03 | 3,18 1,63–4,74 1,20–5,16 | 6,39 3,40–9,38 2,58–10,19 | 42% 16% 42% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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