La Liga·Etapa 11·
La Liga·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
53%
23%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,761,102,86sigur0,79–2,730,25–1,961,04–4,69mai sigur0,54–2,980,02–2,190,56–5,17
Șuturi pe poartă
67%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,663,849,49sigur3,79–7,522,09–5,585,89–13,10mai sigur3,30–8,011,63–6,044,93–14,05
Total șuturi
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,5110,8627,38sigur12,59–20,447,30–14,4319,89–34,86mai sigur11,50–21,536,34–15,3917,84–36,92
Șuturi din careu
78%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,356,6817,03sigur7,41–13,294,00–9,3611,41–22,65mai sigur6,58–14,123,26–10,109,84–24,22
Șuturi blocate
66%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,502,877,37sigur2,62–6,391,22–4,523,84–10,91mai sigur2,08–6,930,73–5,022,80–11,95
Cornere
75%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,713,9810,69sigur4,49–8,921,98–5,986,47–14,90mai sigur3,92–9,491,44–6,515,36–16,01
Posesie %
74%
23%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,7044,00sigur48,91–62,4937,22–50,79mai sigur47,24–64,1635,55–52,46
Pase
87%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție523390914sigur456–591324–457780–1047mai sigur438–609306–474744–1083
Precizie pase %
52%
43%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,2369,31sigur66,20–74,2664,99–73,63mai sigur64,90–75,5563,68–74,94
Faulturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,5011,8022,30sigur7,66–13,348,86–14,7516,52–28,08mai sigur6,90–14,098,11–15,5015,01–29,59
Ofsaiduri
22%
16%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,833,014,84sigur0,67–2,991,92–4,102,59–7,09mai sigur0,37–3,291,63–4,392,00–7,68
Cartonașe galbene
35%
21%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,762,003,76sigur0,71–2,810,87–3,131,58–5,94mai sigur0,44–3,080,58–3,421,02–6,50
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,080,18sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,270,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,400,00–0,81
Parade portar
27%
15%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,753,776,52sigur1,32–4,192,21–5,333,53–9,51mai sigur0,93–4,581,79–5,752,72–10,33
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,76 0,79–2,73 0,54–2,98 | 1,10 0,25–1,96 0,02–2,19 | 2,86 1,04–4,69 0,56–5,17 | 53% 23% 24% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,66 3,79–7,52 3,30–8,01 | 3,84 2,09–5,58 1,63–6,04 | 9,49 5,89–13,10 4,93–14,05 | 67% 22% |
| Total șuturi | 16,51 12,59–20,44 11,50–21,53 | 10,86 7,30–14,43 6,34–15,39 | 27,38 19,89–34,86 17,84–36,92 | 84% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,35 7,41–13,29 6,58–14,12 | 6,68 4,00–9,36 3,26–10,10 | 17,03 11,41–22,65 9,84–24,22 | 78% 15% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,50 2,62–6,39 2,08–6,93 | 2,87 1,22–4,52 0,73–5,02 | 7,37 3,84–10,91 2,80–11,95 | 66% 21% |
| Cornere | 6,71 4,49–8,92 3,92–9,49 | 3,98 1,98–5,98 1,44–6,51 | 10,69 6,47–14,90 5,36–16,01 | 75% 16% |
| Posesie % | 55,70 48,91–62,49 47,24–64,16 | 44,00 37,22–50,79 35,55–52,46 | — | 74% 23% |
| Pase | 523 456–591 438–609 | 390 324–457 306–474 | 914 780–1047 744–1083 | 87% 13% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,23 66,20–74,26 64,90–75,55 | 69,31 64,99–73,63 63,68–74,94 | — | 52% 43% |
| Faulturi | 10,50 7,66–13,34 6,90–14,09 | 11,80 8,86–14,75 8,11–15,50 | 22,30 16,52–28,08 15,01–29,59 | 35% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,83 0,67–2,99 0,37–3,29 | 3,01 1,92–4,10 1,63–4,39 | 4,84 2,59–7,09 2,00–7,68 | 22% 16% 62% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,76 0,71–2,81 0,44–3,08 | 2,00 0,87–3,13 0,58–3,42 | 3,76 1,58–5,94 1,02–6,50 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,75 1,32–4,19 0,93–4,58 | 3,77 2,21–5,33 1,79–5,75 | 6,52 3,53–9,51 2,72–10,33 | 27% 15% 58% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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