La Liga·Etapa 14·
La Liga·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
35%
25%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,432,77sigur0,37–2,310,58–2,290,95–4,60mai sigur0,12–2,560,35–2,510,47–5,08
Șuturi pe poartă
39%
13%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,494,839,32sigur2,63–6,353,09–6,575,71–12,92mai sigur2,14–6,842,62–7,044,76–13,88
Total șuturi
43%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8813,2326,11sigur8,95–16,809,67–16,7918,62–33,59mai sigur7,86–17,898,71–17,7516,57–35,64
Șuturi din careu
42%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,719,0217,73sigur5,76–11,656,34–11,7112,11–23,36mai sigur4,94–12,485,61–12,4410,54–24,92
Șuturi blocate
37%
14%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,804,218,01sigur1,91–5,682,56–5,864,47–11,54mai sigur1,37–6,222,06–6,353,43–12,58
Cornere
46%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,004,839,83sigur2,79–7,222,83–6,835,62–14,05mai sigur2,22–7,792,30–7,364,51–15,15
Posesie %
31%
64%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,1754,37sigur40,38–53,9647,58–61,15mai sigur38,71–55,6345,91–62,83
Pase
30%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție462524987sigur395–530458–591853–1120mai sigur377–548440–608817–1156
Precizie pase %
15%
82%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,8876,44sigur64,85–72,9172,11–80,76mai sigur63,56–74,2070,80–82,07
Faulturi
51%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7512,0824,83sigur9,91–15,589,14–15,0319,04–30,61mai sigur9,15–16,348,39–15,7717,54–32,11
Ofsaiduri
44%
23%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,701,443,14sigur0,53–2,860,35–2,530,88–5,39mai sigur0,23–3,160,06–2,820,29–5,98
Cartonașe galbene
39%
20%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,082,124,20sigur1,03–3,130,99–3,252,02–6,38mai sigur0,77–3,400,70–3,541,46–6,93
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,110,20sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,290,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,430,00–0,83
Parade portar
46%
16%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,192,946,13sigur1,76–4,631,38–4,493,14–9,12mai sigur1,37–5,020,96–4,922,33–9,94
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,34 0,37–2,31 0,12–2,56 | 1,43 0,58–2,29 0,35–2,51 | 2,77 0,95–4,60 0,47–5,08 | 35% 25% 39% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,49 2,63–6,35 2,14–6,84 | 4,83 3,09–6,57 2,62–7,04 | 9,32 5,71–12,92 4,76–13,88 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Total șuturi | 12,88 8,95–16,80 7,86–17,89 | 13,23 9,67–16,79 8,71–17,75 | 26,11 18,62–33,59 16,57–35,64 | 43% 49% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,71 5,76–11,65 4,94–12,48 | 9,02 6,34–11,71 5,61–12,44 | 17,73 12,11–23,36 10,54–24,92 | 42% 48% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,80 1,91–5,68 1,37–6,22 | 4,21 2,56–5,86 2,06–6,35 | 8,01 4,47–11,54 3,43–12,58 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Cornere | 5,00 2,79–7,22 2,22–7,79 | 4,83 2,83–6,83 2,30–7,36 | 9,83 5,62–14,05 4,51–15,15 | 46% 41% |
| Posesie % | 47,17 40,38–53,96 38,71–55,63 | 54,37 47,58–61,15 45,91–62,83 | — | 31% 64% |
| Pase | 462 395–530 377–548 | 524 458–591 440–608 | 987 853–1120 817–1156 | 30% 70% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,88 64,85–72,91 63,56–74,20 | 76,44 72,11–80,76 70,80–82,07 | — | 15% 82% |
| Faulturi | 12,75 9,91–15,58 9,15–16,34 | 12,08 9,14–15,03 8,39–15,77 | 24,83 19,04–30,61 17,54–32,11 | 51% 41% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,70 0,53–2,86 0,23–3,16 | 1,44 0,35–2,53 0,06–2,82 | 3,14 0,88–5,39 0,29–5,98 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,08 1,03–3,13 0,77–3,40 | 2,12 0,99–3,25 0,70–3,54 | 4,20 2,02–6,38 1,46–6,93 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,19 1,76–4,63 1,37–5,02 | 2,94 1,38–4,49 0,96–4,92 | 6,13 3,14–9,12 2,33–9,94 | 46% 16% 38% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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