La Liga·Etapa 14·
La Liga·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
41%
25%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,531,372,90sigur0,56–2,500,52–2,231,08–4,72mai sigur0,31–2,750,29–2,460,60–5,20
Șuturi pe poartă
53%
13%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,784,018,80sigur2,92–6,652,27–5,765,19–12,40mai sigur2,43–7,141,81–6,224,24–13,36
Total șuturi
74%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,9211,1626,07sigur10,99–18,847,59–14,7218,59–33,56mai sigur9,90–19,936,63–15,6816,54–35,61
Șuturi din careu
55%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,817,7516,56sigur5,86–11,755,07–10,4310,93–22,18mai sigur5,03–12,584,33–11,179,37–23,75
Șuturi blocate
64%
14%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,002,596,59sigur2,12–5,890,93–4,243,06–10,13mai sigur1,58–6,430,44–4,732,02–11,16
Cornere
59%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,554,359,90sigur3,34–7,772,35–6,355,69–14,12mai sigur2,77–8,341,82–6,884,58–15,23
Posesie %
44%
51%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,2150,65sigur42,42–56,0043,87–57,44mai sigur40,75–57,6742,20–59,11
Pase
49%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție447449895sigur379–514382–515762–1029mai sigur361–532365–533726–1065
Precizie pase %
33%
62%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,8672,67sigur65,83–73,8968,34–76,99mai sigur64,54–75,1967,04–78,30
Faulturi
45%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,2412,3424,58sigur9,40–15,089,40–15,2918,80–30,37mai sigur8,65–15,838,65–16,0417,30–31,87
Ofsaiduri
44%
19%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,422,234,65sigur1,25–3,581,14–3,332,39–6,90mai sigur0,95–3,880,85–3,611,81–7,49
Cartonașe galbene
28%
21%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,582,163,74sigur0,53–2,631,03–3,291,56–5,92mai sigur0,26–2,890,74–3,581,00–6,47
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,120,19sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,310,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,440,00–0,82
Parade portar
33%
17%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,603,105,71sigur1,17–4,041,55–4,662,71–8,70mai sigur0,78–4,431,12–5,081,90–9,51
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,53 0,56–2,50 0,31–2,75 | 1,37 0,52–2,23 0,29–2,46 | 2,90 1,08–4,72 0,60–5,20 | 41% 25% 34% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,78 2,92–6,65 2,43–7,14 | 4,01 2,27–5,76 1,81–6,22 | 8,80 5,19–12,40 4,24–13,36 | 53% 13% 33% |
| Total șuturi | 14,92 10,99–18,84 9,90–19,93 | 11,16 7,59–14,72 6,63–15,68 | 26,07 18,59–33,56 16,54–35,61 | 74% 20% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,81 5,86–11,75 5,03–12,58 | 7,75 5,07–10,43 4,33–11,17 | 16,56 10,93–22,18 9,37–23,75 | 55% 35% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,00 2,12–5,89 1,58–6,43 | 2,59 0,93–4,24 0,44–4,73 | 6,59 3,06–10,13 2,02–11,16 | 64% 14% 22% |
| Cornere | 5,55 3,34–7,77 2,77–8,34 | 4,35 2,35–6,35 1,82–6,88 | 9,90 5,69–14,12 4,58–15,23 | 59% 29% |
| Posesie % | 49,21 42,42–56,00 40,75–57,67 | 50,65 43,87–57,44 42,20–59,11 | — | 44% 51% |
| Pase | 447 379–514 361–532 | 449 382–515 365–533 | 895 762–1029 726–1065 | 49% 51% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,86 65,83–73,89 64,54–75,19 | 72,67 68,34–76,99 67,04–78,30 | — | 33% 62% |
| Faulturi | 12,24 9,40–15,08 8,65–15,83 | 12,34 9,40–15,29 8,65–16,04 | 24,58 18,80–30,37 17,30–31,87 | 45% 47% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,42 1,25–3,58 0,95–3,88 | 2,23 1,14–3,33 0,85–3,61 | 4,65 2,39–6,90 1,81–7,49 | 44% 19% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,58 0,53–2,63 0,26–2,89 | 2,16 1,03–3,29 0,74–3,58 | 3,74 1,56–5,92 1,00–6,47 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,19 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,60 1,17–4,04 0,78–4,43 | 3,10 1,55–4,66 1,12–5,08 | 5,71 2,71–8,70 1,90–9,51 | 33% 17% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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