La Liga·Etapa 13·
La Liga·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
56%
24%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,750,952,70sigur0,78–2,720,10–1,810,88–4,52mai sigur0,53–2,970,00–2,030,40–5,00
Șuturi pe poartă
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,533,398,93sigur3,67–7,401,65–5,145,32–12,53mai sigur3,18–7,891,18–5,604,37–13,49
Total șuturi
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,0910,0226,11sigur12,17–20,026,45–13,5818,62–33,60mai sigur11,08–21,115,49–14,5416,57–35,65
Șuturi din careu
79%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,156,4016,55sigur7,21–13,093,71–9,0810,92–22,17mai sigur6,38–13,922,98–9,819,36–23,74
Șuturi blocate
76%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,592,276,86sigur2,71–6,470,61–3,923,32–10,39mai sigur2,17–7,020,12–4,412,29–11,43
Cornere
74%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,203,659,85sigur3,99–8,421,65–5,655,64–14,07mai sigur3,42–8,991,12–6,184,53–15,18
Posesie %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,1040,37sigur53,31–66,8933,59–47,16mai sigur51,64–68,5631,92–48,83
Pase
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție522346868sigur455–589280–412734–1001mai sigur436–607262–430698–1037
Precizie pase %
76%
20%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,4367,54sigur69,40–77,4663,22–71,86mai sigur68,11–78,7561,91–73,17
Faulturi
31%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5813,5825,15sigur8,74–14,4110,63–16,5219,37–30,93mai sigur7,98–15,179,88–17,2717,86–32,44
Ofsaiduri
15%
15%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,453,094,55sigur0,29–2,612,00–4,192,29–6,80mai sigur0,00–2,921,71–4,471,70–7,39
Cartonașe galbene
33%
20%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,802,173,97sigur0,75–2,851,04–3,301,80–6,15mai sigur0,49–3,120,75–3,591,24–6,71
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,090,17sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,270,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
23%
15%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,363,676,02sigur0,92–3,792,11–5,223,03–9,02mai sigur0,53–4,181,69–5,652,22–9,83
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,75 0,78–2,72 0,53–2,97 | 0,95 0,10–1,81 0,00–2,03 | 2,70 0,88–4,52 0,40–5,00 | 56% 24% 20% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,53 3,67–7,40 3,18–7,89 | 3,39 1,65–5,14 1,18–5,60 | 8,93 5,32–12,53 4,37–13,49 | 71% 19% |
| Total șuturi | 16,09 12,17–20,02 11,08–21,11 | 10,02 6,45–13,58 5,49–14,54 | 26,11 18,62–33,60 16,57–35,65 | 86% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,15 7,21–13,09 6,38–13,92 | 6,40 3,71–9,08 2,98–9,81 | 16,55 10,92–22,17 9,36–23,74 | 79% 15% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,59 2,71–6,47 2,17–7,02 | 2,27 0,61–3,92 0,12–4,41 | 6,86 3,32–10,39 2,29–11,43 | 76% 14% |
| Cornere | 6,20 3,99–8,42 3,42–8,99 | 3,65 1,65–5,65 1,12–6,18 | 9,85 5,64–14,07 4,53–15,18 | 74% 16% |
| Posesie % | 60,10 53,31–66,89 51,64–68,56 | 40,37 33,59–47,16 31,92–48,83 | — | 87% |
| Pase | 522 455–589 436–607 | 346 280–412 262–430 | 868 734–1001 698–1037 | 93% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,43 69,40–77,46 68,11–78,75 | 67,54 63,22–71,86 61,91–73,17 | — | 76% 20% |
| Faulturi | 11,58 8,74–14,41 7,98–15,17 | 13,58 10,63–16,52 9,88–17,27 | 25,15 19,37–30,93 17,86–32,44 | 31% 62% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,45 0,29–2,61 0,00–2,92 | 3,09 2,00–4,19 1,71–4,47 | 4,55 2,29–6,80 1,70–7,39 | 15% 15% 70% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,80 0,75–2,85 0,49–3,12 | 2,17 1,04–3,30 0,75–3,59 | 3,97 1,80–6,15 1,24–6,71 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,36 0,92–3,79 0,53–4,18 | 3,67 2,11–5,22 1,69–5,65 | 6,02 3,03–9,02 2,22–9,83 | 23% 15% 63% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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