La Liga·Etapa 8·
La Liga·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
35%
27%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,241,312,55sigur0,27–2,210,46–2,170,73–4,37mai sigur0,02–2,460,23–2,390,25–4,85
Șuturi pe poartă
42%
14%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,404,508,90sigur2,54–6,262,76–6,245,29–12,50mai sigur2,05–6,752,29–6,714,34–13,46
Total șuturi
52%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0012,2325,22sigur9,07–16,928,66–15,7917,74–32,71mai sigur7,98–18,017,70–16,7515,69–34,76
Șuturi din careu
35%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,168,2115,37sigur4,22–10,105,53–10,899,74–20,99mai sigur3,39–10,934,79–11,628,18–22,56
Șuturi blocate
55%
16%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,442,596,03sigur1,56–5,320,94–4,252,50–9,57mai sigur1,01–5,870,45–4,741,46–10,61
Cornere
51%
13%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,934,369,30sigur2,72–7,152,36–6,365,08–13,51mai sigur2,15–7,721,83–6,903,97–14,62
Posesie %
58%
38%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,0347,73sigur45,24–58,8240,95–54,52mai sigur43,57–60,4939,28–56,19
Pase
64%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție483440923sigur416–551373–506789–1057mai sigur398–569356–524754–1092
Precizie pase %
36%
59%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,6269,80sigur63,59–71,6565,48–74,13mai sigur62,29–72,9464,17–75,44
Faulturi
32%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,6414,6127,25sigur9,80–15,4711,67–17,5621,46–33,03mai sigur9,04–16,2310,92–18,3019,96–34,53
Ofsaiduri
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,453,484,94sigur0,29–2,612,39–4,582,68–7,19mai sigur0,00–2,912,10–4,862,09–7,78
Cartonașe galbene
36%
18%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,512,795,29sigur1,46–3,561,66–3,923,12–7,47mai sigur1,19–3,821,37–4,212,56–8,03
Cartonașe roșii
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,150,140,29sigur0,00–0,310,00–0,330,00–0,64mai sigur0,00–0,460,00–0,460,00–0,92
Parade portar
38%
17%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,853,105,95sigur1,42–4,291,54–4,662,96–8,95mai sigur1,03–4,681,12–5,082,15–9,76
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,24 0,27–2,21 0,02–2,46 | 1,31 0,46–2,17 0,23–2,39 | 2,55 0,73–4,37 0,25–4,85 | 35% 27% 38% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,40 2,54–6,26 2,05–6,75 | 4,50 2,76–6,24 2,29–6,71 | 8,90 5,29–12,50 4,34–13,46 | 42% 14% 45% |
| Total șuturi | 13,00 9,07–16,92 7,98–18,01 | 12,23 8,66–15,79 7,70–16,75 | 25,22 17,74–32,71 15,69–34,76 | 52% 40% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,16 4,22–10,10 3,39–10,93 | 8,21 5,53–10,89 4,79–11,62 | 15,37 9,74–20,99 8,18–22,56 | 35% 55% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,44 1,56–5,32 1,01–5,87 | 2,59 0,94–4,25 0,45–4,74 | 6,03 2,50–9,57 1,46–10,61 | 55% 16% 29% |
| Cornere | 4,93 2,72–7,15 2,15–7,72 | 4,36 2,36–6,36 1,83–6,90 | 9,30 5,08–13,51 3,97–14,62 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Posesie % | 52,03 45,24–58,82 43,57–60,49 | 47,73 40,95–54,52 39,28–56,19 | — | 58% 38% |
| Pase | 483 416–551 398–569 | 440 373–506 356–524 | 923 789–1057 754–1092 | 64% 36% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,62 63,59–71,65 62,29–72,94 | 69,80 65,48–74,13 64,17–75,44 | — | 36% 59% |
| Faulturi | 12,64 9,80–15,47 9,04–16,23 | 14,61 11,67–17,56 10,92–18,30 | 27,25 21,46–33,03 19,96–34,53 | 32% 61% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,45 0,29–2,61 0,00–2,91 | 3,48 2,39–4,58 2,10–4,86 | 4,94 2,68–7,19 2,09–7,78 | 76% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,51 1,46–3,56 1,19–3,82 | 2,79 1,66–3,92 1,37–4,21 | 5,29 3,12–7,47 2,56–8,03 | 36% 18% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,15 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,46 | 0,14 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,46 | 0,29 0,00–0,64 0,00–0,92 | 76% |
| Parade portar | 2,85 1,42–4,29 1,03–4,68 | 3,10 1,54–4,66 1,12–5,08 | 5,95 2,96–8,95 2,15–9,76 | 38% 17% 46% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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