La Liga·Etapa 12·
La Liga·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
47%
26%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,501,082,57sigur0,53–2,470,22–1,930,75–4,40mai sigur0,28–2,720,00–2,160,27–4,88
Șuturi pe poartă
56%
13%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,603,658,25sigur2,73–6,461,91–5,394,64–11,85mai sigur2,24–6,951,44–5,863,69–12,81
Total șuturi
71%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,3811,1225,50sigur10,45–18,307,56–14,6818,01–32,99mai sigur9,36–19,396,60–15,6415,96–35,04
Șuturi din careu
70%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,346,7916,12sigur6,40–12,284,11–9,4710,50–21,75mai sigur5,57–13,113,37–10,218,93–23,31
Șuturi blocate
59%
14%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,173,057,21sigur2,29–6,051,39–4,703,68–10,75mai sigur1,74–6,590,90–5,192,64–11,78
Cornere
69%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,873,829,68sigur3,65–8,081,82–5,825,47–13,90mai sigur3,08–8,651,28–6,354,36–15,00
Posesie %
41%
54%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,8051,48sigur42,01–55,5944,69–58,26mai sigur40,34–57,2643,02–59,93
Pase
54%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție448436884sigur381–515369–502750–1018mai sigur363–533352–520714–1053
Precizie pase %
23%
73%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,9672,30sigur62,93–70,9967,97–76,62mai sigur61,64–72,2966,66–77,93
Faulturi
49%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3813,0326,41sigur10,54–16,2210,08–15,9720,62–32,19mai sigur9,79–16,979,33–16,7219,12–33,69
Ofsaiduri
49%
23%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,781,273,04sigur0,61–2,940,17–2,360,79–5,29mai sigur0,31–3,240,00–2,650,20–5,88
Cartonașe galbene
39%
20%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,132,204,33sigur1,08–3,181,07–3,332,15–6,51mai sigur0,81–3,440,78–3,621,59–7,07
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,18sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,81
Parade portar
29%
16%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,453,215,65sigur1,01–3,881,65–4,762,66–8,65mai sigur0,62–4,271,23–5,191,85–9,46
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,50 0,53–2,47 0,28–2,72 | 1,08 0,22–1,93 0,00–2,16 | 2,57 0,75–4,40 0,27–4,88 | 47% 26% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,60 2,73–6,46 2,24–6,95 | 3,65 1,91–5,39 1,44–5,86 | 8,25 4,64–11,85 3,69–12,81 | 56% 13% 31% |
| Total șuturi | 14,38 10,45–18,30 9,36–19,39 | 11,12 7,56–14,68 6,60–15,64 | 25,50 18,01–32,99 15,96–35,04 | 71% 23% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,34 6,40–12,28 5,57–13,11 | 6,79 4,11–9,47 3,37–10,21 | 16,12 10,50–21,75 8,93–23,31 | 70% 22% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,17 2,29–6,05 1,74–6,59 | 3,05 1,39–4,70 0,90–5,19 | 7,21 3,68–10,75 2,64–11,78 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Cornere | 5,87 3,65–8,08 3,08–8,65 | 3,82 1,82–5,82 1,28–6,35 | 9,68 5,47–13,90 4,36–15,00 | 69% 20% |
| Posesie % | 48,80 42,01–55,59 40,34–57,26 | 51,48 44,69–58,26 43,02–59,93 | — | 41% 54% |
| Pase | 448 381–515 363–533 | 436 369–502 352–520 | 884 750–1018 714–1053 | 54% 46% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,96 62,93–70,99 61,64–72,29 | 72,30 67,97–76,62 66,66–77,93 | — | 23% 73% |
| Faulturi | 13,38 10,54–16,22 9,79–16,97 | 13,03 10,08–15,97 9,33–16,72 | 26,41 20,62–32,19 19,12–33,69 | 49% 43% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,78 0,61–2,94 0,31–3,24 | 1,27 0,17–2,36 0,00–2,65 | 3,04 0,79–5,29 0,20–5,88 | 49% 23% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,13 1,08–3,18 0,81–3,44 | 2,20 1,07–3,33 0,78–3,62 | 4,33 2,15–6,51 1,59–7,07 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,45 1,01–3,88 0,62–4,27 | 3,21 1,65–4,76 1,23–5,19 | 5,65 2,66–8,65 1,85–9,46 | 29% 16% 54% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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