La Liga·Etapa 14·
La Liga·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
57%
22%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,961,123,07sigur0,99–2,930,26–1,971,25–4,90mai sigur0,74–3,180,03–2,200,77–5,38
Șuturi pe poartă
65%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,754,049,79sigur3,89–7,612,29–5,786,18–13,39mai sigur3,40–8,101,83–6,245,23–14,35
Total șuturi
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,9211,3828,30sigur13,00–20,857,81–14,9420,81–35,78mai sigur11,91–21,946,85–15,9018,76–37,84
Șuturi din careu
77%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,907,2118,10sigur7,96–13,844,52–9,8912,48–23,73mai sigur7,13–14,673,79–10,6210,91–25,29
Șuturi blocate
75%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,312,898,20sigur3,43–7,191,23–4,544,66–11,73mai sigur2,89–7,740,74–5,033,63–12,77
Cornere
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,654,3210,97sigur4,44–8,862,32–6,326,75–15,18mai sigur3,86–9,441,78–6,855,65–16,29
Posesie %
84%
13%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,9541,01sigur52,16–65,7434,22–47,79mai sigur50,49–67,4132,55–49,47
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție560368928sigur493–628301–434795–1062mai sigur475–646284–452759–1098
Precizie pase %
72%
24%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,8367,76sigur68,80–76,8663,43–72,08mai sigur67,51–78,1562,12–73,39
Faulturi
21%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,1513,5223,67sigur7,31–12,9810,58–16,4717,89–29,45mai sigur6,55–13,749,83–17,2216,38–30,96
Ofsaiduri
26%
19%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,702,474,18sigur0,54–2,861,38–3,571,92–6,43mai sigur0,24–3,161,09–3,861,33–7,02
Cartonașe galbene
20%
17%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,472,664,13sigur0,42–2,521,54–3,791,95–6,31mai sigur0,15–2,781,24–4,081,40–6,87
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,120,18sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,300,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,440,00–0,81
Parade portar
24%
14%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,683,976,65sigur1,24–4,122,41–5,523,65–9,64mai sigur0,86–4,501,99–5,952,84–10,45
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,96 0,99–2,93 0,74–3,18 | 1,12 0,26–1,97 0,03–2,20 | 3,07 1,25–4,90 0,77–5,38 | 57% 22% 21% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,75 3,89–7,61 3,40–8,10 | 4,04 2,29–5,78 1,83–6,24 | 9,79 6,18–13,39 5,23–14,35 | 65% 24% |
| Total șuturi | 16,92 13,00–20,85 11,91–21,94 | 11,38 7,81–14,94 6,85–15,90 | 28,30 20,81–35,78 18,76–37,84 | 83% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,90 7,96–13,84 7,13–14,67 | 7,21 4,52–9,89 3,79–10,62 | 18,10 12,48–23,73 10,91–25,29 | 77% 16% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,31 3,43–7,19 2,89–7,74 | 2,89 1,23–4,54 0,74–5,03 | 8,20 4,66–11,73 3,63–12,77 | 75% 15% |
| Cornere | 6,65 4,44–8,86 3,86–9,44 | 4,32 2,32–6,32 1,78–6,85 | 10,97 6,75–15,18 5,65–16,29 | 71% 19% |
| Posesie % | 58,95 52,16–65,74 50,49–67,41 | 41,01 34,22–47,79 32,55–49,47 | — | 84% 13% |
| Pase | 560 493–628 475–646 | 368 301–434 284–452 | 928 795–1062 759–1098 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,83 68,80–76,86 67,51–78,15 | 67,76 63,43–72,08 62,12–73,39 | — | 72% 24% |
| Faulturi | 10,15 7,31–12,98 6,55–13,74 | 13,52 10,58–16,47 9,83–17,22 | 23,67 17,89–29,45 16,38–30,96 | 21% 72% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,70 0,54–2,86 0,24–3,16 | 2,47 1,38–3,57 1,09–3,86 | 4,18 1,92–6,43 1,33–7,02 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,47 0,42–2,52 0,15–2,78 | 2,66 1,54–3,79 1,24–4,08 | 4,13 1,95–6,31 1,40–6,87 | 20% 17% 63% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,44 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,68 1,24–4,12 0,86–4,50 | 3,97 2,41–5,52 1,99–5,95 | 6,65 3,65–9,64 2,84–10,45 | 24% 14% 62% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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