La Liga·Etapa 14·
La Liga·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
19%
22%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,981,922,90sigur0,01–1,951,07–2,781,08–4,72mai sigur0,00–2,200,84–3,010,60–5,20
Șuturi pe poartă
22%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,415,218,62sigur1,55–5,283,46–6,955,01–12,23mai sigur1,06–5,773,00–7,414,06–13,18
Total șuturi
25%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,2412,9123,15sigur6,31–14,169,35–16,4815,67–30,64mai sigur5,22–15,258,39–17,4413,61–32,69
Șuturi din careu
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,639,6515,28sigur2,68–8,576,97–12,339,65–20,90mai sigur1,85–9,406,23–13,078,09–22,47
Șuturi blocate
27%
15%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,643,636,27sigur0,76–4,531,97–5,282,74–9,81mai sigur0,22–5,071,48–5,771,70–10,84
Cornere
27%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,765,038,79sigur1,55–5,973,03–7,034,57–13,00mai sigur0,97–6,552,50–7,563,47–14,11
Posesie %
42%
53%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,2851,53sigur42,49–56,0744,75–58,32mai sigur40,82–57,7443,07–59,99
Pase
40%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție465494959sigur398–532427–560825–1093mai sigur380–551410–578790–1128
Precizie pase %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,8674,39sigur61,83–69,8970,07–78,72mai sigur60,54–71,1868,76–80,03
Faulturi
40%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,2913,0425,32sigur9,45–15,1210,09–15,9819,54–31,10mai sigur8,69–15,889,34–16,7318,04–32,61
Ofsaiduri
14%
13%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,593,505,09sigur0,43–2,752,41–4,592,84–7,35mai sigur0,13–3,062,12–4,882,25–7,94
Cartonașe galbene
41%
19%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,442,444,88sigur1,39–3,491,31–3,572,70–7,06mai sigur1,12–3,761,02–3,862,14–7,61
Cartonașe roșii
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,160,130,29sigur0,00–0,320,00–0,320,00–0,63mai sigur0,00–0,470,00–0,450,00–0,92
Parade portar
55%
16%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,372,585,95sigur1,94–4,811,02–4,142,96–8,95mai sigur1,55–5,200,60–4,562,15–9,76
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,98 0,01–1,95 0,00–2,20 | 1,92 1,07–2,78 0,84–3,01 | 2,90 1,08–4,72 0,60–5,20 | 19% 22% 59% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,41 1,55–5,28 1,06–5,77 | 5,21 3,46–6,95 3,00–7,41 | 8,62 5,01–12,23 4,06–13,18 | 22% 67% |
| Total șuturi | 10,24 6,31–14,16 5,22–15,25 | 12,91 9,35–16,48 8,39–17,44 | 23,15 15,67–30,64 13,61–32,69 | 25% 67% |
| Șuturi din careu | 5,63 2,68–8,57 1,85–9,40 | 9,65 6,97–12,33 6,23–13,07 | 15,28 9,65–20,90 8,09–22,47 | 82% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,64 0,76–4,53 0,22–5,07 | 3,63 1,97–5,28 1,48–5,77 | 6,27 2,74–9,81 1,70–10,84 | 27% 15% 57% |
| Cornere | 3,76 1,55–5,97 0,97–6,55 | 5,03 3,03–7,03 2,50–7,56 | 8,79 4,57–13,00 3,47–14,11 | 27% 60% |
| Posesie % | 49,28 42,49–56,07 40,82–57,74 | 51,53 44,75–58,32 43,07–59,99 | — | 42% 53% |
| Pase | 465 398–532 380–551 | 494 427–560 410–578 | 959 825–1093 790–1128 | 40% 59% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,86 61,83–69,89 60,54–71,18 | 74,39 70,07–78,72 68,76–80,03 | — | 85% |
| Faulturi | 12,29 9,45–15,12 8,69–15,88 | 13,04 10,09–15,98 9,34–16,73 | 25,32 19,54–31,10 18,04–32,61 | 40% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,59 0,43–2,75 0,13–3,06 | 3,50 2,41–4,59 2,12–4,88 | 5,09 2,84–7,35 2,25–7,94 | 14% 13% 73% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,44 1,39–3,49 1,12–3,76 | 2,44 1,31–3,57 1,02–3,86 | 4,88 2,70–7,06 2,14–7,61 | 41% 19% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,16 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,47 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,29 0,00–0,63 0,00–0,92 | 77% |
| Parade portar | 3,37 1,94–4,81 1,55–5,20 | 2,58 1,02–4,14 0,60–4,56 | 5,95 2,96–8,95 2,15–9,76 | 55% 16% 30% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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