Liga I·Etapa 30·
Liga I·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
32%
25%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,241,482,72sigur0,27–2,210,63–2,340,90–4,55mai sigur0,02–2,460,40–2,560,42–5,03
Șuturi pe poartă
42%
13%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,564,649,20sigur2,70–6,422,89–6,385,59–12,80mai sigur2,21–6,912,43–6,854,64–13,76
Total șuturi
53%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,2713,3527,61sigur10,34–18,199,78–16,9120,13–35,10mai sigur9,25–19,288,83–17,8718,08–37,15
Șuturi din careu
45%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,618,5917,21sigur5,67–11,565,91–11,2711,58–22,83mai sigur4,84–12,395,17–12,0110,02–24,40
Șuturi blocate
43%
15%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,683,667,33sigur1,79–5,562,01–5,313,80–10,87mai sigur1,25–6,101,51–5,802,76–11,90
Cornere
46%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,984,839,81sigur2,77–7,202,83–6,835,60–14,02mai sigur2,20–7,772,29–7,364,49–15,13
Posesie %
34%
62%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,9853,19sigur40,19–53,7746,40–59,97mai sigur38,52–55,4444,73–61,65
Pase
36%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție408451859sigur340–475384–517725–992mai sigur322–493367–535689–1028
Precizie pase %
24%
72%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,1077,02sigur68,07–76,1372,70–81,34mai sigur66,78–77,4271,39–82,65
Faulturi
43%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7513,1925,95sigur9,92–15,5910,25–16,1420,17–31,73mai sigur9,16–16,359,50–16,8918,66–33,24
Ofsaiduri
44%
24%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,611,312,92sigur0,45–2,770,22–2,400,67–5,17mai sigur0,15–3,070,00–2,690,08–5,76
Cartonașe galbene
40%
20%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,122,094,20sigur1,07–3,170,96–3,222,02–6,38mai sigur0,80–3,430,67–3,511,47–6,94
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,130,24sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,310,00–0,59mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,450,00–0,87
Parade portar
40%
17%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,963,086,05sigur1,53–4,401,53–4,643,06–9,04mai sigur1,14–4,791,10–5,072,24–9,85
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,24 0,27–2,21 0,02–2,46 | 1,48 0,63–2,34 0,40–2,56 | 2,72 0,90–4,55 0,42–5,03 | 32% 25% 43% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,56 2,70–6,42 2,21–6,91 | 4,64 2,89–6,38 2,43–6,85 | 9,20 5,59–12,80 4,64–13,76 | 42% 13% 44% |
| Total șuturi | 14,27 10,34–18,19 9,25–19,28 | 13,35 9,78–16,91 8,83–17,87 | 27,61 20,13–35,10 18,08–37,15 | 53% 39% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,61 5,67–11,56 4,84–12,39 | 8,59 5,91–11,27 5,17–12,01 | 17,21 11,58–22,83 10,02–24,40 | 45% 45% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,68 1,79–5,56 1,25–6,10 | 3,66 2,01–5,31 1,51–5,80 | 7,33 3,80–10,87 2,76–11,90 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Cornere | 4,98 2,77–7,20 2,20–7,77 | 4,83 2,83–6,83 2,29–7,36 | 9,81 5,60–14,02 4,49–15,13 | 46% 42% |
| Posesie % | 46,98 40,19–53,77 38,52–55,44 | 53,19 46,40–59,97 44,73–61,65 | — | 34% 62% |
| Pase | 408 340–475 322–493 | 451 384–517 367–535 | 859 725–992 689–1028 | 36% 64% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,10 68,07–76,13 66,78–77,42 | 77,02 72,70–81,34 71,39–82,65 | — | 24% 72% |
| Faulturi | 12,75 9,92–15,59 9,16–16,35 | 13,19 10,25–16,14 9,50–16,89 | 25,95 20,17–31,73 18,66–33,24 | 43% 50% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,61 0,45–2,77 0,15–3,07 | 1,31 0,22–2,40 0,00–2,69 | 2,92 0,67–5,17 0,08–5,76 | 44% 24% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,12 1,07–3,17 0,80–3,43 | 2,09 0,96–3,22 0,67–3,51 | 4,20 2,02–6,38 1,47–6,94 | 40% 20% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,13 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,45 | 0,24 0,00–0,59 0,00–0,87 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 2,96 1,53–4,40 1,14–4,79 | 3,08 1,53–4,64 1,10–5,07 | 6,05 3,06–9,04 2,24–9,85 | 40% 17% 44% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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