La Liga·Etapa 9·
La Liga·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
73%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,500,853,35sigur1,53–3,470,00–1,701,53–5,17mai sigur1,28–3,720,00–1,931,05–5,65
Șuturi pe poartă
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,883,109,98sigur5,01–8,741,36–4,856,38–13,59mai sigur4,52–9,230,90–5,315,42–14,54
Total șuturi
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,739,8127,54sigur13,80–21,656,25–13,3820,06–35,03mai sigur12,71–22,755,29–14,3418,01–37,08
Șuturi din careu
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,546,0118,55sigur9,59–15,483,33–8,6912,92–24,17mai sigur8,76–16,312,59–9,4311,36–25,74
Șuturi blocate
72%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,352,366,71sigur2,47–6,230,71–4,023,17–10,25mai sigur1,92–6,770,22–4,512,14–11,28
Cornere
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,923,4210,34sigur4,70–9,131,42–5,426,13–14,55mai sigur4,13–9,700,89–5,965,02–15,66
Posesie %
92%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,2837,91sigur55,49–69,0731,12–44,69mai sigur53,82–70,7429,45–46,36
Pase
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție597341938sigur530–664274–407804–1071mai sigur512–682257–425768–1107
Precizie pase %
77%
19%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,9768,75sigur70,94–79,0064,43–73,08mai sigur69,65–80,2963,12–74,38
Faulturi
32%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5613,3424,90sigur8,72–14,4010,39–16,2819,12–30,68mai sigur7,97–15,169,64–17,0317,61–32,19
Ofsaiduri
47%
21%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,101,703,79sigur0,94–3,260,60–2,791,54–6,05mai sigur0,64–3,560,31–3,080,95–6,64
Cartonașe galbene
24%
19%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,552,413,96sigur0,51–2,601,28–3,541,79–6,14mai sigur0,24–2,870,99–3,831,23–6,70
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,130,19sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,310,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,450,00–0,82
Parade portar
18%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,444,296,73sigur1,00–3,872,74–5,853,74–9,72mai sigur0,61–4,262,31–6,272,93–10,54
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,50 1,53–3,47 1,28–3,72 | 0,85 0,00–1,70 0,00–1,93 | 3,35 1,53–5,17 1,05–5,65 | 73% 16% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,88 5,01–8,74 4,52–9,23 | 3,10 1,36–4,85 0,90–5,31 | 9,98 6,38–13,59 5,42–14,54 | 85% |
| Total șuturi | 17,73 13,80–21,65 12,71–22,75 | 9,81 6,25–13,38 5,29–14,34 | 27,54 20,06–35,03 18,01–37,08 | 92% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,54 9,59–15,48 8,76–16,31 | 6,01 3,33–8,69 2,59–9,43 | 18,55 12,92–24,17 11,36–25,74 | 92% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,35 2,47–6,23 1,92–6,77 | 2,36 0,71–4,02 0,22–4,51 | 6,71 3,17–10,25 2,14–11,28 | 72% 16% |
| Cornere | 6,92 4,70–9,13 4,13–9,70 | 3,42 1,42–5,42 0,89–5,96 | 10,34 6,13–14,55 5,02–15,66 | 83% |
| Posesie % | 62,28 55,49–69,07 53,82–70,74 | 37,91 31,12–44,69 29,45–46,36 | — | 92% |
| Pase | 597 530–664 512–682 | 341 274–407 257–425 | 938 804–1071 768–1107 | 98% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,97 70,94–79,00 69,65–80,29 | 68,75 64,43–73,08 63,12–74,38 | — | 77% 19% |
| Faulturi | 11,56 8,72–14,40 7,97–15,16 | 13,34 10,39–16,28 9,64–17,03 | 24,90 19,12–30,68 17,61–32,19 | 32% 60% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,10 0,94–3,26 0,64–3,56 | 1,70 0,60–2,79 0,31–3,08 | 3,79 1,54–6,05 0,95–6,64 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,55 0,51–2,60 0,24–2,87 | 2,41 1,28–3,54 0,99–3,83 | 3,96 1,79–6,14 1,23–6,70 | 24% 19% 57% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,13 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,45 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,44 1,00–3,87 0,61–4,26 | 4,29 2,74–5,85 2,31–6,27 | 6,73 3,74–9,72 2,93–10,54 | 18% 70% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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