La Liga·Etapa 11·
La Liga·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
65%
20%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,060,892,95sigur1,09–3,030,03–1,741,12–4,77mai sigur0,84–3,280,00–1,970,64–5,25
Șuturi pe poartă
76%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,993,319,30sigur4,12–7,851,57–5,065,69–12,90mai sigur3,63–8,341,11–5,524,74–13,86
Total șuturi
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,729,9626,68sigur12,79–20,646,40–13,5219,19–34,16mai sigur11,70–21,735,44–14,4817,14–36,21
Șuturi din careu
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,196,8018,00sigur8,25–14,144,12–9,4912,37–23,62mai sigur7,42–14,963,39–10,2210,81–25,19
Șuturi blocate
65%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,572,997,56sigur2,69–6,451,34–4,644,02–11,09mai sigur2,14–6,990,84–5,132,99–12,13
Cornere
77%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,413,6010,02sigur4,20–8,631,60–5,605,80–14,23mai sigur3,63–9,201,07–6,144,70–15,34
Posesie %
89%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,5039,03sigur53,71–67,2932,25–45,82mai sigur52,04–68,9630,58–47,49
Pase
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție557338895sigur490–624271–404761–1028mai sigur471–642254–422725–1064
Precizie pase %
84%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,7767,44sigur71,74–79,8063,12–71,76mai sigur70,45–81,0961,81–73,07
Faulturi
30%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3314,5926,92sigur9,49–15,1711,64–17,5321,14–32,70mai sigur8,74–15,9210,90–18,2819,63–34,21
Ofsaiduri
42%
24%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,641,483,12sigur0,48–2,800,39–2,570,86–5,37mai sigur0,18–3,100,10–2,860,27–5,96
Cartonașe galbene
26%
19%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,682,484,16sigur0,63–2,731,35–3,611,98–6,34mai sigur0,37–3,001,06–3,901,42–6,90
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,110,18sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,300,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,430,00–0,81
Parade portar
21%
14%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,253,715,96sigur0,82–3,692,15–5,262,97–8,95mai sigur0,43–4,081,73–5,692,16–9,77
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,06 1,09–3,03 0,84–3,28 | 0,89 0,03–1,74 0,00–1,97 | 2,95 1,12–4,77 0,64–5,25 | 65% 20% 15% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,99 4,12–7,85 3,63–8,34 | 3,31 1,57–5,06 1,11–5,52 | 9,30 5,69–12,90 4,74–13,86 | 76% 15% |
| Total șuturi | 16,72 12,79–20,64 11,70–21,73 | 9,96 6,40–13,52 5,44–14,48 | 26,68 19,19–34,16 17,14–36,21 | 89% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,19 8,25–14,14 7,42–14,96 | 6,80 4,12–9,49 3,39–10,22 | 18,00 12,37–23,62 10,81–25,19 | 82% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,57 2,69–6,45 2,14–6,99 | 2,99 1,34–4,64 0,84–5,13 | 7,56 4,02–11,09 2,99–12,13 | 65% 22% |
| Cornere | 6,41 4,20–8,63 3,63–9,20 | 3,60 1,60–5,60 1,07–6,14 | 10,02 5,80–14,23 4,70–15,34 | 77% 14% |
| Posesie % | 60,50 53,71–67,29 52,04–68,96 | 39,03 32,25–45,82 30,58–47,49 | — | 89% |
| Pase | 557 490–624 471–642 | 338 271–404 254–422 | 895 761–1028 725–1064 | 97% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,77 71,74–79,80 70,45–81,09 | 67,44 63,12–71,76 61,81–73,07 | — | 84% |
| Faulturi | 12,33 9,49–15,17 8,74–15,92 | 14,59 11,64–17,53 10,90–18,28 | 26,92 21,14–32,70 19,63–34,21 | 30% 63% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,64 0,48–2,80 0,18–3,10 | 1,48 0,39–2,57 0,10–2,86 | 3,12 0,86–5,37 0,27–5,96 | 42% 24% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,68 0,63–2,73 0,37–3,00 | 2,48 1,35–3,61 1,06–3,90 | 4,16 1,98–6,34 1,42–6,90 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,25 0,82–3,69 0,43–4,08 | 3,71 2,15–5,26 1,73–5,69 | 5,96 2,97–8,95 2,16–9,77 | 21% 14% 65% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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