La Liga·Etapa 14·
La Liga·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
43%
26%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,441,182,62sigur0,47–2,410,33–2,040,80–4,45mai sigur0,22–2,660,10–2,260,32–4,93
Șuturi pe poartă
50%
14%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,393,878,25sigur2,53–6,252,12–5,614,65–11,86mai sigur2,04–6,741,66–6,083,69–12,82
Total șuturi
59%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3311,6324,96sigur9,40–17,258,07–15,2017,47–32,45mai sigur8,31–18,347,11–16,1515,42–34,50
Șuturi din careu
49%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,717,2915,00sigur4,77–10,654,61–9,979,38–20,63mai sigur3,94–11,483,87–10,717,81–22,19
Șuturi blocate
50%
15%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,673,146,81sigur1,78–5,551,49–4,803,28–10,35mai sigur1,24–6,091,00–5,292,24–11,38
Cornere
55%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,334,439,76sigur3,12–7,542,43–6,435,54–13,97mai sigur2,54–8,121,89–6,964,44–15,08
Posesie %
76%
21%
gazdeoaspețipredicție56,8844,18sigur50,09–63,6737,39–50,96mai sigur48,42–65,3435,72–52,63
Pase
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție512369881sigur445–579303–436747–1015mai sigur426–597285–453712–1050
Precizie pase %
37%
58%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,4066,51sigur60,37–68,4362,19–70,84mai sigur59,08–69,7260,88–72,15
Faulturi
55%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0711,9325,00sigur10,23–15,918,99–14,8819,22–30,78mai sigur9,48–16,668,24–15,6317,72–32,29
Ofsaiduri
36%
21%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,832,023,85sigur0,67–2,990,93–3,111,59–6,10mai sigur0,36–3,290,64–3,401,00–6,69
Cartonașe galbene
36%
20%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,972,164,13sigur0,92–3,021,03–3,291,96–6,31mai sigur0,66–3,290,74–3,581,40–6,87
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,120,21sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,310,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,440,00–0,84
Parade portar
39%
17%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,682,825,50sigur1,24–4,121,27–4,382,51–8,49mai sigur0,86–4,500,84–4,801,70–9,31
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,44 0,47–2,41 0,22–2,66 | 1,18 0,33–2,04 0,10–2,26 | 2,62 0,80–4,45 0,32–4,93 | 43% 26% 31% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,39 2,53–6,25 2,04–6,74 | 3,87 2,12–5,61 1,66–6,08 | 8,25 4,65–11,86 3,69–12,82 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Total șuturi | 13,33 9,40–17,25 8,31–18,34 | 11,63 8,07–15,20 7,11–16,15 | 24,96 17,47–32,45 15,42–34,50 | 59% 33% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,71 4,77–10,65 3,94–11,48 | 7,29 4,61–9,97 3,87–10,71 | 15,00 9,38–20,63 7,81–22,19 | 49% 41% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,67 1,78–5,55 1,24–6,09 | 3,14 1,49–4,80 1,00–5,29 | 6,81 3,28–10,35 2,24–11,38 | 50% 15% 35% |
| Cornere | 5,33 3,12–7,54 2,54–8,12 | 4,43 2,43–6,43 1,89–6,96 | 9,76 5,54–13,97 4,44–15,08 | 55% 33% |
| Posesie % | 56,88 50,09–63,67 48,42–65,34 | 44,18 37,39–50,96 35,72–52,63 | — | 76% 21% |
| Pase | 512 445–579 426–597 | 369 303–436 285–453 | 881 747–1015 712–1050 | 88% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,40 60,37–68,43 59,08–69,72 | 66,51 62,19–70,84 60,88–72,15 | — | 37% 58% |
| Faulturi | 13,07 10,23–15,91 9,48–16,66 | 11,93 8,99–14,88 8,24–15,63 | 25,00 19,22–30,78 17,72–32,29 | 55% 37% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,83 0,67–2,99 0,36–3,29 | 2,02 0,93–3,11 0,64–3,40 | 3,85 1,59–6,10 1,00–6,69 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,97 0,92–3,02 0,66–3,29 | 2,16 1,03–3,29 0,74–3,58 | 4,13 1,96–6,31 1,40–6,87 | 36% 20% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,68 1,24–4,12 0,86–4,50 | 2,82 1,27–4,38 0,84–4,80 | 5,50 2,51–8,49 1,70–9,31 | 39% 17% 44% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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