La Liga·Etapa 11·
La Liga·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
13%
19%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,862,223,07sigur0,00–1,821,36–3,071,25–4,90mai sigur0,00–2,081,14–3,300,77–5,38
Șuturi pe poartă
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,726,108,82sigur0,86–4,584,36–7,845,22–12,43mai sigur0,37–5,073,89–8,314,26–13,38
Total șuturi
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,7316,0325,76sigur5,81–13,6612,47–19,5918,28–33,25mai sigur4,72–14,7511,51–20,5516,23–35,30
Șuturi din careu
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,2111,1516,35sigur2,26–8,158,47–13,8310,73–21,98mai sigur1,43–8,987,73–14,579,16–23,54
Șuturi blocate
19%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,624,467,09sigur0,74–4,512,81–6,123,55–10,62mai sigur0,20–5,052,32–6,612,52–11,66
Cornere
17%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,566,009,55sigur1,34–5,774,00–8,005,34–13,77mai sigur0,77–6,343,46–8,534,23–14,87
Posesie %
89%
gazdeoaspețipredicție39,6661,61sigur32,87–46,4554,83–68,40mai sigur31,20–48,1253,16–70,07
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție381579960sigur314–449512–645826–1094mai sigur296–467495–663791–1129
Precizie pase %
96%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,4479,62sigur61,41–69,4775,30–83,95mai sigur60,12–70,7673,99–85,25
Faulturi
39%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,7211,5522,28sigur7,88–13,568,61–14,5016,49–28,06mai sigur7,13–14,327,86–15,2514,99–29,56
Ofsaiduri
22%
18%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,542,564,10sigur0,38–2,701,47–3,651,84–6,35mai sigur0,08–3,001,18–3,941,25–6,94
Cartonașe galbene
36%
22%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,781,923,71sigur0,73–2,830,80–3,051,53–5,89mai sigur0,47–3,100,50–3,340,97–6,44
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,090,19sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,280,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,410,00–0,82
Parade portar
69%
13%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,842,105,94sigur2,40–5,280,54–3,662,95–8,93mai sigur2,02–5,660,12–4,082,14–9,74
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,86 0,00–1,82 0,00–2,08 | 2,22 1,36–3,07 1,14–3,30 | 3,07 1,25–4,90 0,77–5,38 | 13% 19% 68% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 2,72 0,86–4,58 0,37–5,07 | 6,10 4,36–7,84 3,89–8,31 | 8,82 5,22–12,43 4,26–13,38 | 84% |
| Total șuturi | 9,73 5,81–13,66 4,72–14,75 | 16,03 12,47–19,59 11,51–20,55 | 25,76 18,28–33,25 16,23–35,30 | 87% |
| Șuturi din careu | 5,21 2,26–8,15 1,43–8,98 | 11,15 8,47–13,83 7,73–14,57 | 16,35 10,73–21,98 9,16–23,54 | 91% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,62 0,74–4,51 0,20–5,05 | 4,46 2,81–6,12 2,32–6,61 | 7,09 3,55–10,62 2,52–11,66 | 19% 69% |
| Cornere | 3,56 1,34–5,77 0,77–6,34 | 6,00 4,00–8,00 3,46–8,53 | 9,55 5,34–13,77 4,23–14,87 | 17% 74% |
| Posesie % | 39,66 32,87–46,45 31,20–48,12 | 61,61 54,83–68,40 53,16–70,07 | — | 89% |
| Pase | 381 314–449 296–467 | 579 512–645 495–663 | 960 826–1094 791–1129 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,44 61,41–69,47 60,12–70,76 | 79,62 75,30–83,95 73,99–85,25 | — | 96% |
| Faulturi | 10,72 7,88–13,56 7,13–14,32 | 11,55 8,61–14,50 7,86–15,25 | 22,28 16,49–28,06 14,99–29,56 | 39% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,54 0,38–2,70 0,08–3,00 | 2,56 1,47–3,65 1,18–3,94 | 4,10 1,84–6,35 1,25–6,94 | 22% 18% 60% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,78 0,73–2,83 0,47–3,10 | 1,92 0,80–3,05 0,50–3,34 | 3,71 1,53–5,89 0,97–6,44 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,84 2,40–5,28 2,02–5,66 | 2,10 0,54–3,66 0,12–4,08 | 5,94 2,95–8,93 2,14–9,74 | 69% 13% 17% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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