La Liga·Etapa 14·
La Liga·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
16%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,882,533,41sigur0,00–1,851,67–3,381,59–5,23mai sigur0,00–2,101,44–3,611,11–5,71
Șuturi pe poartă
16%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,456,039,47sigur1,58–5,314,28–7,775,87–13,08mai sigur1,10–5,803,82–8,234,91–14,03
Total șuturi
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,7416,0926,82sigur6,81–14,6612,53–19,6519,34–34,31mai sigur5,72–15,7511,57–20,6117,29–36,36
Șuturi din careu
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,0110,7716,78sigur3,07–8,958,09–13,4511,16–22,41mai sigur2,24–9,787,36–14,199,59–23,97
Șuturi blocate
20%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,624,296,91sigur0,74–4,502,64–5,953,38–10,45mai sigur0,19–5,042,15–6,442,34–11,48
Cornere
26%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,295,8410,13sigur2,08–6,513,84–7,845,92–14,35mai sigur1,51–7,083,30–8,374,81–15,45
Posesie %
18%
79%
gazdeoaspețipredicție42,7057,32sigur35,91–49,4950,54–64,11mai sigur34,24–51,1648,87–65,78
Pase
17%
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție411524935sigur344–479457–590801–1069mai sigur326–497440–608766–1104
Precizie pase %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,8975,61sigur61,86–69,9271,29–79,94mai sigur60,57–71,2169,98–81,25
Faulturi
56%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,5311,2323,77sigur9,69–15,378,29–14,1817,98–29,55mai sigur8,94–16,137,54–14,9316,48–31,05
Ofsaiduri
53%
18%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,762,074,83sigur1,60–3,920,98–3,162,58–7,08mai sigur1,30–4,220,69–3,451,99–7,67
Cartonașe galbene
47%
21%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,141,783,92sigur1,09–3,190,65–2,901,74–6,09mai sigur0,83–3,460,35–3,201,18–6,65
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,080,18sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,260,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,400,00–0,81
Parade portar
62%
14%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,882,616,49sigur2,45–5,321,06–4,173,50–9,49mai sigur2,06–5,710,63–4,592,69–10,30
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,88 0,00–1,85 0,00–2,10 | 2,53 1,67–3,38 1,44–3,61 | 3,41 1,59–5,23 1,11–5,71 | 16% 73% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,45 1,58–5,31 1,10–5,80 | 6,03 4,28–7,77 3,82–8,23 | 9,47 5,87–13,08 4,91–14,03 | 16% 75% |
| Total șuturi | 10,74 6,81–14,66 5,72–15,75 | 16,09 12,53–19,65 11,57–20,61 | 26,82 19,34–34,31 17,29–36,36 | 83% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,01 3,07–8,95 2,24–9,78 | 10,77 8,09–13,45 7,36–14,19 | 16,78 11,16–22,41 9,59–23,97 | 85% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,62 0,74–4,50 0,19–5,04 | 4,29 2,64–5,95 2,15–6,44 | 6,91 3,38–10,45 2,34–11,48 | 20% 67% |
| Cornere | 4,29 2,08–6,51 1,51–7,08 | 5,84 3,84–7,84 3,30–8,37 | 10,13 5,92–14,35 4,81–15,45 | 26% 63% |
| Posesie % | 42,70 35,91–49,49 34,24–51,16 | 57,32 50,54–64,11 48,87–65,78 | — | 18% 79% |
| Pase | 411 344–479 326–497 | 524 457–590 440–608 | 935 801–1069 766–1104 | 17% 82% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,89 61,86–69,92 60,57–71,21 | 75,61 71,29–79,94 69,98–81,25 | — | 88% |
| Faulturi | 12,53 9,69–15,37 8,94–16,13 | 11,23 8,29–14,18 7,54–14,93 | 23,77 17,98–29,55 16,48–31,05 | 56% 36% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,76 1,60–3,92 1,30–4,22 | 2,07 0,98–3,16 0,69–3,45 | 4,83 2,58–7,08 1,99–7,67 | 53% 18% 29% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,14 1,09–3,19 0,83–3,46 | 1,78 0,65–2,90 0,35–3,20 | 3,92 1,74–6,09 1,18–6,65 | 47% 21% 33% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,08 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,40 | 0,18 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,81 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,88 2,45–5,32 2,06–5,71 | 2,61 1,06–4,17 0,63–4,59 | 6,49 3,50–9,49 2,69–10,30 | 62% 14% 24% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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