La Liga·Etapa 13·
La Liga·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,480,954,43sigur2,51–4,450,10–1,812,61–6,25mai sigur2,26–4,700,00–2,032,13–6,73
Șuturi pe poartă
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,163,0811,23sigur6,29–10,021,33–4,827,63–14,84mai sigur5,80–10,510,87–5,286,67–15,79
Total șuturi
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție19,838,3728,20sigur15,90–23,754,81–11,9320,71–35,69mai sigur14,81–24,843,85–12,8918,66–37,74
Șuturi din careu
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,356,0320,38sigur11,41–17,293,35–8,7114,76–26,00mai sigur10,58–18,122,61–9,4513,19–27,57
Șuturi blocate
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,981,866,83sigur3,10–6,860,20–3,513,30–10,37mai sigur2,55–7,400,00–4,002,26–11,41
Cornere
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,603,1910,79sigur5,39–9,821,19–5,196,58–15,00mai sigur4,82–10,390,66–5,725,47–16,11
Posesie %
98%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,2032,59sigur61,41–74,9925,80–39,37mai sigur59,74–76,6624,13–41,04
Pase
100%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7113541066sigur644–779288–421932–1199mai sigur626–797270–438896–1235
Precizie pase %
91%
gazdeoaspețipredicție81,3570,26sigur77,32–85,3865,94–74,58mai sigur76,03–86,6764,63–75,89
Faulturi
29%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,3012,3922,69sigur7,47–13,149,44–15,3316,91–28,47mai sigur6,71–13,908,69–16,0815,40–29,98
Ofsaiduri
17%
14%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,843,525,36sigur0,68–3,002,43–4,613,11–7,62mai sigur0,38–3,302,14–4,902,52–8,20
Cartonașe galbene
26%
21%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,432,143,57sigur0,39–2,481,01–3,271,40–5,75mai sigur0,12–2,750,72–3,560,84–6,31
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,110,18sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,430,00–0,81
Parade portar
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,184,887,06sigur0,75–3,623,32–6,444,07–10,06mai sigur0,36–4,012,90–6,863,26–10,87
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 3,48 2,51–4,45 2,26–4,70 | 0,95 0,10–1,81 0,00–2,03 | 4,43 2,61–6,25 2,13–6,73 | 84% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 8,16 6,29–10,02 5,80–10,51 | 3,08 1,33–4,82 0,87–5,28 | 11,23 7,63–14,84 6,67–15,79 | 92% |
| Total șuturi | 19,83 15,90–23,75 14,81–24,84 | 8,37 4,81–11,93 3,85–12,89 | 28,20 20,71–35,69 18,66–37,74 | 98% |
| Șuturi din careu | 14,35 11,41–17,29 10,58–18,12 | 6,03 3,35–8,71 2,61–9,45 | 20,38 14,76–26,00 13,19–27,57 | 96% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,98 3,10–6,86 2,55–7,40 | 1,86 0,20–3,51 0,00–4,00 | 6,83 3,30–10,37 2,26–11,41 | 85% |
| Cornere | 7,60 5,39–9,82 4,82–10,39 | 3,19 1,19–5,19 0,66–5,72 | 10,79 6,58–15,00 5,47–16,11 | 89% |
| Posesie % | 68,20 61,41–74,99 59,74–76,66 | 32,59 25,80–39,37 24,13–41,04 | — | 98% |
| Pase | 711 644–779 626–797 | 354 288–421 270–438 | 1066 932–1199 896–1235 | 100% |
| Precizie pase % | 81,35 77,32–85,38 76,03–86,67 | 70,26 65,94–74,58 64,63–75,89 | — | 91% |
| Faulturi | 10,30 7,47–13,14 6,71–13,90 | 12,39 9,44–15,33 8,69–16,08 | 22,69 16,91–28,47 15,40–29,98 | 29% 63% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,84 0,68–3,00 0,38–3,30 | 3,52 2,43–4,61 2,14–4,90 | 5,36 3,11–7,62 2,52–8,20 | 17% 14% 69% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,43 0,39–2,48 0,12–2,75 | 2,14 1,01–3,27 0,72–3,56 | 3,57 1,40–5,75 0,84–6,31 | 26% 21% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,18 0,75–3,62 0,36–4,01 | 4,88 3,32–6,44 2,90–6,86 | 7,06 4,07–10,06 3,26–10,87 | 80% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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