La Liga·Etapa 13·
La Liga·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
26%
23%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,221,823,04sigur0,26–2,190,96–2,671,22–4,86mai sigur0,00–2,440,73–2,900,74–5,34
Șuturi pe poartă
27%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,035,389,41sigur2,17–5,893,63–7,125,80–13,01mai sigur1,68–6,383,17–7,584,85–13,97
Total șuturi
23%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7514,9826,72sigur7,82–15,6711,41–18,5419,24–34,21mai sigur6,73–16,7610,45–19,5017,19–36,26
Șuturi din careu
23%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,7910,3718,17sigur4,85–10,747,69–13,0512,54–23,79mai sigur4,02–11,576,95–13,7910,98–25,36
Șuturi blocate
30%
14%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,334,287,61sigur1,45–5,222,62–5,934,07–11,14mai sigur0,91–5,762,13–6,423,04–12,18
Cornere
31%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,715,7810,49sigur2,49–6,923,78–7,786,27–14,70mai sigur1,92–7,493,25–8,315,17–15,81
Posesie %
38%
57%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,3752,54sigur41,58–55,1645,76–59,33mai sigur39,91–56,8344,09–61,00
Pase
51%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție451448899sigur384–519382–514766–1033mai sigur366–537364–532730–1069
Precizie pase %
15%
82%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,5571,20sigur59,52–67,5866,87–75,52mai sigur58,23–68,8765,56–76,83
Faulturi
41%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,8612,5024,36sigur9,02–14,699,56–15,4518,58–30,14mai sigur8,26–15,458,81–16,2017,07–31,65
Ofsaiduri
24%
18%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,792,744,53sigur0,63–2,951,65–3,832,27–6,78mai sigur0,33–3,251,36–4,121,68–7,37
Cartonașe galbene
45%
20%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,322,064,38sigur1,27–3,370,94–3,192,21–6,56mai sigur1,00–3,640,64–3,481,65–7,12
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,090,22sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,280,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,410,00–0,85
Parade portar
55%
15%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,682,856,53sigur2,24–5,111,29–4,413,54–9,52mai sigur1,85–5,500,87–4,832,72–10,33
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,22 0,26–2,19 0,00–2,44 | 1,82 0,96–2,67 0,73–2,90 | 3,04 1,22–4,86 0,74–5,34 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,03 2,17–5,89 1,68–6,38 | 5,38 3,63–7,12 3,17–7,58 | 9,41 5,80–13,01 4,85–13,97 | 27% 61% |
| Total șuturi | 11,75 7,82–15,67 6,73–16,76 | 14,98 11,41–18,54 10,45–19,50 | 26,72 19,24–34,21 17,19–36,26 | 23% 70% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,79 4,85–10,74 4,02–11,57 | 10,37 7,69–13,05 6,95–13,79 | 18,17 12,54–23,79 10,98–25,36 | 23% 69% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,33 1,45–5,22 0,91–5,76 | 4,28 2,62–5,93 2,13–6,42 | 7,61 4,07–11,14 3,04–12,18 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Cornere | 4,71 2,49–6,92 1,92–7,49 | 5,78 3,78–7,78 3,25–8,31 | 10,49 6,27–14,70 5,17–15,81 | 31% 57% |
| Posesie % | 48,37 41,58–55,16 39,91–56,83 | 52,54 45,76–59,33 44,09–61,00 | — | 38% 57% |
| Pase | 451 384–519 366–537 | 448 382–514 364–532 | 899 766–1033 730–1069 | 51% 49% |
| Precizie pase % | 63,55 59,52–67,58 58,23–68,87 | 71,20 66,87–75,52 65,56–76,83 | — | 15% 82% |
| Faulturi | 11,86 9,02–14,69 8,26–15,45 | 12,50 9,56–15,45 8,81–16,20 | 24,36 18,58–30,14 17,07–31,65 | 41% 51% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,79 0,63–2,95 0,33–3,25 | 2,74 1,65–3,83 1,36–4,12 | 4,53 2,27–6,78 1,68–7,37 | 24% 18% 58% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,32 1,27–3,37 1,00–3,64 | 2,06 0,94–3,19 0,64–3,48 | 4,38 2,21–6,56 1,65–7,12 | 45% 20% 36% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,22 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,85 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 3,68 2,24–5,11 1,85–5,50 | 2,85 1,29–4,41 0,87–4,83 | 6,53 3,54–9,52 2,72–10,33 | 55% 15% 30% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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