La Liga·Etapa 11·
La Liga·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
79%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,790,773,56sigur1,82–3,760,00–1,631,74–5,39mai sigur1,57–4,010,00–1,861,26–5,87
Șuturi pe poartă
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,443,0610,50sigur5,58–9,301,31–4,806,89–14,10mai sigur5,09–9,790,85–5,265,94–15,06
Total șuturi
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție20,378,5328,90sigur16,45–24,304,97–12,0921,41–36,39mai sigur15,35–25,394,01–13,0519,36–38,44
Șuturi din careu
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,045,5818,62sigur10,10–15,982,90–8,2612,99–24,24mai sigur9,27–16,812,16–9,0011,43–25,81
Șuturi blocate
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,502,207,70sigur3,62–7,380,55–3,864,17–11,24mai sigur3,07–7,930,06–4,353,13–12,27
Cornere
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,973,4410,41sigur4,76–9,191,44–5,446,19–14,62mai sigur4,19–9,760,90–5,975,09–15,73
Posesie %
90%
gazdeoaspețipredicție61,3038,43sigur54,51–68,0931,64–45,21mai sigur52,84–69,7629,97–46,88
Pase
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6173861003sigur550–685319–452869–1137mai sigur532–703302–470834–1172
Precizie pase %
82%
15%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,6469,09sigur72,61–80,6764,77–73,41mai sigur71,32–81,9663,46–74,72
Faulturi
21%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,3513,7124,06sigur7,51–13,1910,77–16,6618,28–29,84mai sigur6,76–13,9410,02–17,4016,78–31,35
Ofsaiduri
28%
19%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,792,484,27sigur0,63–2,951,39–3,582,02–6,53mai sigur0,33–3,251,10–3,861,43–7,12
Cartonașe galbene
14%
16%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,112,633,74sigur0,06–2,161,50–3,761,56–5,92mai sigur0,00–2,421,21–4,051,00–6,48
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,140,18sigur0,00–0,200,00–0,330,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,350,00–0,460,00–0,81
Parade portar
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,265,067,33sigur0,83–3,703,51–6,624,33–10,32mai sigur0,44–4,093,08–7,053,52–11,13
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,79 1,82–3,76 1,57–4,01 | 0,77 0,00–1,63 0,00–1,86 | 3,56 1,74–5,39 1,26–5,87 | 79% 13% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,44 5,58–9,30 5,09–9,79 | 3,06 1,31–4,80 0,85–5,26 | 10,50 6,89–14,10 5,94–15,06 | 89% |
| Total șuturi | 20,37 16,45–24,30 15,35–25,39 | 8,53 4,97–12,09 4,01–13,05 | 28,90 21,41–36,39 19,36–38,44 | 98% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,04 10,10–15,98 9,27–16,81 | 5,58 2,90–8,26 2,16–9,00 | 18,62 12,99–24,24 11,43–25,81 | 95% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,50 3,62–7,38 3,07–7,93 | 2,20 0,55–3,86 0,06–4,35 | 7,70 4,17–11,24 3,13–12,27 | 85% |
| Cornere | 6,97 4,76–9,19 4,19–9,76 | 3,44 1,44–5,44 0,90–5,97 | 10,41 6,19–14,62 5,09–15,73 | 83% |
| Posesie % | 61,30 54,51–68,09 52,84–69,76 | 38,43 31,64–45,21 29,97–46,88 | — | 90% |
| Pase | 617 550–685 532–703 | 386 319–452 302–470 | 1003 869–1137 834–1172 | 97% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,64 72,61–80,67 71,32–81,96 | 69,09 64,77–73,41 63,46–74,72 | — | 82% 15% |
| Faulturi | 10,35 7,51–13,19 6,76–13,94 | 13,71 10,77–16,66 10,02–17,40 | 24,06 18,28–29,84 16,78–31,35 | 21% 72% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,79 0,63–2,95 0,33–3,25 | 2,48 1,39–3,58 1,10–3,86 | 4,27 2,02–6,53 1,43–7,12 | 28% 19% 53% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,11 0,06–2,16 0,00–2,42 | 2,63 1,50–3,76 1,21–4,05 | 3,74 1,56–5,92 1,00–6,48 | 14% 16% 70% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,20 0,00–0,35 | 0,14 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,46 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,26 0,83–3,70 0,44–4,09 | 5,06 3,51–6,62 3,08–7,05 | 7,33 4,33–10,32 3,52–11,13 | 81% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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