La Liga·Etapa 8·
La Liga·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
28%
24%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,241,702,94sigur0,27–2,200,85–2,561,12–4,76mai sigur0,02–2,460,62–2,790,64–5,24
Șuturi pe poartă
34%
13%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,124,889,00sigur2,26–5,993,14–6,625,40–12,61mai sigur1,77–6,482,67–7,094,44–13,56
Total șuturi
38%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0514,1527,20sigur9,13–16,9810,59–17,7119,72–34,69mai sigur8,04–18,079,63–18,6717,67–36,74
Șuturi din careu
32%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,779,2216,98sigur4,82–10,716,54–11,9011,36–22,61mai sigur3,99–11,545,80–12,649,79–24,17
Șuturi blocate
37%
15%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,563,937,49sigur1,68–5,442,28–5,583,96–11,03mai sigur1,14–5,991,79–6,082,92–12,06
Cornere
37%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,975,5410,51sigur2,76–7,193,54–7,546,30–14,73mai sigur2,19–7,763,01–8,075,19–15,83
Posesie %
27%
69%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,2754,83sigur38,48–52,0648,04–61,61mai sigur36,81–53,7346,37–63,28
Pase
27%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție423497920sigur356–490431–564786–1054mai sigur337–508413–581751–1089
Precizie pase %
15%
81%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,1773,58sigur62,14–70,2069,25–77,90mai sigur60,84–71,4967,95–79,21
Faulturi
45%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2011,3122,50sigur8,36–14,038,36–14,2516,72–28,29mai sigur7,60–14,797,61–15,0015,22–29,79
Ofsaiduri
58%
18%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,751,804,55sigur1,59–3,910,71–2,892,30–6,81mai sigur1,29–4,210,42–3,181,71–7,39
Cartonașe galbene
42%
20%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,101,974,07sigur1,06–3,150,84–3,101,90–6,25mai sigur0,79–3,420,55–3,391,34–6,81
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,090,21sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,270,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,410,00–0,84
Parade portar
47%
17%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,132,825,95sigur1,70–4,571,26–4,372,96–8,94mai sigur1,31–4,960,84–4,802,14–9,75
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,24 0,27–2,20 0,02–2,46 | 1,70 0,85–2,56 0,62–2,79 | 2,94 1,12–4,76 0,64–5,24 | 28% 24% 48% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,12 2,26–5,99 1,77–6,48 | 4,88 3,14–6,62 2,67–7,09 | 9,00 5,40–12,61 4,44–13,56 | 34% 13% 53% |
| Total șuturi | 13,05 9,13–16,98 8,04–18,07 | 14,15 10,59–17,71 9,63–18,67 | 27,20 19,72–34,69 17,67–36,74 | 38% 55% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,77 4,82–10,71 3,99–11,54 | 9,22 6,54–11,90 5,80–12,64 | 16,98 11,36–22,61 9,79–24,17 | 32% 59% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,56 1,68–5,44 1,14–5,99 | 3,93 2,28–5,58 1,79–6,08 | 7,49 3,96–11,03 2,92–12,06 | 37% 15% 48% |
| Cornere | 4,97 2,76–7,19 2,19–7,76 | 5,54 3,54–7,54 3,01–8,07 | 10,51 6,30–14,73 5,19–15,83 | 37% 51% |
| Posesie % | 45,27 38,48–52,06 36,81–53,73 | 54,83 48,04–61,61 46,37–63,28 | — | 27% 69% |
| Pase | 423 356–490 337–508 | 497 431–564 413–581 | 920 786–1054 751–1089 | 27% 73% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,17 62,14–70,20 60,84–71,49 | 73,58 69,25–77,90 67,95–79,21 | — | 15% 81% |
| Faulturi | 11,20 8,36–14,03 7,60–14,79 | 11,31 8,36–14,25 7,61–15,00 | 22,50 16,72–28,29 15,22–29,79 | 45% 47% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,75 1,59–3,91 1,29–4,21 | 1,80 0,71–2,89 0,42–3,18 | 4,55 2,30–6,81 1,71–7,39 | 58% 18% 24% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,10 1,06–3,15 0,79–3,42 | 1,97 0,84–3,10 0,55–3,39 | 4,07 1,90–6,25 1,34–6,81 | 42% 20% 37% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 3,13 1,70–4,57 1,31–4,96 | 2,82 1,26–4,37 0,84–4,80 | 5,95 2,96–8,94 2,14–9,75 | 47% 17% 37% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
Estimări statistice doar pentru informare și divertisment, nu sfaturi de pariere.