La Liga·Etapa 12·
La Liga·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
62%
22%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,880,822,70sigur0,91–2,840,00–1,680,87–4,52mai sigur0,66–3,090,00–1,900,39–5,00
Șuturi pe poartă
75%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,813,249,05sigur3,94–7,671,50–4,995,44–12,65mai sigur3,45–8,161,03–5,454,49–13,61
Total șuturi
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,379,9426,32sigur12,45–20,306,38–13,5118,83–33,81mai sigur11,36–21,395,42–14,4716,78–35,86
Șuturi din careu
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,956,5517,50sigur8,01–13,903,86–9,2311,88–23,12mai sigur7,18–14,723,13–9,9610,31–24,69
Șuturi blocate
71%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,732,707,43sigur2,85–6,611,05–4,353,89–10,96mai sigur2,30–7,150,56–4,852,86–12,00
Cornere
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,843,4810,32sigur4,63–9,061,48–5,486,11–14,54mai sigur4,06–9,630,94–6,015,00–15,64
Posesie %
94%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,9436,07sigur56,15–69,7329,29–42,86mai sigur54,48–71,4027,62–44,53
Pase
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție577295871sigur509–644228–361737–1005mai sigur491–662211–379702–1040
Precizie pase %
91%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,5565,46sigur72,52–80,5861,14–69,79mai sigur71,23–81,8759,83–71,10
Faulturi
35%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0814,6627,74sigur10,24–15,9211,71–17,6021,96–33,52mai sigur9,49–16,6710,97–18,3520,45–35,03
Ofsaiduri
50%
23%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,851,303,15sigur0,69–3,010,21–2,390,89–5,40mai sigur0,39–3,310,00–2,680,31–5,99
Cartonașe galbene
25%
18%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,722,594,31sigur0,67–2,771,46–3,722,13–6,49mai sigur0,41–3,041,17–4,011,58–7,05
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,130,21sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,320,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,450,00–0,84
Parade portar
21%
14%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,273,725,98sigur0,83–3,702,16–5,272,99–8,97mai sigur0,44–4,091,73–5,702,18–9,79
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,88 0,91–2,84 0,66–3,09 | 0,82 0,00–1,68 0,00–1,90 | 2,70 0,87–4,52 0,39–5,00 | 62% 22% 16% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,81 3,94–7,67 3,45–8,16 | 3,24 1,50–4,99 1,03–5,45 | 9,05 5,44–12,65 4,49–13,61 | 75% 15% |
| Total șuturi | 16,37 12,45–20,30 11,36–21,39 | 9,94 6,38–13,51 5,42–14,47 | 26,32 18,83–33,81 16,78–35,86 | 88% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,95 8,01–13,90 7,18–14,72 | 6,55 3,86–9,23 3,13–9,96 | 17,50 11,88–23,12 10,31–24,69 | 83% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,73 2,85–6,61 2,30–7,15 | 2,70 1,05–4,35 0,56–4,85 | 7,43 3,89–10,96 2,86–12,00 | 71% 17% |
| Cornere | 6,84 4,63–9,06 4,06–9,63 | 3,48 1,48–5,48 0,94–6,01 | 10,32 6,11–14,54 5,00–15,64 | 82% |
| Posesie % | 62,94 56,15–69,73 54,48–71,40 | 36,07 29,29–42,86 27,62–44,53 | — | 94% |
| Pase | 577 509–644 491–662 | 295 228–361 211–379 | 871 737–1005 702–1040 | 99% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,55 72,52–80,58 71,23–81,87 | 65,46 61,14–69,79 59,83–71,10 | — | 91% |
| Faulturi | 13,08 10,24–15,92 9,49–16,67 | 14,66 11,71–17,60 10,97–18,35 | 27,74 21,96–33,52 20,45–35,03 | 35% 58% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,85 0,69–3,01 0,39–3,31 | 1,30 0,21–2,39 0,00–2,68 | 3,15 0,89–5,40 0,31–5,99 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,72 0,67–2,77 0,41–3,04 | 2,59 1,46–3,72 1,17–4,01 | 4,31 2,13–6,49 1,58–7,05 | 25% 18% 57% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,27 0,83–3,70 0,44–4,09 | 3,72 2,16–5,27 1,73–5,70 | 5,98 2,99–8,97 2,18–9,79 | 21% 14% 65% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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