La Liga·Etapa 8·
La Liga·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
64%
19%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,271,083,36sigur1,31–3,240,23–1,941,53–5,18mai sigur1,06–3,490,00–2,161,05–5,66
Șuturi pe poartă
74%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,694,0910,78sigur4,83–8,562,34–5,837,17–14,38mai sigur4,34–9,051,88–6,296,22–15,34
Total șuturi
82%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,5212,0929,61sigur13,60–21,458,53–15,6522,12–37,10mai sigur12,51–22,547,57–16,6120,07–39,15
Șuturi din careu
78%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,968,0119,97sigur9,02–14,905,33–10,6914,34–25,59mai sigur8,19–15,734,59–11,4312,78–27,16
Șuturi blocate
65%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,593,047,64sigur2,71–6,471,39–4,704,10–11,17mai sigur2,17–7,020,90–5,193,06–12,21
Cornere
76%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,884,0610,94sigur4,67–9,102,06–6,066,73–15,15mai sigur4,10–9,671,52–6,595,62–16,26
Posesie %
61%
34%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,4147,61sigur46,62–60,2040,82–54,39mai sigur44,95–61,8739,15–56,06
Pase
70%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5334691002sigur466–601402–535868–1136mai sigur448–619385–553833–1171
Precizie pase %
38%
57%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,6374,51sigur68,60–76,6670,18–78,83mai sigur67,31–77,9568,88–80,14
Faulturi
31%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9612,9323,89sigur8,12–13,809,99–15,8818,11–29,67mai sigur7,37–14,559,24–16,6316,60–31,18
Ofsaiduri
39%
22%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,771,743,52sigur0,61–2,930,65–2,841,26–5,77mai sigur0,31–3,230,36–3,130,67–6,36
Cartonașe galbene
24%
18%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,652,564,21sigur0,60–2,701,43–3,692,03–6,39mai sigur0,33–2,961,14–3,981,47–6,95
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,120,20sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,310,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,440,00–0,83
Parade portar
25%
13%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,104,417,51sigur1,67–4,542,85–5,964,52–10,50mai sigur1,28–4,932,43–6,393,71–11,31
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,27 1,31–3,24 1,06–3,49 | 1,08 0,23–1,94 0,00–2,16 | 3,36 1,53–5,18 1,05–5,66 | 64% 19% 17% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,69 4,83–8,56 4,34–9,05 | 4,09 2,34–5,83 1,88–6,29 | 10,78 7,17–14,38 6,22–15,34 | 74% 17% |
| Total șuturi | 17,52 13,60–21,45 12,51–22,54 | 12,09 8,53–15,65 7,57–16,61 | 29,61 22,12–37,10 20,07–39,15 | 82% 14% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,96 9,02–14,90 8,19–15,73 | 8,01 5,33–10,69 4,59–11,43 | 19,97 14,34–25,59 12,78–27,16 | 78% 16% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,59 2,71–6,47 2,17–7,02 | 3,04 1,39–4,70 0,90–5,19 | 7,64 4,10–11,17 3,06–12,21 | 65% 23% |
| Cornere | 6,88 4,67–9,10 4,10–9,67 | 4,06 2,06–6,06 1,52–6,59 | 10,94 6,73–15,15 5,62–16,26 | 76% 15% |
| Posesie % | 53,41 46,62–60,20 44,95–61,87 | 47,61 40,82–54,39 39,15–56,06 | — | 61% 34% |
| Pase | 533 466–601 448–619 | 469 402–535 385–553 | 1002 868–1136 833–1171 | 70% 29% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,63 68,60–76,66 67,31–77,95 | 74,51 70,18–78,83 68,88–80,14 | — | 38% 57% |
| Faulturi | 10,96 8,12–13,80 7,37–14,55 | 12,93 9,99–15,88 9,24–16,63 | 23,89 18,11–29,67 16,60–31,18 | 31% 62% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,77 0,61–2,93 0,31–3,23 | 1,74 0,65–2,84 0,36–3,13 | 3,52 1,26–5,77 0,67–6,36 | 39% 22% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,65 0,60–2,70 0,33–2,96 | 2,56 1,43–3,69 1,14–3,98 | 4,21 2,03–6,39 1,47–6,95 | 24% 18% 58% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 3,10 1,67–4,54 1,28–4,93 | 4,41 2,85–5,96 2,43–6,39 | 7,51 4,52–10,50 3,71–11,31 | 25% 13% 61% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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